Appraisal Adjustments Tips

Newz: California College offers Appraiser Training, Appraiser Adjustments

October 24, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA AD: Can an Attorney Really Force Me to Testify?
  • How to Defend Adjustments in Appraisal Reports By Jo Traut
  • Monumental Hollywood Hills Megamansion That Took 10 Years To Complete Is Listed for $125 Million
  • West Los Angeles Community College Launches More Accessible Home Appraiser Training Program
  • Flooded With Change: Appraisers Tackle a Dynamic URAR and UAD 3.6 by Isaac Peck
  • Mortgage Rates Won’t Fall Below 6% Anytime Soon, Top Economist Says in Grim Forecast
  • Mortgage applications decreased 0.3 percent from one week earlier

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How to Defend Adjustments in Appraisal Reports

By Jo Traut

Excerpts: Appraisal reports are similar to scientific papers. A scientist can’t write “Based on my experiments, the hypothesis is correct” and expect peer review to accept it. Scientists need to share their methodology, summarize their analysis, and support their conclusions.

The same applies to appraisal adjustments. Saying you used market data is like saying you conducted an experiment—it’s just the starting point. Your report needs to summarize how you analyzed the data and how it supports that specific adjustment.

Without this documentation, you haven’t provided credible analysis—you’ve stated an unsupported opinion, regardless of your experience.

Topics:

Start with the Right Sequence

Equalize Market Conditions Before You Compare

Move Beyond “Paired Sales or Bust”

Mini Example: Defending a GLA Adjustment

Show Your Work the Way Reviewers Want to See It

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Worth reading. Excellent article covering the important topics.

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Monumental Hollywood Hills Megamansion That Took 10 Years To Complete Is Listed for $125 Million

Excerpts: 7 bedrooms, 12 baths, 22,000 sq.ft. 0.97 acre lot, built in 2025

The 22,000-square-foot spec mansion, which was designed by Scott Mitchell, took 10 years to build and boasts a “layered and terraced” estate designed for grand-scale entertaining. A vertical water feature can be found along the entrance walkway.

Lavish details found inside the three-story residence include a living room with a fireplace and retractable glass wall overlooking a spacious patio with breathtaking views, a grand dining room designed for entertaining, a home bar, and a primary suite with a private terrace.

The 22,000-square-foot spec mansion, which was designed by Scott Mitchell, took 10 years to build and boasts a “layered and terraced” estate designed for grand-scale entertaining. A vertical water feature can be found along the entrance walkway.

Lavish details found inside the three-story residence include a living room with a fireplace and retractable glass wall overlooking a spacious patio with breathtaking views, a grand dining room designed for entertaining, a home bar, and a primary suite with a private terrace.

To read the listing with 55 photos, Click Here

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West Los Angeles Community College Launches More Accessible Home Appraiser Training Program

West Los Angeles College has been awarded a $100,000 grant from Wells Fargo to launch a groundbreaking real estate appraiser education program this Fall.

This is a first-of-its-kind, Bureau of Real Estate Appraisers (BREA)-approved program that provides aspiring appraisers with an innovative pathway to licensure without the traditional supervisory requirement. Students will engage directly with licensed appraisers and gain exposure to real-world property appraisal assignments.

The new program offers a structured, classroom-based alternative to the conventional one-on-one apprenticeship model, creating greater access for students from all backgrounds. Real estate appraisal has historically faced challenges in attracting and retaining talent, in part due to reliance on hard-to-access mentorship models.

West’s program is among the first in California to offer an alternative, competency-based pathway to licensure, expanding opportunities for those previously shut out by traditional entry points. Additionally, some students may qualify for course credit for prior learning.

To read the press release, Click Here 

For more details on the program directly from the college, Click Here

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Previous articles in this newsletter on UAD 3.6

April 2025 – first article

New URAR What It Means for Appraisers

Fannie Q and As and other information available in April.

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May 2025

Review of Appraiser’s Guide to the New URAR Class

How to use Document F-1 to find what GSEs want in the PDF Report plus other introductory information and a review of the class.

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June 2025

What is new in the New URAR

Introduction to UAD 3.6 and more info on topics in May 2025 and Scenario SR 1 – Single Family, used in many demos and discussions. I go through every page of the 20 page document and include what is new with references document F-1

Additional PDFs (on Paid subscriber web page):

Sample Scenario SF1 (Single Family) PDF Report – discussed in this article

Appendix F-1 URAR Reference Guide v1.2 14 MB

Fannie Sample Scenario PDFs Combined 15MB All scenarios

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July 2025

From UAD 2.6 to UAD 3.6.

What appraisal software vendors are doing

First article on this topic. I had live demos on Bradford, alamode, and SFREP. I asked them specific questions about fields. None of the vendors were “ready to go” on their software. 5 screen shots are included at the end of the article.

November 2025 (coming Nov. 1)

UAD 3.6 Update – Software Vendors, Both Old and New and More Info on why it is taking so long to get software completed. None have completed it yet (verification from GSEs)

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Flooded With Change: Appraisers Tackle a Dynamic URAR and UAD 3.6

by Isaac Peck, Publisher

Excerpts: Lenders and appraisal management companies have until November 2, 2026, to fully implement UAD 3.6. While this phased approach creates breathing room for system updates and staff training, it also introduces a period of mixed requirements that could be confusing for both appraisers and lenders.

Software vendors and large lenders are racing to update their platforms, with some taking a “first mover” stance on UAD 3.6. Smaller lenders tend to sit back and watch how early adopters navigate the inevitable hiccups. As a result, appraisers may face varying expectations depending on which lender or AMC they’re working with during the transition.

The scope of these changes is so broad that both GSEs partnered with leading education providers on a seven-hour continuing education course. They recognize that appraisers need thorough, standardized training to master the new data fields, digital workflows, and report structures.

This article will highlight the most consequential developments in UAD 3.6 and the redesigned URAR, share insights from industry leaders, and outline the key areas appraisers should monitor over the next 18 months.

Topics include:

A Challenging Transition

Lender Perspective

Software Views

Liability Considerations

Advice for Appraisers

To wrap things up, Working RE talked to Hal Humphreys, partner at Appraiser eLearning and a seasoned instructor, to get his take on how appraisers are responding to UAD 3.6 and the redesigned URAR. Humphreys has taught the GSEs’ new course nationwide and says he’s seen plenty of fear—but also a shift once appraisers dug in.

“When I start every class, I ask how many plan to retire once the new URAR is mandatory. Anywhere from 15 to 50 percent raise their hands,” he says. “By the end of the class, usually nobody does. Or maybe a couple but they were going to retire anyway. Once folks start digging into it, I think it’s very doable.”

Humphreys’ advice? Take the class and start using mobile tech. “Don’t try to take notes. Just listen. And if you’re not using a mobile process now, start today. It’s not mandatory, but it’s highly recommended. Mobile inspection apps are the perfect checklist. Without them, you’ll forget things and spend way more time later.”

While the new data fields may make inspections longer at first, Humphreys believes that comfort with mobile tools will help appraisers maintain efficiency. “Once you’re back at the office, you’re not transcribing notes or doing a sketch; it’s already done. You can focus on market analysis and adjustments.”

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Read This Article!!There were recently two national appraisal events. Both focused on UAD 3.6. This article is the most comprehensive article I have read.

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Mortgage Rates Won’t Fall Below 6% Anytime Soon, Top MBA Economist Says in Grim Forecast

October 20, 2025

Excerpts: Mortgage rates could remain stuck above 6% for the next several years, according to newly released projections from the economists at the Mortgage Bankers Association.

MBA Chief Economist Mike Fratantoni presented the forecast at the group’s annual conference in Las Vegas on Sunday, projecting that 30-year fixed mortgage rates will remain roughly in the range of 6% to 6.5% through the end of 2028.

“As we move over the next couple of years, we think it’s more likely that long [term] rates are going to go up rather than down, given the fiscal pressures on the economy,” Fratantoni told the conference, referring to the impact of rising federal deficits on bond markets.

To read more, Click Here

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HOW TO USE THE NUMBERS BELOW. Appraisals are ordered after the loan application. These numbers tell you the future for the next few weeks. For more information on how they are compiled, Click Here.

Note: I publish a graph of this data every month in my paid monthly newsletter, Appraisal Today. For more information or get a FREE sample go to www.appraisaltoday.com/order Or call 510-865-8041, MTW, 7 AM to noon, Pacific time.

My comments: Rates are going up and down. We are all waiting for rates to drop in 2025.

Mortgage applications decreased 0.3 percent from one week earlier

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 0.2 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 4 percent from the previous week and was 81 percent higher than the same week one year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 5 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 5 percent compared with the previous week and was 20 percent higher than the same week one year ago.

“The lowest mortgage rates in a month spurred an increase in refinance activity, including another pickup in ARM applications. The 30-year fixed rate decreased to 6.37 percent and all other loan types also decreased,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist. “The refinance index increased 4 percent, driven by a 6 percent increase in conventional refinances and a 12 percent increase in FHA refinance applications, as borrowers remain attentive to these opportunities to lower their monthly mortgage payment. VA refinances bucked the trend and were down 12 percent.”

Added Kan, “ARM applications increased 16 percent over the week, which pushed the ARM share to 11 percent, with the ARM rate more than 80 basis points lower than the 30-year fixed rate. Purchase applications were down over the week but remained 20 percent higher than a year ago.”

The refinance share of mortgage activity increased to 55.9 percent of total applications from 53.6 percent the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity increased to 10.8 percent of total applications.

The FHA share of total applications increased to 21.8 percent from 20.5 percent the week prior. The VA share of total applications decreased to 13.5 percent from 14.9 percent the week prior. The USDA share of total applications decreased to 0.3 percent from 0.4 percent the week prior.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($806,500 or less) decreased to 6.37 percent from 6.42 percent, with points decreasing to 0.59 from 0.61 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio (LTV) loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances (greater than $806,500) decreased to 6.39 percent from 6.47 percent, with points decreasing to 0.37 from 0.53 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages backed by the FHA decreased to 6.12 percent from 6.19 percent, with points decreasing to 0.72 from 0.76 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 5.74 percent from 5.77 percent, with points decreasing to 0.67 from 0.70 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs decreased to 5.55 percent from 5.63 percent, with points increasing to 0.62 from 0.59 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

If you would like to purchase a subscription of MBA’s Weekly Applications Survey, please visit www.mba.org/WeeklyApps, contact mbaresearch@mba.org or click here.

The survey covers U.S. closed-end residential mortgage applications originated through retail and consumer direct channels. The survey has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks, thrifts, and credit unions. Base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100.

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Ann O’Rourke, MAI, SRA, MBA

Appraiser and Publisher Appraisal Today

1826 Clement Ave. Suite 203 Alameda, CA 94501

Phone: 510-865-8041

Email:  ann@appraisaltoday.com

Online: www.appraisaltoday.com

Surplus vs. Excess Land for Appraisers

Newz: Surplus vs. Excess Land, Interest Rate Drop? GSE Oversight?

May 2, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: Am I Still on the ‘Do Not Use’ List?
  • Surplus Land vs. Excess Land: What Appraisers Needs to Know
  • 5 Mind-Boggling Optical Illusion Houses That Have To Be Seen To Be Believed
  • Fed officials offer differing signals on timing of potential interest rate cuts
  • Fed seen cutting policy rate by a full percentage point this year
  • The Balancing Act: How Appraisers Can Navigate Supply Shortages, Interest Rates, and Tariffs
  • A Cry from the Appraisal Trenches: The Fall of GSE Oversight
  • Mortgage applications decreased 4.2 percent from one week earlier

Surplus vs. Excess Land for Appraisals

Click here to subscribe to our FREE weekly appraiser email newsletter and get the latest appraisal news

Click here to subscribe to our FREE weekly appraiser email newsletter and get the latest appraisal news


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Surplus Land vs. Excess Land: What Appraisers Needs to Know

By Kevin Hecht

Excerpts: Land valuation is a fundamental aspect of real estate appraisal, influencing property transactions, development decisions, and investment strategies. A key part of the process involves distinguishing between the land that supports the property’s current use and any additional land that may—or may not—have independent value.

Commonly, a square footage adjustment is made based on lot size differences among comparable properties without one key distinction – whether the difference in land is surplus or excess land. This fails to consider whether the extra land has value independent of the subject property.

Surplus land and excess land are often confused. Surplus land is land which adds no value independently of the property being appraised. Excess land, on the other hand, has value because it can be divided and sold separately. These distinct differences must be accounted for in an appraisal.

Here we will discuss what constitute excess and surplus land, common methods used to identify each, and why it matters….

Methods for Identifying Surplus vs. Excess Land

Residential appraisers commonly make a dollar per square foot adjustment for differences in lot size among comparable properties without distinguishing whether the land is surplus or excess. The problem with this approach is that it fails to consider highest and best use where excess land—land that can be independently sold or valued—creates a premium.

This question cannot be answered without evaluating zoning and legal restrictions of the property.

For example, just because a property is large enough to support a second structure, zoning may prohibit multiple residences on a single lot or there may be legal restrictions in terms of land coverage and minimum square footage requirements. If this were the case, it would be considered surplus land.

When determining if land is excess land, appraisers must consider legal permissibility, physical possibility, financial feasibility, and profitability.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Read this blog post. Residential appraisers can easily make a mistake on this topic and get into trouble.

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5 Mind-Boggling Optical Illusion Houses That Have To Be Seen To Be Believed

Excerpts: Photo above info:

2. 8198 Uphill Rd, Joshua Tree, CA

Price: $17,950,000

The Invisible House: This mirrored mansion is the brainchild of film producer Chris Hanley and Frank Gehry collaborator Tomas Osinski, who designed the home to seemingly vanish into its desert surroundings.

At first glance, you might not notice the 5,470-square-foot residence staring back at you. Nestled on 67.5 acres, the shimmering structure was created with the intent of connecting its residents with the desert through the mirrored glass exterior. The three-bedroom estate’s interior is just as astonishing featuring retractable glass walls; a 100-foot, heated indoor swimming pool; and a 224-square-foot, white wall designed for movie screenings.

Whether you are looking for a home that quite literally disappears into the Arizona desert or one that mirrors its landscape in the Hamptons, these works of jaw-dropping art not only offer a captivating design but a remarkable setting.

From California to New York, we found five optical illusion abodes that will leave you wondering if they are playing tricks on your eyes.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Click on the addresses for the listing. I have written about some of these before. I am fascinated by these types of homes. Now you can see 5 of them in one link. My favorite is the home in the photo above.

Read more!!

Common USPAP Appraiser Violations

8 Common Violations Made by Appraisers

By Dan Bradley

When it comes to appraisal non-compliance with USPAP, certain violations are, unfortunately, somewhat common… I have compiled this list based on many years of personal experience as a reviewer and a state regulator, as well as feedback I have received from other states’ enforcement agencies. Once you’re aware of these common missteps, you should be able to avoid them more easily.

Excerpts:

1. Use of inappropriate sales

One of the most serious issues is the use of inappropriate sales in a sales comparison approach. Sometimes the sales used by the appraiser are dissimilar in physical characteristics, e.g., they are all larger, better quality, or in better condition than the subject, and are not properly adjusted.

In some cases, the appraiser goes some distance away to find sales, but other sales are available in close proximity to the subject. An appraiser should always explain the search parameters and why the comparable sales were chosen. Generic, boilerplate statements such as, “The best and most similar sales were selected and utilized,” should not be used.

3. Failure to analyze sales history

Most appraisers include information about prior sales and transfers of the subject property in their reports. Omitting this information is never a good idea; after all, it is easy for an underwriter or reviewer to check this information right from their desk. However, merely disclosing the date and sale price of a prior sale or transfer is not sufficient to meet USPAP requirements. The appraiser must also analyze the prior sale or transfer and provide a summary of their analysis in the report.

7. Mischaracterization of the subject property

Another (unfortunately) common violation is mischaracterization or misrepresentation of the subject property. During my term as an appraisal board member in my state, I encountered several cases in which a mixed-use property or commercial property was appraised as a residential property so a borrower could obtain a residential mortgage.

To read more, including all the violations, Click Here

My comments: The blog post is well written, relatively short, and worth reading, if only for reminders. In last week’s newsletter, Dan Bradley’s first name was misspelled as Dave, his brother. My apologies. I don’t like anyone misspelling my first name as Anne, not Ann, my correct name!

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FHA appraisal problems

Appraisal Business Tips 

Humor for Appraisers

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NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post on GSEs outsourcing AI for appraisal photos and Privacy issues,  ROVs, mortgage rate forecast, current real estate market, unusual homes, mortgage origination stats, etc.

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$25M California Estate With a Private Mountain in Somis, CA

Excerpts: 8 bedrooms, 11.5+ baths, 19,660 sq.ft., 22 acre lot, built in 2008

Known as El Palacio Del Solano, the 22-acre property in Somis, CA, boasts a main residence, two-bedroom guesthouse, and an event space designed for grand-scale entertaining. The “ultra-private compound” in the hills of Southern California drew the most clicks on Realtor.com® this week.

Built in 2008, the luxury estate last traded hands in 2021 for $6,250,000. Dubbed “the holy grail of Somis,” the mansion’s lavish amenities include a home theater, massage room, wine cellar, sports court, an arcade room, a lazy-river pool, and a motor court for up to 20 vehicles.

The Spanish-style residence was designed for large-scale entertaining with a wine-tasting room, grand formal dining room, and an outdoor kitchen with multiple seating and entertainment areas. This home’s private massage room, primary suite with sauna, and lazy-river pool were all designed for relaxing.

A spacious four-car garage is attached to the facility equipped with volume ceilings ideal for parking event vans, trucks, and small to mid-size buses. An estimated range of fifteen to twenty cars could comfortably be parked in the driveway and motor court spaces.

To see the listing with 40 photos, Click Here

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Fannie, Freddie’s Offshore Gambit Imperils Privacy of Millions

By Jeremy Bagott, May 20, 2024

Excerpts: Mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are reportedly “bench-testing” an arrangement with a foreign AI firm in which the offshore firm will data-mine millions of images showing the personal spaces of U.S. homeowners and tenants.

If your home was appraised for a refinance or new mortgage in recent years, the lender likely sent a “property data collector” to take photos of your kitchen, living room, and each of your bedrooms and bathrooms. (Pressured by the Biden administration, government-backed enterprises Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are instructing lenders they no longer need to use state-licensed appraisers for the task.) The images of your home’s interior spaces, along with identifying information, were then likely uploaded to a server run by a vendor.

Now, according to a source, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have potentially caused millions of these images to be made available to an artificial-intelligence company headquartered in Barcelona, Spain, known as Restb.ai. The images are then harvested for information with the help of artificial intelligence.

To read the post plus appraiser comments, Click Here

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Comments from Denis Desaix, SRA, MAI

Editor’s Note: Originally posted on the National Appraisers Forum Google group, which I read regularly.

I think Bagott’s issue is a legitimate concern. I wouldn’t want the interior photos of my home being catalogued by some third-party vendor that were taken related to a mortgage finance transaction I was engaging in. Ditto the floor plan. The data won’t be limited to what is gathered by property inspectors; however, appraisers’ data will also be in that mix.

The fix sounds relatively simple: Require Fannie/Freddie (or any regulated lender, if you will) to process the image-data in-house and maintain it under their control. The counterargument is that if we are going that route, then let’s classify the image data as personal financial information and cover it under the same rules that other consumer financial information is covered by.

However, it seems to me that Bagott’s editorial strongly implies that the imagery data will be identified with a specific consumer/consumer address. I’m not sure that is the case nor would it be necessary to do the analysis Fannie describes.

Here is how Fannie describes the process (from the link Bagott provides):Let’s walk through a process that uses this technology to validate the quality/condition ratings of the subject’s interior compared to the comps and (if applicable) previous photos of the subject.

1. A File# or other tracking number can identify the subject. The address need not be identified.

2. The identity of the comp’s address is less problematic, assuming the photos used are those available for public use. If the photos come from Fannie’s comp database, they, too, can be assigned a tracking number.

3. The vendor works its magic (I would encourage anyone interested at this stage to visit the one identified vendor webpage (https://restb.ai/) and especially click the link to “Appraisals and Inspections” to see how the product can be used for the stated purpose). And, by the way, at least one prominent appraisal forms provider is listed as a customer of this vendor; there are other names that many will recognize as well.

4. The results come back: the subject’s identity isn’t disclosed and remains unknown.

5. Finally, the vendor’s use of the photos is limited by contract, with stiff penalties for violation. If that doesn’t satisfy legitimate security and personal information requirements, the system can be licensed to Fannie/Freddie, and they can run it in-house.

Since we don’t know what protections against potential abuse (if any) are being put into place, there is legitimacy in asking about that and having a concern. In this case, I happen to have those questions and share that concern. Kudos to Bagott for raising them publicly.

I do take issue with Bagott on a number of his opinion pieces (not all, but enough to say “many”). But that’s OK. His pieces are not what I would call news articles. They are editorials (as they present his view on a certain item) or press releases (announcing something for purposes of an advocacy agenda and not necessarily for information purposes so one can fairly evaluate the issue’s pros and cons).

Many of my posts on this forum could be called editorials, although I try to present a balanced picture. Then, I’ll advocate my position and give the reasons why. We’re all free to express our opinions (we do so here within the limits of the forum rules and usually with professional decorum) as we see fit. That’s healthy.

But if our posts appear one-sided or present what appears to be an incomplete description, that typically generates more questions. Those questions, left unanswered, chip away at the strength of the post’s point. So, should it be with Bagott’s editorials; in this case, he raises a valid point, but it seems to me that there is a practical way to eliminate the concerns he raises. Acknowledging that possibility adds additional strength to the argument that this process must be more transparent so we are satisfied it isn’t being abused.

But that’s my editorial opinion; each of us is free to have our own, and all of us are free to debate the other’s opinions.

My comments on Denis’ post: I have known Denis for a long time. He is very savvy and reviews residential appraisal reports for several lenders. He sees a lot of appraisal photos.

My comments: Bagott’s emails are sometimes a bit “over the top” for me, but this one is worth reading. To subscribe to Bagott’s emails, Click Here

When I appraise a house that needs work, the photos always seem to look better than reality. I always comment on this in my appraisal report.

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ROV, Part 2

By George Dell, SRA, MAI, ASA, CRE

Excerpts: ROV (Reconsideration of Value) is now in the boat. Is it safe?

We suspect this will be a long row to get to the chosen island. Just row!

It may be good to start where any good study starts. “What are the words?” The only two words here are “reconsider” and “value.” Let’s look at these. (Sometimes just looking at the words can sort things out.) Different words mean different things to different people!

Reconsider: “To consider again, especially for a possible change of decision” … “especially with a view to changing or reversing.”

Value: “The worth or usefulness something.”

The new Fannie Mae Selling Guide section discusses the process to changes to the appraiser opinion of value. One more word might be important here: “Appraisal.” Appraisal is defined as the act or process of developing an opinion of value, or the opinion of value itself. An opinion.

Ah. This simplifies things. An official ROV wants you to change your opinion. Usually, if not always, this means “You came in too low.” But you already knew that …

The official ROV process includes a procedure for when the value:

is unsupported;

is deficient (due to unacceptable appraisal practices); or

reflects prohibited discriminatory practices.

Whew! A lot to think about here.

To read the full post, Click Here

My comments: If you work for lenders, read this. Very well-written, short, and understandable.

The May 10 issue of this newsletter had a long section on ROVs. To read the issue, including George Dell’s ROV Part 1, Click Here

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Fannie Mae May Mortgage Rate Forecast

Excerpts: Longer-term interest rates, including mortgage rates, have been volatile the past two months – first rising in response to stronger than expected economic data, and then a more recent decline on weaker readings. Despite this, we view economic growth and inflation as being on the same track as our prior outlook, and we continue to anticipate moderation as the year progresses.

We also continue to expect the Federal Reserve to implement the first of two rate cuts this year in September as inflation measures moderate, gradually trending toward the Fed’s 2-percent target. However, we believe the Fed is likely to remain cautious as there are still signs that inflation may remain stickier than anticipated.

Consistent with the slower sales outlook, our forecast for total mortgage originations was downgraded modestly to $1.73 trillion for 2024 ($1.81 trillion previously) and $2.08 trillion in 2025 ($2.26 trillion previously).

To read about more Fannie economic forecasts and see the graphs, Click Here

My comment: Reading Fannie’s forecasts are helpful. They have been doing them for a long time and have expert economists and other analysts.

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$2M Home Built From 11 Shipping Containers in Vancouver, WA

Excerpts: 4 bedroom, 3.5 baths, 4,074 sq.ft., 0.4 acre lot, built in 2015

A man with a one-of-a-kind idea created a beautiful residence near the border between the states of Washington and Oregon.

The house on S.E. 164th Avenue in Vancouver, WA, is built from 11 shipping containers of different colors.

“The owner actually built it himself, and he did not miss a beat when he built this,” explains the listing agent, Louise James.

She notes that the owner, who works in the import and export business, decided to build a container house.

“His friends all laughed at him,” she adds, “and said, ‘Oh, you can’t do that.’ So he drew it out on a piece of paper and said, ‘This is how I want it to be’—and it turns out to be this amazing masterpiece.”

Construction began on the 4,074-square-foot house in 2015, and finished two years later. HGTV featured the residence during its construction, on the first season of “Container Homes.”

James tells us she’s never seen anything like this home, with influences from all over the world.

Bridging the gap between East and West, the house features an array of Asian influences.

“It has a Japanese garden outside, and it has Tibetan prayer wheels on the entry,” James says, noting that the Japanese tearoom doubles as a meditation room. In a courtyard, a koi pond is outfitted with aquarium glass, which makes it possible to see the fish from inside the house, in the sunken conversation pit.

To read more and watch the video on the top of the page, Click Here

Note: video may be slow to load, but worth the wait!

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HOW TO USE THE NUMBERS BELOW. Appraisals are ordered after the loan application. These numbers tell you the future for the next few weeks. For more information on how they are compiled, Click Here.

Note: I publish a graph of this data every month in my paid monthly newsletter, Appraisal Today. For more information or get a FREE sample go to www.appraisaltoday.com/order Or call 510-865-8041, MTW, 7 AM to noon, Pacific time.

My comments: Rates are going up and down. Many appraisers are not busy. Some are busy, usually with non-lender appraisals.

Mortgage applications increased 1.9 percent from one week earlier

WASHINGTON, D.C. (May 22, 2024) — Mortgage applications increased 1.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 17, 2024.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 1.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 1.1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 7 percent from the previous week and was 21 percent higher than the same week one year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 1 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 2 percent compared with the previous week and was 11 percent lower than the same week one year ago.

“The 30-year fixed mortgage rate declined for the third straight week, dropping to 7.01 percent – the lowest level in seven weeks,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist. “Rates coming down from recent highs spurred some borrowers to act, with increases across both conventional and government refinance applications. VA refinances had a double-digit increase for the third consecutive week, although the current level of refinancing is still well below its historical average. Purchase activity continues to lag despite this recent decline in rates, down 11 percent from a year ago, as potential buyers still face limited for-sale inventory and high list prices.”

The refinance share of mortgage activity increased to 34.0 percent of total applications from 32.0 percent the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity decreased to 6.6 percent of total applications.

The FHA share of total applications increased to 12.8 percent from 12.4 percent the week prior. The VA share of total applications increased to 13.7 percent from 12.7 percent the week prior. The USDA share of total applications decreased to 0.3 percent from 0.4 percent the week prior.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($766,550 or less) decreased to 7.01 percent from 7.08 percent, with points decreasing to 0.60 from 0.63 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio (LTV) loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances (greater than $766,550) decreased to 7.18 percent from 7.22 percent, with points decreasing to 0.44 from 0.58 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages backed by the FHA decreased to 6.77 percent from 6.86 percent, with points decreasing to 0.88 from 0.94 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 6.42 percent from 6.61 percent, with points decreasing to 0.54 from 0.65 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs decreased to 6.48 percent from 6.56 percent, with points decreasing to 0.55 from 0.66 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The survey covers over 75 percent of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications, and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks, and thrifts. Base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100.

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Ann O’Rourke, MAI, SRA, MBA

Appraiser and Publisher Appraisal Today

1826 Clement Ave. Suite 203 Alameda, CA 94501

Phone: 510-865-8041

Email:  ann@appraisaltoday.com

Online: www.appraisaltoday.com