Appraiser Obsolescence?

Newz: Appraiser Obsolescence, ASB – Use of Technology in an Appraisal or Review

April 10, 2026

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA AD: Subpoena Threat Over a 10-Year-Old Appraisal
  • Flags Over Facts: The Road to Obsolescence By Desiree Mehbod
  • Mayfield Ranch: The $4.5 Million Texas Estate on 100 Acres That Looks Like It’s Been Standing for Centuries
  • April Fools Day and Other Important Dates in Appraisal History
  • MY AD: How to Cut Business Expenses
  • March 2026 Housing Market Updates for Appraisers By Kevin Hecht
  • ASB Proposed New Advisory Opinion 41, Use of Technology in an Appraisal or Appraisal Review Assignment
  • MBA: Mortgage applications decreased 0.8 percent from one week earlier

 

 

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Flags Over Facts: The Road to Obsolescence

By Desiree Mehbod

Excerpts: For years, appraisers have been warning that the mortgage industry was slowly engineering us out of the process. We were told we were paranoid. Resistant to change. Stuck in the past. Then the newest Mortgage Credit Executive Order arrived, and the appraisal section opened with a single line that confirmed everything we’ve been saying: expand AVMs, desktops, hybrids, and AI. That’s the priority. Everything else in that section is just polite filler wrapped around a strategy to shrink the role of the human appraiser until we’re little more than a signature at the bottom of a dataset.

And that strategy becomes even clearer when you look at what’s happening behind the scenes. While UAD 3.6 is not fully active yet, the structure being built around it makes the intention impossible to miss. The new system demands an avalanche of hyper‑granular data that has nothing to do with how appraisers actually determine value. Room‑by‑room material ratings, finish classifications, fixture‑level detail, micro‑condition scoring. It’s a level of data extraction designed for machines, not humans.

No buyer cares whether the guest bath faucet is “mid‑grade chrome” or “builder‑grade brushed nickel,” but the new dataset does. Not because it improves valuation, but because it feeds the models. UAD 3.6 turns every full appraisal into a data‑mining operation, with the appraiser acting as the human data‑collection device for a system that wants our expertise now so it can automate it later.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Worth reading. Discusses VA, Road to Housing Act and other topics. Knowledgeable author – the founder of Appraisers Blogs.

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Mayfield Ranch: The $4.5 Million Texas Estate on 100 Acres That Looks Like It’s Been Standing for Centuries

Excerpts: 4 bedrooms, 3.5+ baths, 5,270 sq.ft., 101.t acre lot, built in 1999

3.5+ baths

At first glance, Mayfield Ranch might give some buyers pause. Set deep within more than 100 acres of wild Texas farmland, the imposing stone residence at 3777 Middle Creek Road in Blanco carries an undeniably mysterious presence.

The home has been on and off the market for several years and was most recently listed in mid-March for $4,500,000. It’s currently represented by Rains Mayfield.

Located roughly an hour from Austin, the sprawling ranch offers a rare blend of seclusion and craftsmanship that feels worlds away from modern suburban living.

Outside, the property offers endless possibilities for buyers, given that the land remains largely untouched. There’s ample space to transform the acreage into a working ranch, private retreat, or even a legacy property.

To read the listing with aerials and 40 photos, Click Here

My comment: Some very interesting interior photos.

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April Fools Day and Other Important Dates in Appraisal History

How the Profession Learned to Watch the Calendar

By Mark Buhler

Excerpts: If you’ve been in the appraisal profession long enough, you don’t measure time by years—you measure it by changes.

You remember where you were when HVCC hit. You remember when AMCs took over your phone line. You remember when fees dropped, when revisions increased, when language suddenly mattered as much as data.

And if you’ve been around just a little longer, one date probably stands out more than most:

April Fools Day. Because in this profession, some of the most important changes haven’t just been impactful—they’ve been ironic. 1989: When Licensing Became Reality

The modern appraisal profession, as we know it today, was largely born out of the Savings and Loan Crisis of the 1980s.

More than 1,000 financial institutions failed, costing taxpayers over $150 billion. In the aftermath, one issue became impossible to ignore: there was no consistent system governing how real estate was valued.

The response was FIRREA in 1989.

For the first time, appraisers were required to be licensed or certified for federally related transactions. USPAP became the recognized standard, and federal oversight entered the profession.

This was a necessary step. It brought structure, credibility, and accountability.

But like many changes in this profession, it didn’t come as a preventative measure. It came after the damage was already done.

My comments: A good reminder of when, why and how appraising changes were made and are being made now.

Many of these changes only relate to lender appraisals, for most appraisers. I have not done residential lender appraisals since 2005, but licensing significantly affect all of appraising due to licensing, USPAP, Appraisal Foundation, etc. I started doing lender appraisals in 1986.

Appraising was much better before licensing. Again and again appraisers have been an easy target: no one speaking for us. Most recently was bias and bias mandatory CE classes.

To read more, Click Here

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How to cut business expenses

In the paid monthly Appraisal Today newsletter

Excerpts: This article focuses on cutting business expenses for appraisers. Appraisal volume is down for many appraisers. No one knows how long this will last as we transition to UAD 3.6 and mortgage interest rates remain high.

A few ideas:

Where do you spend your money? Tax time is a good time to do this.

Go through your bookkeeping records and credit cards, looking for expenses

that may not be necessary. Do this for your personal and business expenses.

Many credit card companies have downloadable data that is sortable by vendor or type of expense.

As I usually do when writing an article on this topic, I tried the ideas myself. I am now saving over $1,000 per month.

Look through recurring credit card charges. We often need to remember about monthly, quarterly and annual services that we use sparingly. Although they usually are nominal individually, they can add up.

These are typically for online services and business publications.

Review your credit card statements. Here are a few I found:

– A data service I use sparingly and downgraded my plan.

– Stopped a monthly computer checkup that I can do myself.

Here are a few ideas for what you can look for:

– MLS in areas you don’t work very often. Find another appraiser or real estate agent who can help you.

– A less expensive public records data service.

– Downgrade your Internet service to a slower speed.

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April, 2026 issue emailed on

Monday, April 1, 2026 please email info@appraisaltoday.com, and we will send lt to you. You can also hit the reply button. Be sure to include a comment requesting it. Or, call 510-865-8041

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March 2026 Housing Market Updates for Appraisers

By Kevin Hecht

Excerpts: Just as the spring market showed early signs of stabilization, March delivered a reminder that housing rarely moves in a straight line. Mortgage rates ticked higher, cost pressures resurfaced, and policy uncertainty increased.

For appraisers, the challenge is not simply recognizing change, but determining how quickly those changes are influencing buyer behavior, builder decisions, and ultimately, market value.

Periods like this rarely produce clear signals. Instead, they require careful interpretation of incomplete data, supported adjustments, and clear communication within the appraisal report.

Inflation Pressures Reenter the Conversation

Two developments in March introduced renewed inflation concerns that could influence housing activity through the second quarter.

Geopolitical tensions contributed to volatility in global energy markets, placing upward pressure on mortgage rates. According to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate moved back above recent lows as financial markets adjusted to inflation risk. Even relatively modest rate increases can affect qualification thresholds, monthly payments, and buyer timing decisions.

At the same time, increased global trade tensions are expected to influence construction costs, particularly for imported materials. Builder commentary published through the NAHB Eye on Housing continues to highlight cost sensitivity related to supply chains, labor availability, and financing conditions.

For appraisers, the primary concern is not simply cost increases, but the speed at which those changes begin to influence listing prices, builder incentives, and concession patterns. Cost data that appeared stable earlier in the year may now require additional support and explanation, particularly where replacement cost estimates are sensitive to material pricing fluctuations. March serves as a reminder that housing markets respond to a wide range of influences beyond seasonal patterns. Interest rates, policy decisions, global events, and construction costs all interact to shape buyer and seller behavior.

For practicing appraisers, the fundamentals remain unchanged:

Rely on current, local market evidence whenever possible.

Analyze concessions carefully to understand effective sale prices.

Verify financing terms that may influence contract prices.

Support adjustments with clearly documented reasoning.

Explain changing market conditions within the report narrative.

Avoid broad assumptions based solely on national trends.

Markets do not need to be in crisis to become more complex. Transitional periods often require more careful support, more detailed commentary, and greater attention to timing differences between comparable transactions.

Automated tools can identify patterns, but they often lag when conditions shift quickly. The ability to interpret evolving data and communicate conclusions clearly remains central to professional appraisal practice.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: There are many similar analyses available, but this is the only one that says what the changes mean for appraisers. It is the only analysis that I always read. Written by an appraiser who is an economist.

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ASB Proposed New Advisory Opinion 41, Use of Technology in an Appraisal or Appraisal Review Assignment

Excerpts: We wanted to share a brief summary of the Appraisal Standards Board’s Second Exposure Draft for Proposed Advisory Opinion 41 (AO-41), titled Use of Technology in an Appraisal or Appraisal Review Assignment (March 12, 2026), and highlight some important implications for the real estate appraisal profession.

The purpose of AO-41 is to clarify how existing USPAP requirements apply when appraisers use technology in appraisal and appraisal review assignments. This includes tools such as Automated Valuation Models (AVMs), regression and statistical software, machine learning, artificial intelligence (AI), and other automated or semi-automated systems. Importantly, this draft does not create new USPAP standards. Instead, it provides guidance on how current USPAP obligations already apply when technology is used.

The most important takeaway is that technology may assist the appraisal process, but it does not replace the appraiser’s professional judgment. AO-41 makes it clear that a tool cannot comply with USPAP—only the appraiser can. Any data, analysis, or output produced by a tool remains just that: information. It does not become an appraisal conclusion or assignment result unless and until the appraiser independently evaluates it and determines that it is credible and appropriate for the intended use.

Overall, this proposed guidance is significant because it formally recognizes the growing role of AI and other technologies in appraisal practice while reinforcing a core USPAP principle: the appraiser—not the technology—is always responsible for the credibility of the assignment results..

Deadline for public comment is April 13, 2026

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Thanks to Green Mountain eLearning for this timely article. Worth reading. Good to see that the ASB is writing about this very important topic and what it means for appraisers.

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HOW TO USE THE NUMBERS BELOW. Appraisals are ordered after the loan application. These numbers tell you the future for the next few weeks. For more information on how they are compiled, Click Here.

Note: I publish a graph of this data every month in my paid monthly newsletter, Appraisal Today. For more information or get a FREE sample go to www.appraisaltoday.com/order Or call 510-865-8041, MTW, 7 AM to noon, Pacific time.

My comments: Rates are going up and down. We are all waiting for rates to drop lower in 2027.

Mortgage applications decreased 0.8 percent from one week earlier

WASHINGTON, D.C. (April 8, 2026) — Mortgage applications decreased 0.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 3, 2026.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 0.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 3 percent from the previous week and was 4 percent lower than the same week one year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 1 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index increased 1 percent compared with the previous week and was 7 percent lower than the same week one year ago.

“Higher mortgage rates and continued economic uncertainty weighed down on mortgage applications again last week. While mortgage rates saw a slight reprieve, with the 30-year fixed rate decreasing to 6.51 percent, many potential refinance borrowers have been frozen out by the sharp increase over the past month. The pace of refinance applications was at its lowest level since December 2025,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist. “Overall purchase activity has also been adversely impacted by current conditions – purchase applications were 7 percent lower on a year-over-year basis, the first annual decline since January 2025. However, certain loan types and geographic segments are faring better than others because of lower rates on ARM and FHA loans as well as growing housing inventory in some local markets. Applications for FHA purchase applications were up 5 percent over the week, supported by the FHA mortgage rate being about 30 basis points lower than the conventional mortgage rate.”

The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 44.3 percent of total applications from 45.3 percent the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity increased to 8.6 percent of total applications.

The FHA share of total applications decreased to 19.3 percent from 19.5 percent the week prior. The VA share of total applications remained unchanged at 16.1 percent from the week prior. The USDA share of total applications remained unchanged at 0.5 percent from the week prior.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($832,750 or less) decreased to 6.51 percent from 6.57 percent, with points decreasing to 0.61 from 0.65 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio (LTV) loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances (greater than $832,750) decreased to 6.54 percent from 6.59 percent, with points decreasing to 0.35 from 0.43 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages backed by the FHA decreased to 6.22 percent from 6.25 percent, with points decreasing to 0.73 from 0.81 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 5.90 percent from 5.89 percent, with points decreasing to 0.74 from 0.75 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate increased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs decreased to 5.60 percent from 5.67 percent, with points increasing to 0.68 from 0.56 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The survey covers U.S. closed-end residential mortgage applications originated through retail and consumer direct channels. The survey has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks, thrifts, and credit unions. Base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100.

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Ann O’Rourke, MAI, SRA, MBA

Appraiser and Publisher Appraisal Today

1826 Clement Ave. Suite 203 Alameda, CA 94501

Phone: 510-865-8041

Email:  ann@appraisaltoday.com

Online: www.appraisaltoday.com

Appraisal Regulator Chaos

Newz: Appraisal Regulator Chaos , Cat and Raccoon Damages, Wildfire Risks

September 5, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)
NOTE: Scroll down to see Appraisal Regulator Chaos

  • LIA AD: Legal Request for Old Appraisal
  • The Kitty Litter Duplex: An Appraisal I Wish to Not Remember
  • $300K Maryland Home Is Overrun by Feral Cats and Raccoons
  • The Full Measure August 2025: Navigating Rates, Inventory, and Affordability
  • Appraisal Regulatory Chaos
  • The Town With No Bank: How Rural America Lost Its Mortgage Lifeline By Dallas T. Kiedrowski, MNAA
  • New Cotality Wildfire Risk Report finds more than 2.6 million homes are exposed to moderate or greater wildfire risk
  • Mortgage applications decreased 1.2 percent from one week earlier
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The Kitty Litter Duplex: An Appraisal I Wish to Not Remember

Excerpts: How one property’s furballs left an unforgettable impression on an apartment and an appraiser

Introduction

In the world of real estate, surprises abound. Industry professionals, especially appraisers, all expect the unexpected, but even the most seasoned professionals can stumble across situations that test the limits of their experience, composure, and their judgement. There are stories of haunted houses, collapsing ceilings, and outlandish tenant actions and decorative choices (Live, Laugh, Love), but the tale of the cat-soiled duplex stands out for its sheer yuck-factor. This is the story of what should be a routine property appraisal, which became cemented in my experience stories, due to its unfathomability and coated in an unmistakable, noxious layer of feline mischief.

The Setting: An Unimposing Duplex with a Dirty Little Secret…

The Appraisal Appointment: An Unforgettable First Impression

…I could only see the flooring in the opening and a few other spots around the living room from about a foot outside the threshold, the rest of the floor was completely caked with cat poop. The walls, ceiling, and windows were all enveloped by heavy spider webs in a variety of states, while some were fresh looking, others clearly blackened from a long life filled with dust, dirt, fur, and of course fecal matter. Also, you could see multiple patches of orange mold scattered throughout the walls and ceiling. I quickly replied I would not be going in there, because it was a danger to my health and safety, which somehow surprised her….

Financial and Health Implications: When Cleanliness Becomes a Value Killer

Hygiene, general maintenance, and property values parallel each other. This may be why we have condition codes for our appraisals. Just saying…. I made sure to thoroughly explain the situation and how the value was determined in the report. I did not want this rolling back downhill and getting me. Luckily, a very gracious Fresno Construction, was able to give me a quote very quickly, which came just over $100,000 for an estimate to redo the unit in its entirety.

Conclusion

The Kitty Litter Unit stands as a testament to both the resilience of a property and the unpredictability investors face. Especially in this case, since it was for an estate of a deceased former owner.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: I appraised a house for a relocation company – one story with 3 bedrooms. There were cats on every surface above the floor, such as dressers, – all staring at me of course. In the rear of the home was a very large cat enclosure. They were rescue cats, temporarily at the home. I did not ask the owner where the cats would go when she relocated – back to the shelter or with go with her.  I will never forget about all those cat eyes staring at me!

I had another relocation appraisal where the male cat had sprayed urine along several walls in the living room. I told the relocation company to replace the drywall.

Of course, I could fill up a book with dog stories. Such as two Dobermans that broke down the door of a trailer to get to me. I somehow made it to my car and I will never forget it. Or the small dogs who bit my ankles as I was trying to get through the front door (home was owned by an appraiser I knew). For both appraisals, I told my lender client to get another appraiser.

Read more!!

12 APPRAISAL MYTHS

Newz: 12 Appraisal Myths, Appraisal Bias Lawsuit

August 8, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA AD: Legal Request for Old Appraisal
  • 12 Common Appraisal Myths/Misconceptions by Tom Horn
  • $750K Hobbit-Style Bunker in Tennessee Puts a Unique Spin on Underground Living
  • The Appraiser’s Market Compass: Navigating the Summer 2025 Housing Landscape By Kevin Hecht, Appraiser and Economist
  • Appraiser questions answered: Interview with Craig Capilla, Attorney
  • No, Appraisers Didn’t Cause America’s Racial Wealth Gap by Jeremy Bagott
  • Mortgage applications increased 3.1 percent from one week earlier

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12 Common Appraisal Myths/Misconceptions

By Tom Horn

Excerpts:

1. Appraisers Rely Primarily on Price Per Square Foot

This is probably the most common misunderstanding I run into.

Yes, price per square foot is one of many tools we use to analyze value—but it’s not the whole story.

2. Appraisals Are Just a Quick Comparison of Recent Sales

Some folks think appraisers pull the three most recent sales and call it a day.

In reality, it’s much more involved. We look at a wide range of comparable sales, analyze market trends, make adjustments for differences between properties, and apply professional judgment.

3. Appraisals and Home Inspections Are the Same

This is a big one for homeowners and buyers.

Home inspections focus on the condition and function of the property—things like the roof, HVAC, plumbing, and safety issues. The inspector is looking for problems.

Appraisals, on the other hand, are focused on value. We observe the overall condition, yes, but we don’t test systems or check for code compliance.

4. Automated Valuation Models (AVMs) Like Zillow Zestimates Are Equivalent to Appraisals

Zillow can be helpful for a ballpark estimate, but it’s not an appraisal.

AVMs use algorithms, public data, and sometimes outdated or incorrect info. They don’t know if your kitchen was remodeled last year or if the neighbor’s home was a distressed sale.

5. The Purpose of the Appraisal Changes the Value

This one trips people up sometimes.

They’ll ask, “What’s the value for a refinance?” or “How much is it worth for a divorce?” as if the answer changes depending on why we’re appraising it.

To read the details and all 12 reasons, Click Here

My comments: Read this blog post. It can help you keep out of hassles and problems when appraising. When you get asked these questions you will know how to respond.  Written for real estate agents, buyers, sellers and many other people but excellent tips for appraisers.

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$750K Hobbit-Style Bunker in Tennessee Puts a Unique Spin on Underground Living

Excerpts: 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, 3,024 sq.ft., built in 2010, 38.84 acre lot

When you think of a bunker, you probably don’t imagine a three-bedroom abode that’s brimming with modernity—which is just one of the reasons that a newly listed dwelling in Tennessee comes as a surprise.

Tucked into the hillside like a doomsday bunker, this Bethel Springs residence was originally built in 2010, yet it boasts a historic Hobbit-style feel akin to the quaint homes depicted in J.R.R. Tolkien’s picturesque Shire.

But much like Tolkien’s books, this home should not be judged by its cover.

Despite its bunker-esque setting and Hobbit-inspired exterior, inside the dwelling is a modern marvel, having been thoughtfully remodeled by its current owners to include an open floor plan and design-forward finishes like granite countertops and luxury vinyl plank flooring.

To read more plus photos, Click Here

To read the listing with 50 photos, Click Here

Read more!!

Changes to FHA Appraisal Requirements

Newz: FHA Appraisal Changes, Fannie Measurement Standards Update

July 4, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA AD: Unreasonable Subpoena Request
  • HUD Announces Changes to FHA Appraisal Requirements
  • The Rock House In Larkspur CO Is Back On The Market for $1,000,000
  • Baghdad Bob of Freddie Mac Merits Mention As Mideast Erupts
  • The Full Measure – June 25, 2025 By Kevin Hecht, Appraiser and Economist
  • Fannie: Standardizing Property Measuring Guidelines
  • MBA: Mortgage applications increased 2.7 percent from one week earlier

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HUD Announces Changes to FHA Appraisal Requirements

Excerpts: There are four significant appraisal-related revisions to Section II. D. of the Handbook.

  1. Subject and comparable photograph requirements have been revised….
  2. The appraiser is no longer required to state the remaining economic life of the dwelling in the appraisal report.
  3. In situations in which the subject is located in an increasing or decreasing market, the appraiser is no longer required to include an absorption analysis, a minimum of two sales that closed within 90 days of the effective date, and two active listings or pending sales.
  4. For Section 223(e) mortgages, the appraiser is no longer required to include an estimate of remaining physical life for the subject property improvements.

It is important to note that the originating lender is the client, not HUD/FHA, and as such, the lender may still require some or all the above items.

To read more, Click Here

To read the full document, Mortgagee Letter 2025-18, Click Here

My comments: Read the full article above and the original Morgagee Letter (Link above) for more details if you do FHA appraisals.

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The Rock House In Larkspur CO Is Back On The Market for $1,000,000

Excerpts: 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2,432 sq.ft., 0.86 acre lot. Built in 2000.

The Larkspur Rock House is an iconic Flinstones style home, and now it can be yours for only $1,000,000. The rocks are maybe 200 million years old!!!Outdoor living spaces.

The Rock House is anything but ordinary—this striking, stucco-clad home is seamlessly built into a soaring red rock monolith, transforming nature’s artistry into a one-of-a-kind architectural statement.

The dramatic rock wall isn’t a backdrop—it’s the centerpiece, rising through all three levels and anchoring each floor in natural grandeur. Every space is visually and physically connected to the monolith at its core.

To read more, Click Here

To read the listing, Click Here

https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/6619-Apache-Pl-Larkspur-CO-80118/13497121_zpid/

Read more!!

Pending Sales for Appraisers

Newz: PAVE Problems, Outdated Mortgage Regulations

May 30, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: Should I Complete this Assignment?
  • Pending Sales May Be Your Secret Weapon To Accurate Listings and Appraisals
  • $3.69 Million ‘Tron’-Inspired Mansion With ’80s Speakeasy and Ferrari-Themed Office
  • The Full Measure: May 2025 Housing Market Recap for Appraisers
  • TEAPOTS Exposed: The PAVE Initiative’s Illusion of Justice
  • Outdated Mortgage Regulations
  • Mortgage applications decreased 1.2 percent from one week earlier

Click here to subscribe to our FREE weekly appraiser email newsletter and get the latest appraisal news

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Pending Sales May Be Your Secret Weapon To Accurate Listings and Appraisals

Excerpts: Bottom line: Pending sales show you what’s happening now and where prices are headed. Skip them, and you’re stuck looking at yesterday instead of today.

Closed Sales Lag—Pendings Lead

The Built‑In Delay

  • A March 1 contract might not close until late April. By then:
  • Rates could move 50–75 basis points.
  • A new round of housing inventory could hit the market.
  • Economic news—jobs reports and inflation scares can spook buyers.

Appraiser’s View: How We Use Pending Sales (Even When We’re Handcuffed to Closings)

Time adjustments

Compare contract prices to 30‑60‑day‑old closings to justify ± market‑trend tweaks. If pendings are 3 % higher, you can show upward pressure — great ammo for your list price.

Feature bracketing

No pool comps closed? A pool home pending $25 k higher becomes my clue. Helps you price premium features correctly.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Good discussion of many aspects of using pendings. Written for real estate agents, but many good tips for appraisers. I always look at pendings, including the ratio of pendings to listings. I got some good ideas from this blog post.  I have been appraising for 50 years. I like learning something new!

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$3.69 Million ‘Tron’-Inspired Mansion With ’80s Speakeasy and Ferrari-Themed Office

Excerpts: 3 bedrooms, 3.5 baths, 4,853 sq.ft., 8,509 sq.ft. lot

Futuristic, three-bedroom mansion that was inspired by the hit 2010 sci-fi movie “Tron: Legacy” has made a high-speed return to the market in Dallas, where it is listed for $3.69 million.

The decked-out dwelling, which also boasts an auto showroom in the living room and a Ferrari-themed home office, has been driven right to the top of the week’s most popular home’s list, after pulling in a huge amount of interest from buyers thanks to its very unique aesthetic.

Opulence abounds in every room of the property, which is spread across 4,853 square feet and includes a 1980s speakeasy with “turquoise tufted walls,” as well as a dramatic two-story living room with soaring ceilings.

To see the listing with 40 photos and a virtual tour, Click Here

My comments: See the wild interior photos with Ferraris and many unusual features!

Read more!!

Surplus vs. Excess Land for Appraisers

Newz: Surplus vs. Excess Land, Interest Rate Drop? GSE Oversight?

May 2, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: Am I Still on the ‘Do Not Use’ List?
  • Surplus Land vs. Excess Land: What Appraisers Needs to Know
  • 5 Mind-Boggling Optical Illusion Houses That Have To Be Seen To Be Believed
  • Fed officials offer differing signals on timing of potential interest rate cuts
  • Fed seen cutting policy rate by a full percentage point this year
  • The Balancing Act: How Appraisers Can Navigate Supply Shortages, Interest Rates, and Tariffs
  • A Cry from the Appraisal Trenches: The Fall of GSE Oversight
  • Mortgage applications decreased 4.2 percent from one week earlier

Surplus vs. Excess Land for Appraisals

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Surplus Land vs. Excess Land: What Appraisers Needs to Know

By Kevin Hecht

Excerpts: Land valuation is a fundamental aspect of real estate appraisal, influencing property transactions, development decisions, and investment strategies. A key part of the process involves distinguishing between the land that supports the property’s current use and any additional land that may—or may not—have independent value.

Commonly, a square footage adjustment is made based on lot size differences among comparable properties without one key distinction – whether the difference in land is surplus or excess land. This fails to consider whether the extra land has value independent of the subject property.

Surplus land and excess land are often confused. Surplus land is land which adds no value independently of the property being appraised. Excess land, on the other hand, has value because it can be divided and sold separately. These distinct differences must be accounted for in an appraisal.

Here we will discuss what constitute excess and surplus land, common methods used to identify each, and why it matters….

Methods for Identifying Surplus vs. Excess Land

Residential appraisers commonly make a dollar per square foot adjustment for differences in lot size among comparable properties without distinguishing whether the land is surplus or excess. The problem with this approach is that it fails to consider highest and best use where excess land—land that can be independently sold or valued—creates a premium.

This question cannot be answered without evaluating zoning and legal restrictions of the property.

For example, just because a property is large enough to support a second structure, zoning may prohibit multiple residences on a single lot or there may be legal restrictions in terms of land coverage and minimum square footage requirements. If this were the case, it would be considered surplus land.

When determining if land is excess land, appraisers must consider legal permissibility, physical possibility, financial feasibility, and profitability.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Read this blog post. Residential appraisers can easily make a mistake on this topic and get into trouble.

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5 Mind-Boggling Optical Illusion Houses That Have To Be Seen To Be Believed

Excerpts: Photo above info:

2. 8198 Uphill Rd, Joshua Tree, CA

Price: $17,950,000

The Invisible House: This mirrored mansion is the brainchild of film producer Chris Hanley and Frank Gehry collaborator Tomas Osinski, who designed the home to seemingly vanish into its desert surroundings.

At first glance, you might not notice the 5,470-square-foot residence staring back at you. Nestled on 67.5 acres, the shimmering structure was created with the intent of connecting its residents with the desert through the mirrored glass exterior. The three-bedroom estate’s interior is just as astonishing featuring retractable glass walls; a 100-foot, heated indoor swimming pool; and a 224-square-foot, white wall designed for movie screenings.

Whether you are looking for a home that quite literally disappears into the Arizona desert or one that mirrors its landscape in the Hamptons, these works of jaw-dropping art not only offer a captivating design but a remarkable setting.

From California to New York, we found five optical illusion abodes that will leave you wondering if they are playing tricks on your eyes.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Click on the addresses for the listing. I have written about some of these before. I am fascinated by these types of homes. Now you can see 5 of them in one link. My favorite is the home in the photo above.

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Appraisers and Firearms

Newz: Appraisers and Firearms,Future of Home Finance and GSEs, Q1 2025 Fannie Mae Appraiser Update – New URAR

April 4, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: A Family Feud and Intended Use
  • Experiences with Firearms as an Appraiser: When Tenants Behave Unexpectedly in “Their Area”
  • Billionaire Opendoor Founder’s Three-Winged ‘Propeller Home’ Hits the Market for $40 Million
  • Appraisal Institute Scandal – Widespread Fraud Uncovered
  • Housing Market Shows Early Signs of Spring By Kevin Hecht, SRA
  • Reshaping Home Finance: The Future of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and U.S. Mortgage Policy By Rob Chrisman
  • Originator jobs; Stated income loans; DOGE shifts its attention; Fannie lawsuit; clear path for rates By Rob Chrisman
  • Q1 2025 Fannie Mae Appraiser Update! – New UAD Sample Reports and Ratings, Time Adjustments
  • Mortgage applications decreased 1.6 percent from one week earlier

 

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Experiences with Firearms as an Appraiser: When Tenants Behave Unexpectedly in “Their Area”

Excerpts: Appraisers often find themselves in a wide variety of settings and situations. I mean, we are entering people’s homes, somewhere that most people see as their comfort zones and a place they are not open to having a stranger poke around in. We as professionals understand this and usually try to make it as quick and painless as possible. There are those moments where it turns into a “memorable experience” and homeowners or tenants feel like they must make it known we are not welcome.

I personally am batting .1000 this year on multi-family properties, where tenants have felt it was necessary for me to get the message, by brandishing a firearm. I will share the following two situations, how I personally managed it, explain why I do not personally carry a concealed firearm, and ask you readers to tell me if this is common or for similar memorable experiences.

For more information and to read the appraiser comments, Click Here

My comments: My first appraisal-related job was with the Monterey (California) County Assessor’s office. It was transitioning to computerized valuation. I was a temporary “appraiser assistant” hired to go to properties to see if the county appraisal records needed updating.

In those days (mid-1970s), properties were reappraised regularly to increase the assessments and property taxes were increased.

I knocked on the door and was met with a man carrying a shotgun. He said: Go away assessor! I don’t remember the city, but it was not in a rural area. I left and told my supervisor to find someone else to do the inspection.

I have never owned a firearm and would never carry one. No one I knew owned a firearm except for my husband, who had firearm training when he was teaching horticulture at a state prison. I would not allow a firearm in our house but still keep a baseball bat by my front door “just in case”.

But, recreational firing at a target was on my “bucket list”. An appraiser friend took me to a local firing range. I tried handguns, rifles and shotguns. Some worked like machine guns with many bullets fired at one time. I really liked it the best. Next time I go to Las Vegas I will try out real machine guns. Trying to hit a target did not appeal to me. Ya never know until you try!

Of course, I have had many encounters with dogs. One was when I was appraising the house of an appraiser I knew. I was met with small dogs biting my ankles. When the owner put the dogs away I continued with the appraisal. Another time, in a rural area, 3 large Dobermans broke down the door of a mobile home and ran toward me. I managed to get in my car. I told the lender to get another appraiser.

When markets crashed I did a lot of foreclosure appraisals. I made a lot of noise opening the door and loudly saying I was an appraiser for the lender and needed to come inside. I never had a problem. But some appraisers requested that a police officer accompany them when the home looked “sketchy” to them from the outside.

Read more!!

Appraisal Sq. Ft. Appraisal vs. Assessor/Public Records

Newz: Sq. Ft. Appraisal vs. Assessor, The “R” Word, HUD Appraiser Complaints

March 14, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

    1. LIA AD: Navigating value revisions in appraisals
    2. Why Is the Square Footage in Public Records Different from the Appraisal?
    3. 5 Properties With ADUs or In-Law Suites
    4. Open Letter to Government Efficiency Commission on HUD’s Appraiser Complaints
    5. The “R” word in real estate – Recession
    6. Going In-Depth on a Delicate Issue: The Invisible Fence of Racial Discrimination
    7. Mortgage applications increased 11.2 percent from one week earlier

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Why Is the Square Footage in Public Records Different from the Appraisal?

By Tom Horn

Excerpts:

Why Accuracy Matters

Square footage is one of the most critical factors in determining a home’s value, yet it is often misunderstood. Many homeowners and real estate agents assume that the square footage listed in public records is accurate, but that’s not always the case. When an appraiser measures a home, their calculation often differs from what’s in tax records. These discrepancies can lead to confusion, mispricing, and even appraisal challenges.

Why Square Footage Discrepancies Occur

Public Records vs. Appraisal Measurements

The square footage listed in public records typically comes from the county tax assessor’s office. Assessors determine square footage based on:

Builder-reported figures:…

Estimates or outdated records:…

Conversions and Additions

Another common reason for discrepancies is home modifications. If a homeowner adds square footage without the proper permits, tax records may not reflect the change. Examples include:

Unpermitted additions:…

Incorrect classifications:…

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Worth reading. Written for non-appraisers but the best explanations I have ever read about this topic. I worked for an assessor’s office for my first 4 years of appraising, starting in 1975. I was given a geographic area and appraised every residential in it. Fantastic experience. I learned a lot. I was very lucky. Very different than lender appraising, where you only appraise properties that are suitable for mortgage loans.

The March 2025 issue of Appraisal Today has a very comprehensive article for appraisers: Can you use the assessor’s assessment values for site valuation, by Tim Andersen, MAI.

Read more!!

Finding Comps with Few Sales for Appraisers

Newz: Pulling Comps in 2025, Appraiser Union? AMCs Overcharging Consumers

March 7, 2025

  • What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)
  • LIA ad: Problem with An Affidavit
  • The struggle of pulling comps in 2025 By Ryan Lundquist
  • Op-Ed: Why An Appraiser Union Would Never Work By Dustin Harris
  • The Full Measure: February 2025 Housing Market Snapshot for Appraisers By Kevin Hecht
  • The Trump Administration’s Regulatory Overhaul: The Impact on CFPB, FHA, and the Housing Industry By Rob Chrisman
  • Homebuilders Warn of Rising Building Costs as Trump’s Tariffs on Canada and Mexico Take Effect By NAR
  • AMCs Overcharging Consumers? Morgan & Morgan Investigates
  • Mortgage applications decreased 1.2 percent from one week earlier

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The struggle of pulling comps in 2025

By Ryan Lundquist

Excerpts:

1) SALES TELL US ABOUT THE PAST

Comps aren’t easy today. The problem is there aren’t that many sales, so it’s not so simple to figure out value. Lately, I’ve been getting a ton of questions about this, so I wanted to share some things I’m doing on my end….

2) TWO OPTIONS TODAY

We have two choices for comps. Go back further in time in the immediate neighborhood, or go out further to competitive areas. Why not do both?…

3) HOW FAR AWAY CAN YOU GO FOR COMPS?

It’s not how far you can go, but where you should go. Read that again. This is true in any market. And where would buyers go for comps? That’s also a viable question. No matter where you’re getting comps, be sure they are a good substitution…

To read lots more plus see graphs and read appraiser comments, Click Here

My comments: Read This Article! Few sales are common in many areas. I prefer going back in time. I have been doing time adjustments since 1975, when prices were going up 5% per month in a semi-rural Northern California county. The GSEs seem to be making it way more complicated. I do them on every appraisal. If not needed, I always comment that the market is stable. It is the only adjustment I make on my non-lender appraisals, except for features that are unusual.

I have no idea why the GSEs complain that many appraisers are not doing them when needed. Maybe the appraisers never learned how? Many dollar adjustments are needed on the grid and can be much more difficult than time adjustments.

Read more!!

Climate Change and Home Values

Newz: Waivers Increasing, The New URAR: Markets vs. Neighborhoods , Climate Change and Home Values

February 7, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA AD: Should I consider this an actual claim?

  • How Climate Change Could Upend the American Dream – Declining Home Values

  • A Sporty Paradise in Your Own Backyard: 5 Homes With Awe-Inspiring Athletic Amenities – From Hockey Rinks to Boxing Rings

  • Trump’s War on DEI: Immediate Effects for Appraisers

  • The Full Measure: January 2025 Housing Market Insights for Appraisers

  • Waivers Increasing and Trends Over Time

  • There Goes the Neighborhood…The New URAR: Markets vs. Neighborhoods

  • Mortgage applications increased 2.2 percent from one week earlier.

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How Climate Change Could Upend the American Dream

Declining Home Values

Excerpts: Americans have long accumulated wealth by owning their homes, but a new study predicts that spiking insurance rates and climate disasters now herald an era of widespread losses.

One little-discussed result is that soaring home prices in the United States may have peaked in the places most at risk, leaving the nation on the precipice of a generational decline. That’s the finding of a new analysis by the First Street, a research firm that studies climate threats to housing and provides some of the best climate adaptation data available, both freely and commercially. The analysis predicts an extraordinary reversal in housing fortunes for Americans — nearly $1.5 trillion in asset losses over the next 30 years.

Climate change is upending the basic assumption that Americans can continue to build wealth and financial security by owning their own home. In a sense, it is upending the American dream.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: I hear about, and see, more listings that are including climate risk levels. I have not seen discussions on the future of home values in risky areas. I live 10 miles from a very risky area – Oakland CA hills. I am too far away to be at risk. My insurance company, State Farm, is requesting a 22% increase in homeowner’s insurance. Insurers have been not renewing individual homes for various reasons. Will I have to pay the same rates as the Oakland hills, which is very high risk and had a major fire in 2001?

I quit doing appraisals in the Oakland hills about 15 years ago due to high personal risk if a fire starts while I am there. Narrow, winding, one lane roads. Very difficult to escape from fire. Most of my city has risks from sea level rise and some parts have flooding risks, but my home is not included fortunately.

How will appraisers make adjustments for risky homes?

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