ChatGPT for Appraisers

Newz: Appraisers using ChatGPT,
Appraiser Salaries, PAREA Problems

May 16, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: Appraisal Used in Divorce Case – Now What
  • The Power of AI Is Not Absolute Using Chat GTP for Appraisers
  • Retired Maine Railroad Caboose
  • [Updated 2025] What’s the Average Real Estate Appraiser Salary?
  • Indemnification Clauses: What Appraisers Should Know
  • Treasury yields surge, but Fed rate cut odds decline after U.S.-China tariff pause. Mortgage rates may be poised to rise following de-escalation of tariff tensions
  • The PAREA Program: Costly Promises, Empty Support
  • Mortgage applications increased 1.1 percent from one week earlier

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The Power of AI Is Not Absolute
Appraisers Using ChatGPT

Excerpts: With the great power of artificial intelligence comes the responsibility to fact-check.

Artificial intelligence (AI), particularly ChatGPT, has captured the attention of professionals across various industries, including residential appraisal. With ChatGPT now reaching more than 100 million weekly users, according to OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, it’s clear that AI is poised to become a mainstay in our digital toolkit.

ChatGPT is an AI chatbot, powered by a large language model (LLM), which can comb through a vast amount of information and generate text in response to a question or prompt. This ability led me to explore its potential in “seeing” and evaluating property photos, which ultimately inspired me to create the RoboRater tool.

There were some early hiccups — and a learning curve — when I began prompting the AI tool to apply Uniform Appraisal Dataset (UAD) quality and condition ratings to what it “saw” in property photos. And then, in November 2023, Open AI introduced a feature allowing pro users to develop a custom generative pre-trained transformer (GPT), which led to a breakthrough. It enabled me, with no coding background, to tailor a specific version of ChatGPT that excels at assessing kitchen quality and condition ratings from photos, complete with insightful supporting commentary.

ChatGPT as a Writing and Public Relations (PR) Assistant

ChatGPT can also be an invaluable writing assistant and PR specialist, especially in sensitive communication scenarios like Reconsiderations of Value (ROV). It can skillfully rephrase blunt feedback into professional, constructive commentary.

Other topics:

Enhancing Clarity in Technical Reporting

Optimizing Appraisal Business Operations

Navigating the Limitations

To read more, Click Here

My comments: This is the most practical article I have read for appraisers using ChatGPT with good appraiser examples. I am going to start using it soon! Tim Andersen, the USPAP expert, recently wrote an article for Appraisal Today using ChatGTP.

AI does not always work out well.

For example. State Bar of California admits it used AI to develop exam questions.

Nearly two months after hundreds of prospective California lawyers complained that their bar exams were plagued with technical problems and irregularities, the state’s legal licensing body has caused fresh outrage by admitting that some multiple-choice questions were developed with the aid of artificial intelligence.

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Retired Maine Railroad Caboose That Has Been Turned Into a Quaint Cottage

Excepts: The camp in question is actually built around a retired Maine Central Railroad car that has been transformed into a quaint and cozy, cabin-style abode situated on a 1-acre lot in Madrid Township. The one-of-a-king listing has sped its way to the top spot on this week’s most popular homes list.

Whether you are looking for a unique hideaway to call your own or you’re an investor on the hunt for a rare rental property, this one-bedroom residence will have you on the right track with its very affordable $129,000 price tag.

Offered fully furnished, the tiny 360-square-foot home is loaded with “plenty of railway memorabilia,” including original observation seats found in two loft areas and railroad crossing signs at the entrance to the property.

To see the listing with 60 photos, Click Here

My comments: I have always been fascinated by cabooses – both on a train and moved on land. Maybe someday I will travel on a train in one or go to one and see the interior of caboose on land.

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[Updated 2025] What’s the Average Real Estate Appraiser Salary?

Excerpts: Survey data from the 2025 Appraisal Salary Guide shows that an appraiser’s annual income varies according to factors such as license level, education level, specialization, and more.

On average, appraisers earn $106,188 a year. However, as you can see from the chart below, the average annual appraiser salary varies significantly across license levels:

Trainee appraisers earn an average annual income of about $61K

Licensed residential appraisers earn approximately $67K

Certified residential appraisers earn more than $91K

Certified general appraisers make approximately $131K

Other Factors that Affect Salary

Data from the 2025 Appraisal Salary Guide shows that the average real estate appraiser salary rises not only with license level, but also education level and specialization.

Note that many real estate appraisers (70% of our survey respondents) work for themselves and are not salaried employees. If you operate as an independent appraiser or run your own appraisal business, your income will vary somewhat from year to year. However, our survey results show that self-employed appraisers earn more than those who work for appraisal companies, government agencies, appraisal management companies (AMCs), or a lender.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Most residential appraisers are fee appraisers. This data and analysis shows you salaries. Compare it with your annual fee income and what you can do to increase your income.

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New URAR: Good news for appraisers who are not sure if AMCs will not pay low fees, too much to learn, using tablets, etc.

I’m working on my third article on the new URAR for the June issue: What is New in the New URAR. I go through a sample report line by line and list the changes on each page. I really like it.

The New URAR is a dramatic upgrade from the typewriter forms we have been using since the 1960s. For example, putting comments where they are needed. No more 20-40 page addendums that only the appraiser reads and maybe a few others read.

  • May issue: Review of new class
  • April issue: New URAR What It Means for Appraisers

New URAR use for VA, FHA, and USDA mortgages may be delayed

The New URAR is set up for VA, FHA and USDA but it is very unlikely that they will be able to get their systems set up by November 2, 2026 as they have limited resources. Source: Jeff Bradford, Bradford Technologies appraisal software, speaking at a recent annual local residential conference in Fairfield CA (Close to Sacramento).

Also, many departments in the federal government are being downsized making it less likely they will be able to set it up for their systems..

What if you’re not sure or don’t want to do New URAR reports on November 2, 2026 when it is required for GSE mortgages?

You will not be able to do any GSE appraisals but can do VA, FHA, and USDA appraisals using the current forms. You will have some appraisal work.

You will have time to get more information to help you decide on the New URAR. You will know what AMCs are paying for them as compared with FHA and VA form appraisals.

There will be issues, as it is a major change for appraisers. You will know about some issues before the November 2, 2026 deadline, to help you decide if you want to use the New URAR.

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Indemnification Clauses: What Appraisers Should Know

by Isaac Peck, Senior Broker at OREP.org

Excerpts: It’s a tale as old as time. When adding an appraiser to their appraisal panel, a lender or appraisal management company (AMC) will present to the new appraiser a 5-15 page-long “Appraisal Services Agreement” or “Appraiser Engagement Agreement” for signature. Inside these service agreements is an often-discussed and disputed clause: the indemnification clause.

Indemnification clauses were popularized in the years following the 2007/2008 real estate crash, as AMCs took over market share after the passage of HVCC and the Dodd-Frank Act.

Today, the vast majority of lenders and AMCs ask appraisers to sign an agreement that contains an indemnification clause. I just reviewed a service agreement from Wells Fargo where the indemnification provisions spanned nearly a full page!

If You Hire a Subcontractor

I tell this story to appraisers and AMCs alike when they ask me about indemnification clauses. Common law indemnification theory dictates that the party responsible for the mistake should pay for it. From a practical standpoint (especially when it comes to insurance), indemnification clauses make all the difference.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Worth reading for info indemnification agreements that we don’t like to think about or read.

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Treasury yields surge, but Fed rate cut odds decline after U.S.-China tariff pause

Mortgage rates may be poised to rise following de-escalation of tariff tensions

May 12, 2025

Excerpts: The announcement of a 90-day pause in the U.S.-China trade war, and that both countries agreed to drastically reduce tariffs on each other’s imports during that time, sent stocks and Treasury yields soaring Monday. Futures traders also sharply cut the odds of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in July, pushing the likely timeline of a Fed rate cut to the fall.

All of which may be good news for 401(k) balances but may spell disappointment for prospective homebuyers, with mortgage rates likely to rise in the short term.

News that the U.S. and China had retreated from their respective tariff rates of 145% and 125% first trickled out Sunday, with the White House’s official X account posting a quote from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, which stated that the two countries had made “substantial progress” in trade talks during a high-level meeting between trade representatives in Switzerland over the weekend.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: The US has lowered its 145% tariffs on most Chinese imports to 30%, and China has reduced its 125% tariffs to 10%. Of course, no one knows how long they will last. Tariff volatility is the most significant factor as it means uncertainty for all of us.

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The PAREA Program: Costly Promises, Empty Support

by AppraisersBlogs

Excerpts: The PAREA program markets itself as a shiny, mentor-free express lane to becoming a real estate appraiser, but its steep price tag and lofty promises often lead to a dead end. For many, it’s less a pathway to success and more a costly detour.

Eriv V, one frustrated hopeful, recently shared a raw, unfiltered account of his disillusionment with PAREA, exposing a system that falls short on support and delivers more headaches than help. Below, his candid review is quoted word for word, offering a stark warning for those eyeing a career in appraisal.

From the start, the program presented itself as a guided pathway through the appraisal process. However, what I encountered was mostly self-taught learning, dense materials, and very little interactive instruction. When I repeatedly asked for help, I was told that due to time constraints, one-on-one support wasn’t possible—which is exactly what I needed in order to learn the software, understand how to complete the appraisal forms correctly, and build confidence in the process.

There was no consistent mentorship, no step-by-step walk-throughs of how to complete assignments, and no real-time guidance.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: I became an appraiser because I wanted to work in the field and not only in an office. I trained two residential appraisers before licensing and went with them on every appraisal they did for the first year. Why did I train 2 appraisers? I was giving back to appraising.

PAREA seemed like a good idea, but I am not surprised there was not enough support to answer questions for this appraiser.

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HOW TO USE THE NUMBERS BELOW. Appraisals are ordered after the loan application. These numbers tell you the future for the next few weeks. For more information on how they are compiled, Click Here.

Note: I publish a graph of this data every month in my paid monthly newsletter, Appraisal Today. For more information or get a FREE sample go to www.appraisaltoday.com/order Or call 510-865-8041, MTW, 7 AM to noon, Pacific time.

My comments: Rates are going up and down. We are all waiting for rates to drop in 2025.

Mortgage applications increased 1.1 percent from one week earlier

WASHINGTON, D.C. (May 14, 2025) — Mortgage applications increased 1.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 9, 2025.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 1.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 1 percent compared with the previous week.  The Refinance Index decreased 0.4 percent from the previous week and was 44 percent higher than the same week one year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 2 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index increased 2 percent compared with the previous week and was 18 percent higher than the same week one year ago.

“Last week saw steadier mortgage rates, as the FOMC meeting played as predicted, and market movements led to a small two-basis point increase in the 30-year conforming rate to 6.86 percent,” said Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s SVP and Chief Economist. “Refinance volume was little changed for the week, with a small increase in government refinances, and a decrease in conventional refinances. The news for the week was the growth in purchase applications, up 2.3 percent and almost 18 percent higher than last year’s pace. Despite the economic uncertainty, the increase in home inventory means there are additional properties to buy, unlike the last two years, and this supply is supporting more transactions.”

Added Fratantoni, “There was a notable gain in government purchase applications, up almost 5 percent for the week and 40 percent on an annual basis.”

The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 36.4 percent of total applications from 37.1 percent the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity decreased to 7.4 percent of total applications.

The FHA share of total applications increased to 17.4 percent from 16.4 percent the week prior. The VA share of total applications increased to 13.4 percent from 13.3 percent the week prior. The USDA share of total applications remained unchanged at 0.5 percent from the week prior.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($806,500 or less) increased to 6.86 percent from 6.84 percent, with points remaining unchanged at 0.68 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio (LTV) loans.  The effective rate increased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances (greater than $806,500) decreased to 6.85 percent from 6.86 percent, with points increasing to 0.49 from 0.46 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate increased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages backed by the FHA increased to 6.59 percent from 6.56 percent, with points increasing to 0.89 from 0.87 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate increased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 6.12 percent from 6.17 percent, with points decreasing to 0.59 from 0.65 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs increased to 6.09 percent from 5.97 percent, with points increasing to 0.74 from 0.31 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate increased from last week.

The survey covers U.S. closed-end residential mortgage applications originated through retail and consumer direct channels. The survey has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks, thrifts, and credit unions. Base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100.

Ann O’Rourke, MAI, SRA, MBA

Appraiser and Publisher Appraisal Today

1826 Clement Ave. Suite 203 Alameda, CA 94501

Phone: 510-865-8041

Email:  ann@appraisaltoday.com

Online: www.appraisaltoday.com

Surplus vs. Excess Land for Appraisers

Newz: Surplus vs. Excess Land, Interest Rate Drop? GSE Oversight?

May 2, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: Am I Still on the ‘Do Not Use’ List?
  • Surplus Land vs. Excess Land: What Appraisers Needs to Know
  • 5 Mind-Boggling Optical Illusion Houses That Have To Be Seen To Be Believed
  • Fed officials offer differing signals on timing of potential interest rate cuts
  • Fed seen cutting policy rate by a full percentage point this year
  • The Balancing Act: How Appraisers Can Navigate Supply Shortages, Interest Rates, and Tariffs
  • A Cry from the Appraisal Trenches: The Fall of GSE Oversight
  • Mortgage applications decreased 4.2 percent from one week earlier

Surplus vs. Excess Land for Appraisals

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Surplus Land vs. Excess Land: What Appraisers Needs to Know

By Kevin Hecht

Excerpts: Land valuation is a fundamental aspect of real estate appraisal, influencing property transactions, development decisions, and investment strategies. A key part of the process involves distinguishing between the land that supports the property’s current use and any additional land that may—or may not—have independent value.

Commonly, a square footage adjustment is made based on lot size differences among comparable properties without one key distinction – whether the difference in land is surplus or excess land. This fails to consider whether the extra land has value independent of the subject property.

Surplus land and excess land are often confused. Surplus land is land which adds no value independently of the property being appraised. Excess land, on the other hand, has value because it can be divided and sold separately. These distinct differences must be accounted for in an appraisal.

Here we will discuss what constitute excess and surplus land, common methods used to identify each, and why it matters….

Methods for Identifying Surplus vs. Excess Land

Residential appraisers commonly make a dollar per square foot adjustment for differences in lot size among comparable properties without distinguishing whether the land is surplus or excess. The problem with this approach is that it fails to consider highest and best use where excess land—land that can be independently sold or valued—creates a premium.

This question cannot be answered without evaluating zoning and legal restrictions of the property.

For example, just because a property is large enough to support a second structure, zoning may prohibit multiple residences on a single lot or there may be legal restrictions in terms of land coverage and minimum square footage requirements. If this were the case, it would be considered surplus land.

When determining if land is excess land, appraisers must consider legal permissibility, physical possibility, financial feasibility, and profitability.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Read this blog post. Residential appraisers can easily make a mistake on this topic and get into trouble.

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5 Mind-Boggling Optical Illusion Houses That Have To Be Seen To Be Believed

Excerpts: Photo above info:

2. 8198 Uphill Rd, Joshua Tree, CA

Price: $17,950,000

The Invisible House: This mirrored mansion is the brainchild of film producer Chris Hanley and Frank Gehry collaborator Tomas Osinski, who designed the home to seemingly vanish into its desert surroundings.

At first glance, you might not notice the 5,470-square-foot residence staring back at you. Nestled on 67.5 acres, the shimmering structure was created with the intent of connecting its residents with the desert through the mirrored glass exterior. The three-bedroom estate’s interior is just as astonishing featuring retractable glass walls; a 100-foot, heated indoor swimming pool; and a 224-square-foot, white wall designed for movie screenings.

Whether you are looking for a home that quite literally disappears into the Arizona desert or one that mirrors its landscape in the Hamptons, these works of jaw-dropping art not only offer a captivating design but a remarkable setting.

From California to New York, we found five optical illusion abodes that will leave you wondering if they are playing tricks on your eyes.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Click on the addresses for the listing. I have written about some of these before. I am fascinated by these types of homes. Now you can see 5 of them in one link. My favorite is the home in the photo above.

Read more!!

Manufactured Home Appraisals

Newz: Appraisal Cartoon, Manufactured Homes,
Homes Lacking Insurance

NOTICE: Our Email was down from April 3 – April 9.

Our apologies for any bounced emails.

April 11, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad Protecting My Appraisal Report
  • Appraising Manufactured Homes – What Fannie Says, Demographics
  • The Vermont Earth Home, the Dome Home, the Vermont Mud Hut…
  • Very funny appraisal cartoon – Magician Explains Time Adjustments!
  • How Many U.S. Homes Lack Insurance?
  • What Are the Appraiser Independence Requirements?
  • Mortgage applications increased 20.0 percent from one week earlier

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Appraising Manufactured Homes – What Fannie Says, Demographics

Excerpts: MH Advantage is an innovative homeownership option that pairs affordable financing with specially designated manufactured housing features typical of site-built homes.

Completing an MH Advantage appraisal requires the knowledge and experience to fully understand the unique construction process of this type of manufactured home. Appraisers must know the manufacturers’ and federal, state, and local requirements for both construction and installation.

The requirements for an MH Advantage appraisal are similar to the requirements for a standard manufactured home. Featured differences include:

Appraisers must include photos of the HUD Data Plate, HUD Certification Labels, and MH Advantage Sticker as well as the driveways, sidewalks, and detached structures located on the site.

To read more, Click Here

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Manufactured Homes: An Alternative Means of Housing Supply – Demographics

Excerpts: Manufactured homes play a measurable role in the U.S. housing market by providing an affordable supply option for millions of households. According to the American Housing Survey (AHS), there are 7.2 million occupied manufactured homes in the U.S., representing 5.4% of total occupied housing and a source of affordable housing, in particular, for rural and lower income households.

Given that most manufactured homes were produced in the 1990s, a significant portion of the existing manufactured home stock — approximately 72.2% — was built before 2000. Consequently, 7.7% of these homes are classified as inadequate compared to 5% of all homes nationwide. About 2% are considered severely inadequate and exhibit “major deficiencies, such as exposed wiring, lack of electricity, missing hot or cold running water, or the absence of heating or cooling systems”. However, with proper maintenance, manufactured homes can be as durable as site-built homes.

The East South Central division (Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi and Tennessee) have the highest concentration of manufactured homes, representing 9.3% of total occupied housing. The Mountain region follows with 8.5%, while the South Atlantic region holds 7.7%.

To read more and see excellent illustrations, Click Here

My comments: If you live in an area with manufactured homes, these two articles can help.

In my urban area I have appraised a few homes built in cities where there were very few manufactured homes.  In some areas there are many more. My brother lived in a semi-rural area, north of San Francisco. A while ago there was a major fire destroying many homes. Owners who wanted a quick rebuild, chose manufactured homes. They were allowed on many of the parcels for many years.

Read more!!

Appraisal Time Adjustments

Newz: Time Adjustments, Fannie Condo “Blacklist”, Future of GSEs?

March 28, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: Navigating Value Revisions
  • On Time Adjustments By Timothy Andersen, MAI
  • 19.5 Million Arizona Airpark Mansion Boasts Private Jet Hangar, Indoor Shooting Range, and 11 Bathrooms — but Only 3 Bedrooms
  • Pulte has no plans to lower conforming loan limits for Fannie and Freddie
  • Fannie Mae’s Condo “Blacklist”
  • FHA rescinds mortgage appraisal policies aimed at countering bias (update on last week’s newsletter topic)
  • Fannie, Freddie face uncertain futures, potential jobs cuts
  • Mortgage applications decreased 2.0 percent from one week earlier

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On Time Adjustments

Timothy Andersen, MAI, MSc., CDEI, MNAA

Excerpts: Typically, this time starts when the comparable goes under contract, then ends on the effective date of the appraisal. If the market has measurably changed over that period, that change means the appraiser should market-adjust the comps up- or downward, as the market demands¹.

This analysis reveals yet another dilemma. For example, to conclude prices went up twelve per cent (12%) per year is a simple average increase of one percent per month, or a daily factor of (0.12 ÷ 365 =) 0.000329. This simplistic analysis means that for a sale that went under contract at $400,000 42-days ago, the increase factor would be $400,000 X 0.000329, or an increase of $131.51 times 42-days or $5,523. This rationale is mathematically correct.

But our training must govern here and force us to ask the question, “Does this adjustment protocol reflect current market verities?” If not, then following this protocol is, in effect, to guess at a time adjustment. To guess at the time adjustment is to fail to reflect market trends truly and correctly. To fail to reflect them truly and correctly in the final value opinion is to mislead the client. See the dilemma?

Does USPAP² offer any advice on this issue? No. USPAP does not even use the word adjustment (or any of its derivatives) until AO-13.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Good analysis of the current time adjustment issues. Using only an annual increase (Like most of us were trained to do) is not very accurate. Tim writes, teaches USPAP and advises appraisers on how to do better reports. He is a USPAP Expert. Tim is a regular contributor to the monthly Appraisal Today.

Read more!!

Appraisal Sq. Ft. Appraisal vs. Assessor/Public Records

Newz: Sq. Ft. Appraisal vs. Assessor, The “R” Word, HUD Appraiser Complaints

March 14, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

    1. LIA AD: Navigating value revisions in appraisals
    2. Why Is the Square Footage in Public Records Different from the Appraisal?
    3. 5 Properties With ADUs or In-Law Suites
    4. Open Letter to Government Efficiency Commission on HUD’s Appraiser Complaints
    5. The “R” word in real estate – Recession
    6. Going In-Depth on a Delicate Issue: The Invisible Fence of Racial Discrimination
    7. Mortgage applications increased 11.2 percent from one week earlier

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Why Is the Square Footage in Public Records Different from the Appraisal?

By Tom Horn

Excerpts:

Why Accuracy Matters

Square footage is one of the most critical factors in determining a home’s value, yet it is often misunderstood. Many homeowners and real estate agents assume that the square footage listed in public records is accurate, but that’s not always the case. When an appraiser measures a home, their calculation often differs from what’s in tax records. These discrepancies can lead to confusion, mispricing, and even appraisal challenges.

Why Square Footage Discrepancies Occur

Public Records vs. Appraisal Measurements

The square footage listed in public records typically comes from the county tax assessor’s office. Assessors determine square footage based on:

Builder-reported figures:…

Estimates or outdated records:…

Conversions and Additions

Another common reason for discrepancies is home modifications. If a homeowner adds square footage without the proper permits, tax records may not reflect the change. Examples include:

Unpermitted additions:…

Incorrect classifications:…

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Worth reading. Written for non-appraisers but the best explanations I have ever read about this topic. I worked for an assessor’s office for my first 4 years of appraising, starting in 1975. I was given a geographic area and appraised every residential in it. Fantastic experience. I learned a lot. I was very lucky. Very different than lender appraising, where you only appraise properties that are suitable for mortgage loans.

The March 2025 issue of Appraisal Today has a very comprehensive article for appraisers: Can you use the assessor’s assessment values for site valuation, by Tim Andersen, MAI.

Read more!!

Climate Change and Home Values

Newz: Waivers Increasing, The New URAR: Markets vs. Neighborhoods , Climate Change and Home Values

February 7, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA AD: Should I consider this an actual claim?

  • How Climate Change Could Upend the American Dream – Declining Home Values

  • A Sporty Paradise in Your Own Backyard: 5 Homes With Awe-Inspiring Athletic Amenities – From Hockey Rinks to Boxing Rings

  • Trump’s War on DEI: Immediate Effects for Appraisers

  • The Full Measure: January 2025 Housing Market Insights for Appraisers

  • Waivers Increasing and Trends Over Time

  • There Goes the Neighborhood…The New URAR: Markets vs. Neighborhoods

  • Mortgage applications increased 2.2 percent from one week earlier.

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How Climate Change Could Upend the American Dream

Declining Home Values

Excerpts: Americans have long accumulated wealth by owning their homes, but a new study predicts that spiking insurance rates and climate disasters now herald an era of widespread losses.

One little-discussed result is that soaring home prices in the United States may have peaked in the places most at risk, leaving the nation on the precipice of a generational decline. That’s the finding of a new analysis by the First Street, a research firm that studies climate threats to housing and provides some of the best climate adaptation data available, both freely and commercially. The analysis predicts an extraordinary reversal in housing fortunes for Americans — nearly $1.5 trillion in asset losses over the next 30 years.

Climate change is upending the basic assumption that Americans can continue to build wealth and financial security by owning their own home. In a sense, it is upending the American dream.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: I hear about, and see, more listings that are including climate risk levels. I have not seen discussions on the future of home values in risky areas. I live 10 miles from a very risky area – Oakland CA hills. I am too far away to be at risk. My insurance company, State Farm, is requesting a 22% increase in homeowner’s insurance. Insurers have been not renewing individual homes for various reasons. Will I have to pay the same rates as the Oakland hills, which is very high risk and had a major fire in 2001?

I quit doing appraisals in the Oakland hills about 15 years ago due to high personal risk if a fire starts while I am there. Narrow, winding, one lane roads. Very difficult to escape from fire. Most of my city has risks from sea level rise and some parts have flooding risks, but my home is not included fortunately.

How will appraisers make adjustments for risky homes?

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The Sales Comparison Approach in Appraisals

Newz: Shadowy AMC Fees, State Board Complaints, Borrower Questions

January 24, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA AD: Borrower Wants Answers Appraiser Can’t Give
  • The Sales Comparison Approach: A Cornerstone of Real Estate Appraisal
  • Waterfront Home in Boca Raton, FL $25,000,000
  • Metrics – What Poetry and Data Analysis Have in Common
  • The Shadowy AMC Fees Draining Billions from Homebuyers
  • Why Report a State Board Investigation or Complaint?
  • Trump signs executive order to reduce housing costs, but will it work?
  • Mortgage applications increased 0.1 percent from one week earlier

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The Sales Comparison Approach: A Cornerstone of Real Estate Appraisal

By Kevin Hecht

Excerpts: For experienced real estate appraisers, the sales comparison approach is more than just a method — it is a reflection of their expertise and competency in the marketplace. By mastering this approach and staying informed about industry standards and technological advancements, appraisers can ensure that their work meets the highest standards of professionalism and accuracy.

Challenges and Best Practices

While the sales comparison approach is a powerful tool, it is not without challenges. Appraisers may encounter situations where there is a lack of recent sales data or where the subject property is unique. In such cases, appraisers must exercise judgment and creativity to develop credible results.

Some common challenges include:

Inadequate Market Data: In markets with limited sales activity, finding comparable properties can be difficult. Appraisers may need to expand their search geographically or consider older sales, making appropriate adjustments for time.

Dissimilar Comparables: When the subject property has unique features, it may be challenging to find truly comparable sales. Appraisers must carefully analyze and adjust for these differences.

Unsupported Adjustments: Adjustments must be based on market evidence. Unsupported or arbitrary adjustments can undermine the credibility of the appraisal.

To overcome these challenges, appraisers should:

  • Conduct thorough market research to identify the best available comparables.
  • Use both quantitative and qualitative analysis to support adjustments.
  • Document their reasoning and methodology clearly in the appraisal report.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Good reminders of the Sales Comparison Approach.

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Waterfront Home in Boca Raton, FL $25,000,000

Excerpts: 12 bedrooms, 11 baths, 12,709 sq.ft., 0.53 Acres, Built in 2016

Direct Intracoastal Point Lot with 256 ft of Waterfrontage and .53 Acres. Built of John Ross/ ROSSCO Const, the beauty of the lot is that it is sited on an expansive Nautical turn of the Intracoastal so it captures the gorgeous long North views.

There are 2 staircases, one with Marble & tile work by a Canadian Artist and banister designed by a metal artist and the owner, the other is a tree staircase The best part is you do not have to climb down the stairs as there is a hand crafted wooden Dragon Slide from the second floor to the foyer. The central slide seen from the front door is artizanally made from oak by local artist. The observation deck (covered) offers stunning views of the Intracoastal, and it includes another outside shower, and solar panels.

In the middle there is a 20 sitting Norse carved table with Helga and Magnus dragons protecting it. There are tile murals, stained glass windows and ceiling paintings all over the house, also thematic. The kitchen is dedicated to the Elements of Air and a story of its power is depicted on its ceiling.

To see the listing and 209 Photos, Click Here

My comments: Thanks to Joe Lynch for this listing with very colorful exterior and interiors!

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10 Appraisal Myths

Newz: 10 Appraisal Myths, AMCs – Appraiser Ripoffs –  AMC Junk Fees

November 29, 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA – Intended Use and User
  • Don’t Fall for These 10 Real Estate Appraisal Myths
  • Extraordinary 4-Story Megamansion With Rooftop Putting Green and 2 Pools Lists for $78 Million
  • Now What? On a New Trump Administration
  • Outrage Over Connect by ValueLink’s New Monthly “Junk Fee”
  • Mortgage applications increased 6.3 percent from one week earlier

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10 Real Estate Appraisal Myths

By Tom Horne

Excerpts: In this week’s post, I dispel some common appraisal myths that have been around for years.

10 Appraisal Myths

Myth #1: All real estate appraisers are the same

Myth #2: Appraisals are the same as the Zillow Zestimate

Myth #3: The appraisal always comes in at the contract price

Myth #4: The appraiser is working for the buyer

Myth #5: Cost always equals value

Myth #6: Comps must be within one mile of the subject property

Myth #7: Agents and appraisers cannot talk

Myth #8: Appraisals and home inspections are the same

Myth #9: Assessed value will equal market value

Myth #10: The “new” appraisal methods are better than the old

To read more, Click Here

My comments: I’m sure you have heard some, or all, of these questions. I have heard them. Read the full post to see the answers you can use.

This blog post is written for newer real estate agents, but a good reminder of what many other people think. For example, when I say I am a real estate appraiser, many people ask if I have any listings. They think I am an agent and don’t know what appraisers do. Unfortunately, that is the main reason appraisers have difficulty when trying to communicate appraisal issues. Few listened to appraisers speaking out about fraud before the 2008 crash. What did we residential lender appraisers get to “fix” the problem? AMCs.

I don’t know why the appraisal associations have never done much to let people know about what appraisers do.

Read more!!

“Death Stairs” for Appraisers

Newz: New URAR Training, “Death Stairs”, Catastrophe and Climate Risk

November 22, 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA Buyer says value too high
  • The Rise of the ‘Death Stairs’! Inside ‘Perilous’ Home Trend Taking the Internet by Storm — and How To Conquer It Safely
  • Infinity Symbol-Shaped Circular House Hits the Market for the Unique Price of $3,399,888
  • ARCC (Appraisal Regulation Compliance Council) Podcast with Guest Mark Calabria – AVMs, GSEs, and more
  • NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun Forecasts 9% Increase in Home Sales for 2025 and 13% for 2026, with Mortgage Rates Stabilizing Near 6%
  • Catastrophe and Climate Risk Is Only Increasing – Lender and Servicer issues
  • New Uniform Residential Appraiser Report Training (for lenders but useful for appraisers)
  • Mortgage applications increased 1.7 percent from one week earlier

 

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The Rise of the ‘Death Stairs’! Inside ‘Perilous’ Home Trend Taking the Internet by Storm—and How To Conquer It Safely

Excerpts: Thrill-seekers who are in desperate need of an adrenaline boost need look no further than their own home for their next dose of action—that is, if they are (un)lucky enough to be in possession of a set of “death stairs.”

While walking down a flight of stairs has not historically been considered the most death-defying of acts, one group of social media users is on a mission to change that misconception by highlighting the most dangerous, baffling, and downright weird step designs across the world, starting in their own homes.

In a now-viral Facebook group, which is named “Death Stairs,” hundreds of users have been sharing images of the most mind-boggling steps they have come across, from those so steep that few would dare to descend them, to edgy designs that appear near-impossible to mount.

To read more, Click Here

My Comments: Appraisers see some strange stairs. I have seen many. Usually DYI. I really hate the very narrow spiral staircases – often the only access to a part of the home. And old exterior wood stairs with very shaky hand rails.

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Appraisal Cost Approach and Highest and Best Use

Newz: Now What For Appraisers After Election? Generative AI and adjustments?

November 15, 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • (LIA ad) Intended Use and User
  • 10 Questions on the Cost Approach and Highest and Best Use
  • A Real-Life ‘Yellowstone’: Historic 52,000-AcreArizona Ranch Hits the Market for $42 Million—Complete With a Private Airstrip and Off-Grid Cabin
  • Now What? On a New Trump Administration
  • Can Generative AI solve the adjustment support paradigm
  • How Deep Fakes Have Burrowed Into Home Finance
  • Murder in the flying saucer: inside The Chemosphere in Los Angeles, CA
  • Mortgage applications increased 0.5 percent from one week earlier
  • So Many Appraisal Cost Approach Questions
  • Appraisal Business Tips 
    Humor for Appraisers


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10 Questions on the Cost Approach and Highest and Best Use

By Timothy Andersen

Excerpts: It is clear most appraisers do not like to perform the analytics inherent in the Cost Approach. This may be because most appraisers simply do not appreciate its power. Consider these 10 Cost Approach questions.

10 QUESTIONS TO CONSIDER

Take a look at these 10 questions on the Cost approach (and various items related to it). After you are finished, you will still not like to do it. But you may appreciate its analytical and interpretative powers even more.

1. On the 1004 form is the indication that Fannie Mae does not require the Cost Approach to Value. However, where does the form instruct the appraiser not to complete the analytics of the Cost approach? (Spoiler Alert: It does not.)

2.   Instructions on the form state the appraiser is to “…[p]rovide adequate information to the lender/client to replicate the [herein] cost figures and calculations.” However, where does the typical appraiser provide such replicable information?

3. In addition, the reporting form requires the appraiser to “…[s]upport the opinion of site value [with a] summary of comparable land sales or other methods for estimating site value.” Nevertheless, where does the typical appraiser provide such summary information?…

So, it is clear from these Fannie Mae instructions that the appraisal of a SFR includes an analysis and valuation of the subject site separate from the valuation of the site as improved. Does this mean to conclude a site value as if the subject site were vacant and available to be put to its highest and best use? (Spoiler Alert: Yes, it does.)

To read all 10 Q&As, Click Here

My comments: Of course, for custom home construction the Cost Approach is required to determine the feasibility of construction before building the home. I got some good ideas on using the Cost Approach from this article.

Read more!!