AI and Appraisers

August 30, 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • New AMC client. They’ve asked me to provide a list of other AMCs I work with and how long I’ve been working with them before they accept me. Is this a common requirement?

  • AI Appraisals: Embracing the Future Appraisal

  • 5 Enormous Mansions, With Wildly Different Architectural Styles—Priced at Under a Million Bucks

  • Is appraisal accuracy measured by contract price?

  • Redfin Reports 6 of Every 7 People With Mortgages Have an Interest Rate Below 6%

  • 110 Nightmarish Home Inspector Scenarios

  • Mortgage applications increased 0.5 percent from one week earlier

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AI Appraisals: Embracing the Future Appraisal

By Jim Amorin

Excerpts:

Image Recognition

AI can analyze property images to identify features and property conditions, and even estimate dimensions with remarkable accuracy. This technology accelerates the inspection process, allowing appraisers to focus their expertise on more nuanced aspects of the valuation where their experience and judgement are most critical.

While some may worry about image recognition taking away from the appraisers’ skills, it is more useful to see it as a supplement to your own eyes. The visioning capabilities (image recognition) of AI can reinforce your own observations. Using the generative capabilities of a large language model such as ChatGPT coupled with the visioning tools, some of the narrative description of the property can be streamlined for the appraiser.

Enhanced Reports

Another appraiser leveraged AI tools to generate detailed market analysis reports. These reports included data visualizations and trend analysis that provided clients with a deeper understanding of the market, ultimately enhancing the appraiser’s service quality and client satisfaction.

Summary

AI is not a threat to appraisers but a powerful ally. By leveraging AI’s capabilities, appraisers can enhance their efficiency, accuracy, and overall service quality. The unique judgment, expertise, and contextual understanding that appraisers bring to their work are irreplaceable. Embracing AI as a tool will ensure that appraisers continue to play a vital role in the real estate industry, delivering unparalleled value to clients and shaping the future of real estate appraising.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Amorin’s new book is very well written and understandable. Craig Gilbert wrote an extensive review of the book “The Generative Shift: A Thorough Examination of AI” and interviewed Amorin, in the July, 2024 issue of Appraisal Today.

I have not used AI for my appraisals but follow its use in other applications, such as medical. For example, I have had many mammograms over the years. A recent study found that an artificial intelligence system has an accuracy rate of about 90 percent, compared to an overall average of 80 percent by radiologists. “Notably, when radiologists used this tool as a second reader, their performance improved,” says Dr. Moy. “So we want to reach that sweet spot where we use both.”

A friend had dense breasts. Her mammograms never detected the small tumors scattered through both breasts before her breast removal surgery, where they found them. Bad News

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SFR or 2 units with an ADU?

What’s in This Newsletter (in Order, Scroll Down) August 2, 2024

  • Avoiding Court: A Common Sentiment Among Appraisers
  • When Is Single-Family a Multi-Family Appraisal?
  • What Is a Superhome? 10 Must-See Mansions That Define the High-End Trend
  • Accurate Appraisal Underreporting
  • How Confidential is Your Appraisal?
  • Agencies Issue Final Rule to Help Ensure Credibility and Integrity of Automated Valuation Models
  • Mortgage applications decreased 3.9 percent from one week earlier

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How to Identify a Single-Family with ADU vs. Two-Family Property 9-29-23-

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When Is Single-Family a Multi-Family Appraisal?
SFR or 2 units with an ADU?

by Richard Hagar, SRA

Excerpts: Once upon a time, it was easy to classify single-family homes, duplexes, triplexes and multi-family buildings. Though there have always been exceptions, if a property was zoned single-family residential (SFR) and there was a single home on the site, you’d use a 1004 form for bank appraisals.

If a property was zoned multi-family and there were two to four units on the site, an appraiser would use the 1025 form. And, if there were five or more units on the site, it would be something a commercial appraiser would handle via a narrative format.

Ah, the good old days. Then, along came accessory dwelling units (ADU), which in some states and cities are messing with established appraisal and lending systems.

Things Get Twisted – ADUs

Many counties and cities that allow ADUs do not “change” the official zoning; SFR 5000 still means one single-family home per 5,000-square-foot lot (and allow an ADU). What a few politically and emotionally driven cities have done is bypass the normal requirements for changing zoning (public hearings, notifications, etc.) and passed laws that overlay additional uses and requirements on to existing zoning codes. It’s their “clever” way of changing things without following the historic path to … well, changing things without informed consent by the citizens.

So, here we are: appraisers looking at zoning codes trying to determine the highest and best use for the subject’s site (as if vacant) and the structure as improved. We see SF7500 and say, “great, single family.” But did you look to see if there are overlay additions to the code? If so, did you read them? Did you look at regulations related to accessory dwelling units? If you didn’t, you’d better start looking because these things are popping up in numerous counties and cities across the United States, and they have a massive impact on unit density, the highest and best use, land values and depreciation rates.

Conflict With Lending

The Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) will buy a loan where the single-family home has a single ADU. Look at the below form (Figure 1) and note the two options: Units “One” and “One with Accessory Unit.” There is no space on the 1004 form to identify a second ADU.

Now we have a conflict between cities allowing two or more ADUs and the lending world of FNMA, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp. (FHLMC), the VA and FHA. These entities will not buy loans with two or more ADUs. And when FNMA won’t buy (or VA and FHA insure) a loan from a lender it results in fewer lenders offering loans, higher interest rates and possibly larger down payments. In a city’s zeal to lower the cost of housing, they’ve increased the cost of housing.

Required Information

When you run across properties with ADUs, all sorts of additional information is required in the appraisal. ANSI requires the square footage to be separately indicated. Fannie Mae needs additional information specific to the ADU, and just wait until you see FNMA’s new appraisal “form,” along with its 20-plus new information fields in the special ADU section. If you want an example of how we provide square-footage information, email me (See author bio) and I’ll provide you with a copy of the form we use.

The appraisal will also require fully supported adjustments, explanations on how you determined the adjustments, and the ADUs impact on value measured by the cost, income and sales comparison approaches.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Read this detailed article if you appraise any properties with ADUs. It is a comprehensive analysis of all the new issues. Richard Hagar is one of my favorite appraisal instructors.

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What is a Complex Residential Property?

How to Identify a Complex Residential Property

By Dan Bradley

Excerpts: A complex one-to-four family residential property is defined as a property that meets at least one of the following criteria:

  •   The property to be appraised is atypical
  •   The form of ownership is atypical
  •   The market conditions are atypical

Some of the key physical features that can make an appraisal assignment complex include:

  •  Size (significantly larger or smaller than typical for market)
  •   Floor plan (there may be functional obsolescence)
  •   Unique custom features
  •   Quality of workmanship or construction (higher or lower than the norm)
  •   Architectural design
  •   Adequacy of HVAC, electrical systems, well and/or septic
  •   Additional living unit(s)
  •   Non-conforming zoning
  •   Mixed-use property (for example, it is used as both a business and residence)
  •   Waterfront properties

Keep in mind that what is considered a complex residential property in one market might not be considered complex in another market. For example:

  •  A mansion in Beverly Hills is not atypical; a mansion located somewhere in rural America might be
  •  A log cabin in the mountains of Virginia is common; a beach-front log cabin in VA, not so much
  •  Manufactured or mobile homes with additions are common in rural areas, but generally not in cities

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Read this short article and keep it available. Very good lists of the factors.

Why do you want to know about this topic? Business is slow now, which is a good time to try appraising unusual homes. But, a fast turn time is not a good idea unless you are very familiar with the subject’s complexities. Do you have another appraiser who can help you? Don’t risk your appraisal license by getting in “over your head”. I get regular calls from appraisers who said “yes” but did not have anyone to advise them.

Very few appraisers, if any, would have experience on all these types of properties. For example, I have appraised many life estates, but no homes with a leasehold (ground lease) in a market area where such interests are uncommon. I have only appraised homes where the subject and all the nearby homes are leaseholds. I get advice for appraising it.

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Appraisers Riding the Waves of Up and Down Mortgage Rates

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NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post overpriced homes, appraising 3,000 years ago, AMCs good bad ugly, unusual homes, mortgage origination stats, etc

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Paperless Appraisal Office?

10 Steps to a Paperless Office

By Mike Fletcher

Excerpts: If you’ve talked to appraisers who have gone digital, you know they love not having boxes of old reports and workfiles cluttering their offices, homes, and garages and not spending money on paper, toner, and other equipment. Even better, appraisers who run a paperless office often enjoy increased productivity and efficiency.

If you’re ready to enjoy the benefits of getting rid of paper, I’m sharing 10 steps to switch to a completely paperless office. While you may need to tailor this blueprint to your preferred methods and workflows, this will help you get started.

Summary

Switching to digital files and a paperless office saves you time and offers better protection for your files. Making the shift to get rid of printed documents and handwritten notes isn’t easy at first, but by going one step at a time and relying on your appraisal software’s tools, you’ll be paperless in no time.

Topics with detailed and practical advice:

1. Why do you want a paperless office?

2. Commit to change – Be aware of wanting to stay in the familiar

3. Identify your paper and how to go paperless

4. Obtain needed equipment for your paperless office

5. Determine your storage needs in a paperless office

6. Establish a new workflow in your paperless office

7. Going paperless starts small

8. Add another paperless item

9. Get trained

10. Seek out your peers

To read more, Click Here

My comments: What appraiser does not want to go paperless? No one. Read this article with lots of good advice!

Business is slow for many appraisers. Going paperless is an excellent option to consider.

This is by far the best article I have read on going paperless. It is written for appraisers, is understandable, and is not too long. The author is a veteran residential appraiser and self-proclaimed “Data Nerd.” He is currently a Senior Data Steward at Corelogic.

I have a home garage and business office full of appraisal files, plus my business records for taxes. I keep hoping someone will come in and steal all the paper and the filing cabinets

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NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post on HUD bias Complaints, E&O insurance, home fire insurance, unusual homes, mortgage origination stats, etc

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How to Find Comps With Few Sales

The challenge of pulling comps in 2024

By Ryan Lundquist

February 14, 2024

Excerpts: Pulling comps in 2024 is tough. Think about it this way. If we have 40% fewer sales happening, that means there are 40% fewer comps. Yikes. Let’s talk about this. I also have some market recap visuals to unpack what’s been happening in 2024 so far.

GO BACK FURTHER IN TIME:

One of the things I’m doing more often today is looking at older comps in the immediate neighborhood. I find myself scouring 2021 onward especially. The truth is there are portions of 2021 and 2022 where prices are exactly the same as today too, so if I use an older comp, I don’t always need to adjust for the way the market has changed. But backing up, I can look at older stuff for the sake of research, but this doesn’t mean I’ll use a super old comp in a report. In short, it’s not enough today to go back 90-180 days because there just aren’t enough data points in so many cases…

WATCH THE MEDIAN TREND

The median price for the region doesn’t translate rigidly to neighborhoods, so be careful about saying stuff like, “The median is up 3% this year, so neighborhood prices are up 3%.” Maybe. Maybe not. Look to the comps most of all. In my experience, some people get really upset when I share median trends because the sentiment is the median isn’t a perfect metric (true)…

EXPAND TO OTHER NEIGHBORHOODS:

Looking up other nearby neighborhoods is something I’ve done much more of lately since sales volume has plummeted. The ideal is to compare areas with similar prices, but even if the price point is a bit different, it can be valuable to see what is happening in a different nearby neighborhood. I may or may not use comps from a different neighborhood. I’m just trying to understand what the market is doing…

To read more and see the graphs with excellent illustrations, Click Here

My comments: Very good tips from Ryan. Market conditions is the easiest adjustment to make. This is my first choice for any unusual homes without current data in any market. I quit making dollar adjustments on form appraisals many years ago, but I always do market conditions adjustments when needed. I appraise a lot of 2-4 units and regularly go to other neighborhoods for comps.

I have been doing this for many years. I do a lot of estate appraisals, which are not current value.

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NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post on residential fee appraiser testifies at bias hearing, what happens to Fannie complaints, Why I love real estate appraising,  unusual homes, mortgage origination stats, etc.

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2024 Updated UAD and URAR – What does It Mean for You?

2024 Updated UAD and URAR – What does It Mean for You?
The Appraisal World Is Changing

January 25, 2024

Excerpts: There has been a lot of talk about the Uniform Appraisal Dataset (UAD) and Uniform Residential Appraisal Report (URAR) redesign initiative, and how it will make life easier for appraisers. What exactly does this mean? In this post, we’re providing an overview of the UAD and URAR, what’s changing, and what benefits these changes will bring.

How will these UAD and URAR changes be beneficial?

A redesigned, dynamic URAR will replace the numerous and separate appraisal forms and can be used for different property types, such as two-to-four units, condominiums, and manufactured homes, and for different scopes of work, such as interior and exterior inspections, updates, and completion assignments.

The new URAR will be better organized and populated based on the property type and characteristics.

The standardized data in the new UAD will allow appraisers to better define the property (outbuildings, additional units, site influences, energy efficient and green features, etc.).

Concerns that require attention will be easily identified in each section of the report instead of being buried in an addendum.

Photographs will be included in relevant sections to make descriptions easier for appraisers and enhance reader understanding.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: A brief summary of the coming changes. See below for more timeline information.

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Freddie – Updated UAD and Forms Redesign Timeline

The Uniform Appraisal Dataset (UAD) and Forms Redesign team has released an updated timeline. The overall timeline has not changed; however, we wanted to provide the industry with more milestone details to help in development, testing and training to prepare for the new UAD and Uniform Residential Appraisal Report (URAR).

To see the timeline (from 2018 to 2026) PDF, Click Here

Too large to include in this newsletter.

To go to the Freddie UAD page (mostly technical) Click Here

To go to the Fannie UAD page, Click Here

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A few comments from Dave Towne:

My concern at this point is ‘training’ materials will be available in Q4 2024, but actual implementation of the ‘new reporting process’ won’t begin until Q3 2025 with limited production, into 2026.

As someone who’s potentially interested in ‘training’ appraisers on the new process, it seems to me that providing training in Q2 2025 would be more appropriate than 6 months before. But we’ll have to see how things progress as this time-line gets more firmed up.

To read the recent appraisersblogs.com post with new comments from Dave plus other appraiser comments, Click Here

My comments: No date changes, but more information on the timeline. Maybe there will be some appraisers left to do full appraisals…

The UAD and Appraisers – Past, Present, and Future

5-24-18 Newz//UAD and Fannie Form Changes. Floating Island. Refis dropping

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to read the other topics in this long blog post on forecasts for economic factors, SFR zoning and more apartments, appraising and rhetoric, opinion, or anecdotal theories, unusual homes, mortgage origination stats, etc.

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New 2024 USPAP Q&As

New USPAP Q&As

January 16, 2024, the Appraisal Standards Board released new Questions and Answers covering important topics in the profession today including:

Demographics

Does demographic information relating to race (such as Census data) constitute “information relating to” a protected characteristic?

Artificial Intelligence

Question:

What is an appraiser’s USPAP obligations when using artificial intelligence (AI) in an appraisal assignment?

Personal Inspection

I recently completed an appraisal on a residential dwelling for Lender A that sells loans to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the report was completed on a GSE form. Lender A decided not to grant the loan and the borrower then engaged Lender B to obtain financing. Lender B engaged me to perform a new appraisal assignment on the same property. Lender B indicated there wasno need for me to re-inspect the home, since my previous inspection date was only a few days earlier.

To read these new Q&As Click Here.

My comments: AI and demographics are “hot topics” now. I am glad the ASB is explaining them.

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NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post on forecasts for mortgage rates, a look back at the 80s a very similar mortgage market, appraising in a changing market, unusual homes, mortgage origination stats, etc.

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ChatGPT for Appraisers

ChatGPT: Valuable Tool or a Replacement for Real Estate Appraisers?

by Dustin Harris, The Appraiser Coach

Excerpts: ChatGPT: A Game-Changer for Appraisal Work

For those who have embraced it, ChatGPT has been transforming multiple aspects of appraisal work, such as:

Appraisal Work:

  • Writing narrative
  • Market analysis
  • Market-specific information
  • Descriptions of adjustments
  • Terminology
  • ResearchMarketing:
  • Creating lists
  •  Writing emails and messages to current and potential clients
  • Crafting blogs
  • Strategizing networking and relationship development
  • Writing presentations for ‘lunch and learn’ events with real estate agents
  • Crafting the perfect apology letter when you upset a key loan officer in your small town
  • To read lots more, click here
  • My comments: Many thanks to Dustin for writing this article! I have not had time to use it, but have been reading and watching demos about how it can be used for appraisers for awhile. It definitely can be very useful, as Dustin explains. It can be tricky at first to use, but Dustin explains it.

I recently had to renew my California Driver’s license, as I am over 70 and had to do a written exam and eye test. I had difficulty setting up an appointment and clicked on “Chatbot”. It was much friendlier than any other Chat support I have used. I recognized the use of software similar to ChatGPT.

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Fannie: Words and Phrases in Appraisals

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NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post on non lender appraisals, liability, markets with few sales, Bias, unusual homes, mortgage origination

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Lenders Not Using AMCs for Appraisals

Lenders Not Using AMCs for Appraisals

By: McKissock June 23, 2023

Excerpts: Some appraisers seek alternate ways to find work outside of appraisal management companies (AMCs). One strategy is to pursue opportunities to be engaged directly by financial institutions and banks by being included on their fee panel. To help you get started, we asked our appraisal community, “What advice can you offer on how to identify financial institutions and banks that engage appraisers directly, without involving AMCs?” Here’s what they said.

Below are helpful tips on how to find financial institutions and banks that engage appraisers directly on fee panels. In a nutshell, our survey respondents recommended that you should:

  • Look for small, local banks and lenders.
  • Network to build relationships.
  • Join the Mercury Network.
  • Simply ask around!

To read more, click here

My comments: Short and worth reading. When I started fee appraising in 1986, my first client was a small local bank with a few nearby branches. After AMCs took over, the bank continued to do their own appraisal management. Their volume went up and down with mortgage rates, but they always had some appraisals to fee out. Even today, their regular fee appraisers get some work.

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NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post on new online Fannie forms, highest and best use, real estate market, unusual homes, mortgage origination stats, etc.

To read more, click below

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The Power of Praise for Appraisers and Clients 3-24-23

The Power of Praise

By Rachel Massey, SRA, AI-RRS, CDEI

Excerpts: …I received a really nice compliment from a reviewer with the Farm Credit Bureau. I had completed a complex appraisal assignment and was expecting multiple revision requests, but instead, got a note saying how thorough my appraisal report was and thanking me for the work. A couple days later, I got a call from a relocation company reviewer on another mind-boggling relocation assignment. Again, I was expecting multiple questions about the report since it was complex and atypical for the area. Instead this reviewer proceeded to tell me that it was one of the most detailed and well-developed reports he had seen in all his years reviewing relocation work. Boy I wish I had that one in writing!

Granted, I tend to be a bit verbose because I like to write, and I believe that it is important that my work be understandable, and not just now but in the future. I tend to put a similar amount of effort into the communication side for all clients, and like to think that my work product is solid. This begs the question of why two reviewers went out of their way to compliment my work, when it seems that almost every mortgage assignment that I complete for a production group, comes back with stipulations.

Stipulations that I forgot to add a listing which was a requirement of the engagement agreement (yes, I missed that) or that I didn’t put a sketch of an unfinished basement in the report (yes, I missed that as well). No words of thank you for an otherwise job well done. I missed something, fix it.

To read more, click here

My comments: Rachel is one of my favorite appraisal authors. She has seen all sides of the residential appraisal profession. Rachel has shifted between lender staff appraiser and reviewer and fee appraisals. Currently, she is a reviewer for a large lender. You could send a link to this article to a Very Picky or Very Supportive reviewer.>

Why Appraisers Love Appraising!

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To read more of this long blog post with many topics, click Read More Below!!

NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post on non-lender appraisals and liability, sharing comps, Fannie Update, unusual homes, mortgage origination stats, etc.

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