AI and Appraisers

By on October 11, 2024   /   appraisal business, george dell, HOME INSURANCE, liability, real estate market, va   /   Leave a comment
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Newz: AI Limits, VA News, New UAD,
Hurricane Risks

October, 11 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • Intended Use and User (LIA Ad)
  • The Limits of AI: When the intelligence is artificial, common sense is a superpower
  • Vila Siena In Bel-Air CA Is The Most Insane Mega-Mansion EVER at $177,000,000
  • The New UAD: Opportunity, Confusion or Threat?
  • What’s New at the VA? A Q&A With Its Chief Appraiser
  • Effects of Hurricane Helene
  • Is Anywhere Safe From Hurricanes? The 10 States With the Lowest Risk of Damage
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  • Appraisal Business Tips 

 

The Limits of AI: When the intelligence is artificial, common sense is a superpower

By John Russell

Excerpts: At some point, all of us will integrate AI tools into our business practices. Whether it automates mundane and repetitive tasks, generates narrative text, or assists with analyses, the power of AI to save time is real.

The good news for valuation professionals is they have lots of experience spotting data points that don’t jibe with what they know. Another way to say this is that they have common sense. It’s a basic requirement for doing the work. Of course this 3-story overbuilt McMansion is probably not a comparable for a Cape Cod two miles away. That sale was under atypical conditions and, at minimum, needs adjustments to even be considered. You get the idea.

Do I trust what the AI is telling me?

Accepting AI outputs without any skepticism is a recipe for disaster. Approach AI like a detective interviewing witnesses: trust, but verify. Basic internet searches can quickly fact-check results — or raise enough red flags that you reject what is being offered. No state board will accept the argument, “But ChatGPT said,” and neither should you….

Should I be using AI for this task?

Just because you can doesn’t mean you should — commit this phrase to memory. You will have to own everything in your report, and if too much of the product is driven by AI tools, you may be asked: “Well, what exactly did you do here?”…

Common sense is a superpower that can protect you from dire consequences as you experiment with AI. It’s tempting to be spellbound by new AI tools that seem miraculous — and to let down your guard of common sense. Instead, I recommend a heightened sense of caution: The tools are only as good as the people who craft them and the inputs provided by the users. AI hallucinations are still unpredictable, inevitable failure points, which means any “facts” and analyses it supplies should always be verified — it’s just common sense

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Good, practical analysis of AI for appraisers.

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GSE Appraisal Reports Online

By on July 19, 2024   /   app, appraisal business, appraisal forms, FHA, HOME INSURANCE, UAD   /   Leave a comment
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What’s in This Newsletter (in Order)

  • Confirming Construction Progress
  • The New UAD: “Don’t Borrow Trouble.”
  • Nicolas Cage’s Former New Orleans Mansion Lost to Foreclosure listed for $10,250,000
  • When will interest rates drop?
  • Who will refi when rates are lower?
  • Uncovering Flaws in FHA Appraisal & Loan Review Process
  • Home Insurance: It’s Not The Hurricanes In High-Cost Areas, But The Tornados In Low-Cost Areas That’ll Get You By Jonathan Miller
  • Iconic ‘Constellation 167’ House in Los Angeles for $10.9M
  • Mortgage applications increased 3.9 percent from one week earlier
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UAD and Forms Redesign Update for Appraisers (from 12-15-23)

Appraisal Business Tips 

Humor for Appraisers

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The New UAD: “Don’t Borrow Trouble.”

By Ernie Durbin, July 15, 2024

Excerpts: Reflecting on one of my father’s favorites, “don’t borrow trouble,” I find his advice particularly relevant today. It reminds me to focus on the present and not jump to conclusions about future uncertainties. What he was trying to convey was to trust in my abilities to handle challenges if and when they arise, rather than assuming the worst.

Many in our industry are “borrowing trouble” when they prematurely conclude that the new UAD and GSE report writing requirements will be detrimental.

The problem is… it’s not a form. The new Uniform Residential Appraisal Report (URAR) is an appraisal report expressed as a form. This may seem like semantics, but it is a very important distinction. Although the UAD data set is all-inclusive of property types, only the data points necessary for a specific property need to be reported.

The dynamic nature of the new report will result in “form” outputs that are remarkably shorter than the early examples provided by the GSEs. As an example, if the income and cost approaches are not necessary for credible results, these elements will not be included in the appraiser’s workflow or the final URAR.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Worth reading. Current forms date back to 2005. A lot has changed since then, but somehow, we have to put it into our appraisal reports. I much prefer the “Turbo Tax” model where you only see what is relevant for what you are appraising. Changes to the software can be made at any time.

I am looking forward to online software for appraisal reports. Since 2006, I have used Constant Contact for this newsletter, which is completely online. Changes, when needed, such as additional features, can be done easily. With Office 360, Word and Excel software is online. I can work on any computer, anywhere. Of course, I have other software on my computers, including Excel and Word, if my Internet goes out ;>

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Paperless Appraisal Office?

By on May 31, 2024   /   appraisal how to, bias, HOME INSURANCE, liability   /   Leave a comment
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10 Steps to a Paperless Office

By Mike Fletcher

Excerpts: If you’ve talked to appraisers who have gone digital, you know they love not having boxes of old reports and workfiles cluttering their offices, homes, and garages and not spending money on paper, toner, and other equipment. Even better, appraisers who run a paperless office often enjoy increased productivity and efficiency.

If you’re ready to enjoy the benefits of getting rid of paper, I’m sharing 10 steps to switch to a completely paperless office. While you may need to tailor this blueprint to your preferred methods and workflows, this will help you get started.

Summary

Switching to digital files and a paperless office saves you time and offers better protection for your files. Making the shift to get rid of printed documents and handwritten notes isn’t easy at first, but by going one step at a time and relying on your appraisal software’s tools, you’ll be paperless in no time.

Topics with detailed and practical advice:

1. Why do you want a paperless office?

2. Commit to change – Be aware of wanting to stay in the familiar

3. Identify your paper and how to go paperless

4. Obtain needed equipment for your paperless office

5. Determine your storage needs in a paperless office

6. Establish a new workflow in your paperless office

7. Going paperless starts small

8. Add another paperless item

9. Get trained

10. Seek out your peers

To read more, Click Here

My comments: What appraiser does not want to go paperless? No one. Read this article with lots of good advice!

Business is slow for many appraisers. Going paperless is an excellent option to consider.

This is by far the best article I have read on going paperless. It is written for appraisers, is understandable, and is not too long. The author is a veteran residential appraiser and self-proclaimed “Data Nerd.” He is currently a Senior Data Steward at Corelogic.

I have a home garage and business office full of appraisal files, plus my business records for taxes. I keep hoping someone will come in and steal all the paper and the filing cabinets

Appraisal Business Tips 

Humor for Appraisers

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NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post on HUD bias Complaints, E&O insurance, home fire insurance, unusual homes, mortgage origination stats, etc

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