Newz: AI Limits, VA News, New UAD,
Hurricane Risks
October, 11 2024
What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)
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Intended Use and User (LIA Ad)
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The Limits of AI: When the intelligence is artificial, common sense is a superpower
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Vila Siena In Bel-Air CA Is The Most Insane Mega-Mansion EVER at $177,000,000
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The New UAD: Opportunity, Confusion or Threat?
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What’s New at the VA? A Q&A With Its Chief Appraiser
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Effects of Hurricane Helene
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Is Anywhere Safe From Hurricanes? The 10 States With the Lowest Risk of Damage
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Appraisal Business Tips
- Humor for Appraisers
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The Limits of AI: When the intelligence is artificial, common sense is a superpower
By John Russell
Excerpts: At some point, all of us will integrate AI tools into our business practices. Whether it automates mundane and repetitive tasks, generates narrative text, or assists with analyses, the power of AI to save time is real.
The good news for valuation professionals is they have lots of experience spotting data points that don’t jibe with what they know. Another way to say this is that they have common sense. It’s a basic requirement for doing the work. Of course this 3-story overbuilt McMansion is probably not a comparable for a Cape Cod two miles away. That sale was under atypical conditions and, at minimum, needs adjustments to even be considered. You get the idea.
Do I trust what the AI is telling me?
Accepting AI outputs without any skepticism is a recipe for disaster. Approach AI like a detective interviewing witnesses: trust, but verify. Basic internet searches can quickly fact-check results — or raise enough red flags that you reject what is being offered. No state board will accept the argument, “But ChatGPT said,” and neither should you….
Should I be using AI for this task?
Just because you can doesn’t mean you should — commit this phrase to memory. You will have to own everything in your report, and if too much of the product is driven by AI tools, you may be asked: “Well, what exactly did you do here?”…
Common sense is a superpower that can protect you from dire consequences as you experiment with AI. It’s tempting to be spellbound by new AI tools that seem miraculous — and to let down your guard of common sense. Instead, I recommend a heightened sense of caution: The tools are only as good as the people who craft them and the inputs provided by the users. AI hallucinations are still unpredictable, inevitable failure points, which means any “facts” and analyses it supplies should always be verified — it’s just common sense
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My comments: Good, practical analysis of AI for appraisers.