Time Adjustment Changes for Appraisers

Newz: Time Adjustments, 2025 ASC Appraiser Data Analysis, Fannie Fraud

April 25, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad – Weather Impact
  • I Went Down to the Crossroads – Time Adjustments By Tim Andersen, MAI
  • Occidental Treehouse Named California’s Most Wish-Listed Airbnb
  • Analysis of 2025 ASC Appraisal License Data By Chase Pursley
  • Fannie Mae Fraud and Abuse Exposed By Jeremy Bagott, MAI
  • Appraiser Growth and Profitability: Key Things to Focus On By Isaac Peck, Publisher
  • Mortgage applications decreased 12.7 percent from one week earlier

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I Went Down to the Crossroads

Time Adjustments

By Tim Andersen, MAI

Excerpts: Is real estate appraisal, with the issue of more detailed time adjustments, at another cross roads now? In the past, appraisers simply smoothed changes in sales prices over time by measuring prices as of January 1st, then again as of December 31st. If they went up an average of six percent (6%) annually, then the appraiser made a one-half percent adjustment each month.

This protocol inflates prices at six percent (6%) per year, true. But it does not reflect the fact that for the first three quarters of the year prices may have increased at twelve percent (12%) per year, then in the last quarter went flat with a zero percent (0%) price change.

In this example, consider that a comparable sale going under contract at the beginning of the fourth quarter of the year would merit no time adjustment whatsoever. Nevertheless, the appraiser using the smoothing technique will adjust that sale upward at one-half percent per month over a time span when the market is actually flat. That appraiser is merely filling forms, not appraising. How so?

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Very good article on the “new” time adjustment techniques. Interesting music analysis and how it applies to appraising.

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Occidental Treehouse Named California’s Most Wish-Listed Airbnb

Excerpts: Nestled among towering redwoods in western Sonoma County, the Spectacular Spyglass Treehouse in Occidental has earned the title of California’s most wish-listed Airbnb, part of the vacation rental platform’s roundup of top-trending stays in each U.S. state.

Perched high in the forest canopy, the Spyglass Treehouse — designed and built by Artistree Home — offers guests the rare chance to sleep among the redwoods without sacrificing luxury.

The one-bedroom retreat features a king-size bed, high-speed Wi-Fi, floor-to-ceiling windows with panoramic forest views, a cedar hot tub and an indoor infrared sauna.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: A cabin near the redwoods was one of the first places I lived after moving to San Francisco from Oklahoma in 1968. I became fascinated with redwoods. Very close to my cabin was a small redwood grove. I used to go there and lie down to watch the trees. Later I traveled and saw redwoods that were much larger. I am now living about 5 miles from redwood groves to visit

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Appraisers and Firearms

Newz: Appraisers and Firearms,Future of Home Finance and GSEs, Q1 2025 Fannie Mae Appraiser Update – New URAR

April 4, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: A Family Feud and Intended Use
  • Experiences with Firearms as an Appraiser: When Tenants Behave Unexpectedly in “Their Area”
  • Billionaire Opendoor Founder’s Three-Winged ‘Propeller Home’ Hits the Market for $40 Million
  • Appraisal Institute Scandal – Widespread Fraud Uncovered
  • Housing Market Shows Early Signs of Spring By Kevin Hecht, SRA
  • Reshaping Home Finance: The Future of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and U.S. Mortgage Policy By Rob Chrisman
  • Originator jobs; Stated income loans; DOGE shifts its attention; Fannie lawsuit; clear path for rates By Rob Chrisman
  • Q1 2025 Fannie Mae Appraiser Update! – New UAD Sample Reports and Ratings, Time Adjustments
  • Mortgage applications decreased 1.6 percent from one week earlier

 

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Experiences with Firearms as an Appraiser: When Tenants Behave Unexpectedly in “Their Area”

Excerpts: Appraisers often find themselves in a wide variety of settings and situations. I mean, we are entering people’s homes, somewhere that most people see as their comfort zones and a place they are not open to having a stranger poke around in. We as professionals understand this and usually try to make it as quick and painless as possible. There are those moments where it turns into a “memorable experience” and homeowners or tenants feel like they must make it known we are not welcome.

I personally am batting .1000 this year on multi-family properties, where tenants have felt it was necessary for me to get the message, by brandishing a firearm. I will share the following two situations, how I personally managed it, explain why I do not personally carry a concealed firearm, and ask you readers to tell me if this is common or for similar memorable experiences.

For more information and to read the appraiser comments, Click Here

My comments: My first appraisal-related job was with the Monterey (California) County Assessor’s office. It was transitioning to computerized valuation. I was a temporary “appraiser assistant” hired to go to properties to see if the county appraisal records needed updating.

In those days (mid-1970s), properties were reappraised regularly to increase the assessments and property taxes were increased.

I knocked on the door and was met with a man carrying a shotgun. He said: Go away assessor! I don’t remember the city, but it was not in a rural area. I left and told my supervisor to find someone else to do the inspection.

I have never owned a firearm and would never carry one. No one I knew owned a firearm except for my husband, who had firearm training when he was teaching horticulture at a state prison. I would not allow a firearm in our house but still keep a baseball bat by my front door “just in case”.

But, recreational firing at a target was on my “bucket list”. An appraiser friend took me to a local firing range. I tried handguns, rifles and shotguns. Some worked like machine guns with many bullets fired at one time. I really liked it the best. Next time I go to Las Vegas I will try out real machine guns. Trying to hit a target did not appeal to me. Ya never know until you try!

Of course, I have had many encounters with dogs. One was when I was appraising the house of an appraiser I knew. I was met with small dogs biting my ankles. When the owner put the dogs away I continued with the appraisal. Another time, in a rural area, 3 large Dobermans broke down the door of a mobile home and ran toward me. I managed to get in my car. I told the lender to get another appraiser.

When markets crashed I did a lot of foreclosure appraisals. I made a lot of noise opening the door and loudly saying I was an appraiser for the lender and needed to come inside. I never had a problem. But some appraisers requested that a police officer accompany them when the home looked “sketchy” to them from the outside.

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Appraisal Time Adjustments

Newz: Time Adjustments, Fannie Condo “Blacklist”, Future of GSEs?

March 28, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: Navigating Value Revisions
  • On Time Adjustments By Timothy Andersen, MAI
  • 19.5 Million Arizona Airpark Mansion Boasts Private Jet Hangar, Indoor Shooting Range, and 11 Bathrooms — but Only 3 Bedrooms
  • Pulte has no plans to lower conforming loan limits for Fannie and Freddie
  • Fannie Mae’s Condo “Blacklist”
  • FHA rescinds mortgage appraisal policies aimed at countering bias (update on last week’s newsletter topic)
  • Fannie, Freddie face uncertain futures, potential jobs cuts
  • Mortgage applications decreased 2.0 percent from one week earlier

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On Time Adjustments

Timothy Andersen, MAI, MSc., CDEI, MNAA

Excerpts: Typically, this time starts when the comparable goes under contract, then ends on the effective date of the appraisal. If the market has measurably changed over that period, that change means the appraiser should market-adjust the comps up- or downward, as the market demands¹.

This analysis reveals yet another dilemma. For example, to conclude prices went up twelve per cent (12%) per year is a simple average increase of one percent per month, or a daily factor of (0.12 ÷ 365 =) 0.000329. This simplistic analysis means that for a sale that went under contract at $400,000 42-days ago, the increase factor would be $400,000 X 0.000329, or an increase of $131.51 times 42-days or $5,523. This rationale is mathematically correct.

But our training must govern here and force us to ask the question, “Does this adjustment protocol reflect current market verities?” If not, then following this protocol is, in effect, to guess at a time adjustment. To guess at the time adjustment is to fail to reflect market trends truly and correctly. To fail to reflect them truly and correctly in the final value opinion is to mislead the client. See the dilemma?

Does USPAP² offer any advice on this issue? No. USPAP does not even use the word adjustment (or any of its derivatives) until AO-13.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Good analysis of the current time adjustment issues. Using only an annual increase (Like most of us were trained to do) is not very accurate. Tim writes, teaches USPAP and advises appraisers on how to do better reports. He is a USPAP Expert. Tim is a regular contributor to the monthly Appraisal Today.

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Finding Comps with Few Sales for Appraisers

Newz: Pulling Comps in 2025, Appraiser Union? AMCs Overcharging Consumers

March 7, 2025

  • What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)
  • LIA ad: Problem with An Affidavit
  • The struggle of pulling comps in 2025 By Ryan Lundquist
  • Op-Ed: Why An Appraiser Union Would Never Work By Dustin Harris
  • The Full Measure: February 2025 Housing Market Snapshot for Appraisers By Kevin Hecht
  • The Trump Administration’s Regulatory Overhaul: The Impact on CFPB, FHA, and the Housing Industry By Rob Chrisman
  • Homebuilders Warn of Rising Building Costs as Trump’s Tariffs on Canada and Mexico Take Effect By NAR
  • AMCs Overcharging Consumers? Morgan & Morgan Investigates
  • Mortgage applications decreased 1.2 percent from one week earlier

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The struggle of pulling comps in 2025

By Ryan Lundquist

Excerpts:

1) SALES TELL US ABOUT THE PAST

Comps aren’t easy today. The problem is there aren’t that many sales, so it’s not so simple to figure out value. Lately, I’ve been getting a ton of questions about this, so I wanted to share some things I’m doing on my end….

2) TWO OPTIONS TODAY

We have two choices for comps. Go back further in time in the immediate neighborhood, or go out further to competitive areas. Why not do both?…

3) HOW FAR AWAY CAN YOU GO FOR COMPS?

It’s not how far you can go, but where you should go. Read that again. This is true in any market. And where would buyers go for comps? That’s also a viable question. No matter where you’re getting comps, be sure they are a good substitution…

To read lots more plus see graphs and read appraiser comments, Click Here

My comments: Read This Article! Few sales are common in many areas. I prefer going back in time. I have been doing time adjustments since 1975, when prices were going up 5% per month in a semi-rural Northern California county. The GSEs seem to be making it way more complicated. I do them on every appraisal. If not needed, I always comment that the market is stable. It is the only adjustment I make on my non-lender appraisals, except for features that are unusual.

I have no idea why the GSEs complain that many appraisers are not doing them when needed. Maybe the appraisers never learned how? Many dollar adjustments are needed on the grid and can be much more difficult than time adjustments.

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Appraisers: Advice On Staying Current

Newz: AMCs Fee Skimming Lawsuit, Appraising a Hobbit Hole

February 28, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: Disclosing Identity of Complaining Party
  • On Staying Current By Timothy Andersen, MAI
  • Futuristic $177 Million Bel-Air Megamansion With Its Own Private Jazz Club Hits All the Right Notes
  • Appraising a Hobbit Hole: The Property Value of Bag End
  • AMCs Deceptive Fee Skimming Exposed in Lawsuit
  • The 10 Most Expensive Home Listings and Home Sales in the U.S.
  • February 21, 2025
  • Mortgage applications decreased 1.2 percent from one week earlier

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On Staying Current

By Timothy Andersen, MAI

Excerpts: In this monograph, we discuss the absolute necessity of developing more than one skill set as part of becoming a competent and professional real estate appraiser.

Real estate appraising is a complex practice that requires a diverse range of skills and knowledge, from understanding current market conditions to understanding and interpreting complex legal and financial documents. If you want to be your own boss, it also requires business acumen.

At its core, real estate appraising involves the due diligence necessary to form a credible opinion of the market value of a particular property. This requires a deep understanding of the appraiser’s local real estate market, as well as of the physical, legal, and economic factors that influence property values in it. However, becoming a successful real estate appraiser requires more than mere market knowledge.

It also requires a range of other skills, including the ability to conduct thorough research, analyze mountains of data, communicate persuasively and effectively with and to other professionals, and manage complex projects. These are all aspects of being an appraiser they do not teach us in appraisal school.

Most importantly, successful appraisers must adapt to changing market conditions and trends. Currently there are so many of these ongoing, especially as the GSEs are about to inaugurate UAD-2 to replace their archaic appraisal reporting forms. This means continually learning and developing new skills to stay ahead of the curve.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Good analysis of appraising. I have been appraising for 50 years and I still love it. I am easily bored, but every property is different and market conditions change regularly where I work. I am always learning something new.

If this seems overwhelming to you or other post-licensing appraisers, it is not your fault. Unfortunately, after licensing started many trainees hired other trainees. Almost all had poor training and classes. I was unable to refer wannabes to professional associations as they only wanted classes for members, not for new appraiser. Changing what you learned when you started is very difficult to do. I was very fortunate as I started before licensing and had very active local chapters of AIREA and SREA predecessors of the Appraisal Institute. The appraisers I met had lots of experience. They helped me whenever I had any questions. I learned how to lender appraisals plus many types of non-lender appraisals correctly from them.

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Appraisals and the Cost Approach

Newz: DEI and Appraisers, New GSE Market Analysis Deadline Feb. 4

January 31, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA AD: Weather Impact
  • What is the Cost Approach to Real Estate Appraisal?
  • ‘Unparalleled’ 3-Mansion Compound on Miami’s Exclusive Palm Island Splashes Onto the Market for $150 Million
  • DEI and Appraisers
  • Fannie and Freddie Forecasts

  • Fannie, Freddie: New Market Analysis Requirements February 4th

  • Mortgage applications decreased 2.0 percent from one week earlier

 

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What is the Cost Approach to Real Estate Appraisal?

By Kevin Hecht

Excerpts: When to Use the Cost Approach

There are circumstances when it’s necessary to use the cost approach, for example, unique properties and new construction. The cost approach can also be used to support the sales comparison approach.

Fannie Mae only accepts the sales comparison approach as its primary valuation tool. However, that does not preclude an appraiser from also using the cost approach to substantiate their findings. And there are other lenders who may accept the cost approach over other real estate appraisal methods for certain properties or situations…

Some Disadvantages of Using the Cost Approach

There are inherent benefits of using the cost approach, especially when you’re tasked with challenging properties that have little or no comps. But there are also some downsides.

One of the primary disadvantages is the assumption that land is available for purchase to build an identical property. Land is a scarce resource. When comparable land sales are not available, the value must be estimated.

The bigger issue here is undervaluing the land costs based on scarcity. In real estate, location is everything. A small ocean-front cottage has its value because of the land it sits on, not necessarily its four walls…

Other disadvantages include how to depreciate an older property or find costs for similar building materials. This can be particularly tricky when using the reproduction method of the cost approach or appraising a historic home.

Appraisers should consider whether the cost approach is the best tool to use. In many situations, it’s best used in tandem with the sales comparison approach.

Tips for Using the Cost Approach

As part of our monthly survey series, we asked our community of real estate appraisers, “What’s your best tip for using the cost approach to appraise?” They shared many helpful comments, including common pitfalls to avoid as well as general advice and recommendations. Here’s what they said:

“Use and research valuable comps and educate yourself on the surrounding market.”

“Call local developers for better support on cost estimates. Make friends with builders.”…

To read more, Click Here

My comments: When I saw the article topic I thought it would be boring. Not! When I read it I realized it was one of the best on the Cost Approach I have read! If you only do GSE appraisals, you probably don’t use the Cost Approach very often, except for new construction. This article explains when and why. It also includes “basic” info such as reproduction vs. replacement. Keep it as a reference for the future when you may need to use the Cost Approach.

When I first started appraising in a Northern CA assessor’s office in 1975, the Cost Approach was the only approached used for decades for all properties. My supervisor devised a table based on square footage for homes which we used.

In the Oakland CA firestorm in 2021, many of the homes had reproduction replacement in their insurance policies. Many were historic homes with features that were very difficult to reproduce, assuming you could find anyone who still knew how to build them. The home owners with reproduction costs got very large payments from their insurance companies. Many had larger homes built with sometimes very unusual designs. The insurance companies learned their mistake and never offered reproduction again.

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3-Mansion Compound on Miami’s Exclusive Palm Island Splashes Onto the Market for $150 Million

Excerpts: 3 homes, 92,00 sq.ft. 300 linear ft. of water frontage

The pricey property, which initially debuted in 2023, was relisted in 2024 at the same price. Now, with Florida’s luxury housing market experiencing a major boom, the compound is back on the market with the same sky-high price.

“Potential buyers might include high-profile individuals like celebrities or CEOs, investors, entertainers or hosts, or luxury lifestyle seekers,” he tells Realtor.com®.

“This offering appeals to those who prioritize exclusivity and are willing to invest significantly for a unique, turnkey luxury compound.”

The trio of homes was assembled by owner Jorge Luise Garcia and the Adria, Maria, Adrian Almeida Trust. They were purchased separately over a period of 17 years.

The first of the three mansions was purchased in 2004 for $3.45 million, the second in 2019 for $13.9 million, and the third in 2021 for $17 million, for a total of $34.35 million, according to property records.

To read more, Click Here

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Market Condition (Time) Adjustments for Appraisals

Newz: Appraiser Loses License, Fannie Market Conditions Deadline

January 17, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA AD: Your Role as a Judge’s Appraiser
  • Market Condition Adjustments: A Comprehensive Guide for Appraisers By Jim Amorin
  • The Crocker Mansion, New Jersey 50,000 sq ft $ $33,000,000
  • LA: Both Ends Burning By Jonathan Miller, Appraiser
  • How a Chink in Your Armor Can Create an Ugly Outcome by Richard Hagar, SRA
  • Colorado Revokes Appraiser’s License, $97,500 fine
  • Mortgage applications increased 33.3 percent from one week earlier

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Market Condition Adjustments: A Comprehensive Guide for Appraisers

By Jim Amorin, MAI, SRA, AI-GRS

Excerpts: To effectively support market condition adjustments in line with recent Fannie Mae guidelines, appraisers can use a variety of market analysis techniques. These methods provide a solid foundation for demonstrating how changing market conditions affect property values over time. Below is a detailed explanation of each technique to ensure the adjustments are well-supported and align with market trends.

The goal is to make sure every adjustment is defensible, based on empirical evidence, and can withstand scrutiny from all stakeholders involved in the appraisal process. By applying these methods, appraisers can provide reliable, accurate valuations that reflect current market conditions and ensure the appraisal’s credibility and acceptance.

Author’s note: I may use time adjustments and market conditions adjustments interchangeably. This is shorthand that every experienced appraiser knows and understands – please don’t @ me

Market Condition Adjustments Illustration

Fannie Mae guidelines emphasize that adjustments made to comparable sales are based on market changes between the contract date of the comparable sales and the effective date of the appraisal. Depending on when the comparable sales occurred, adjustments can be positive, negative, or zero within the same appraisal report. Understanding these nuances is crucial for ensuring that time adjustments accurately reflect changing market conditions.

SEE GRAPH BELOW. FANNIE DOES NOT REQUIRE THiS TYPE OF GRAPH.

Additional Topics:

  • Paired Sales Analysis
  • Market Trends and Regression Analysis
  • Indexing Methods
  • CoreLogic’s Home Price Index (HPI)
  • S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index
  • Use of Listings and Pending Sales
  • Subdivision or Neighborhood Analysis
  • And More

To read more, Click Here

My comments: READ THIS ARTICLE! Understandable with excellent illustrations. Goes over many topics. The best article I have read on this topic that is not too complicated and/or long.

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From Fannie: Lenders are encouraged to implement these appraisal policy changes immediately but must do so for appraisals dated on or after March 1, 2025.

Source:

© 2024 Fannie Mae SEL-2024-08 Selling Guide Announcement (SEL-2024-08) Dec. 11, 2024

Fannie Announcement:

Time adjustments in appraisals

“We added clarifying language to remind lenders and appraisers the use of home price indices (HPIs), statistical analysis, modeling, paired sales, or other commonly accepted methods are acceptable for supporting appraisal time adjustments. Fannie Mae encourages the use of these tools to provide supporting evidence for market trends and conditions.“

“Failure to make market-derived time adjustments when indicated by market data is an example of an unacceptable appraisal practice. Appraisal reports must summarize all supporting evidence and should include a description of the data sources, tools, and techniques used to determine the overall valuation. “

To read the Fannie notice: Click Here

Read more!!

Appraising Unique Homes

Newz: GSE Privatization, 2025 Forecasts, Unique Homes

January 10, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

My comments on topics: This newsletter is long. Almost all the news items I have received are 2025 Forecasts, so I have included some of them in this newsletter.

    • LIA: Disclosing Identity of Complaining Party
    • Why Selling a Unique Home Is Challenging — and Can Leave Some Owners Feeling ‘Stiffed
    • 2025 Housing Market Predictions: Key Insights for Real Estate Appraisers The National View
    • Real estate trends to watch in 2025 – The Local View
    • Appraisal Industry Outlook Under Trump Administration
    • Will Homeowners Finally Sell in 2025? Here’s What the Experts Say, Amid a Glimmer of Hope
    • GSE Privatization A ‘Herculean Task’
    • Mortgage applications decreased 3.7 percent from one week earlier

Click here to subscribe to our FREE weekly appraiser email newsletter and get the latest appraisal news!

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Why Selling a Unique Home Is Challenging — and Can Leave Some Owners Feeling ‘Stiffed’

Excerpts: When Ann Levengood decided to let go of her beloved double-dome home two hours outside of Seattle, she thought she did everything a seller needed to do to get a good price.

“We built a new garage and completely did the heavy work with a $50,000 new roof, new drainage, new retaining walls, landscaping (including removal of alder trees), interior was completely redone, new lighting, new skylights, you name it. We had zero tasks upon inspection,” she tells Realtor.com®

“The inspector had never seen such a clean house.” But when it came time to price the Poulsbo property, Levengood and her agent didn’t see eye to eye. While the proud owner wanted to price the house at $425,000, the cautious agent listed it at $339,000.

The problem? The house, with its double domes, was unusual.

Even so, the home took only two months to close a sale at full price, leaving Levengood with the lingering feeling that she had been stiffed. “I couldn’t even get agents to come out and see it,” she says.

Not only can it be more difficult to find the proper buyer for such a home, but it is also challenging to find comps.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Worth reading the article. All appraisers appraise unique homes, which are often very challenging, especially for comps and market analysis. This article helps appraisers understand the difficulties in selling unique homes. I have never read about this important topic.

Read more!!

Construction Code Violations and Expertise Appraisals

Newz: Appraiser Humor, Mortgage Rate Changes, New GSE Time Analysis

January 3, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA – Code Violations and Expertise
  • Mortgage Rate History Since 1971 What about 2025?
  • Hurricane-Proof $600K Dome Home on Florida’s Space Coast
  • Lyle Radke of Fannie Mae with George Dell, SRA, MAI, ASA, CRE to discuss upcoming changes by the GSEs on Time Analysis
  • Backers of most U.S. mortgages (GSEs) have done little about climate risks
  • Top Ten Reasons Why It Is Great to be an Appraiser – Humor
  • Mortgage applications decreased 21.9 percent from two weeks earlier

Click here to subscribe to our FREE weekly appraiser email newsletter and get the latest appraisal news!

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Mortgage Rate History Since 1971 What about 2025?

Excerpts: For many homebuyers, the last few years have felt like a perfect storm of challenges—soaring home prices and climbing mortgage rates colliding to limit affordability. It’s left many wondering if 2025 will finally calm the waters. Will rates dip low enough to bring some relief, or is another wave of increases on the horizon? While there’s no magic compass to navigate these market shifts, a look back at mortgage rate history can offer clues—and maybe even some hope for those waiting to make their move.

Despite the Federal Reserve’s 25-basis-point rate cut in November, mortgage rates have remained in the high 6% range, offering limited relief to borrowers. However, optimism persists in the market as many believe rates could continue to ease in the months ahead, potentially sparking renewed interest among buyers and homeowners.

While the history of mortgage rates provides valuable context, it’s important to recognize that average mortgage rates are just a benchmark. Borrowers with healthy credit profiles and strong finances often get mortgage rates well below the industry norm.

Current rates are more than double their all-time low of 2.65% (reached in January 2021). But if we take a step back and look at the history of mortgage rates, they’re still close to the historic average since 1971 of 7.73%

To read more and see the graphs and many links to more info, Click Here

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Q4 2024 Fannie Appraiser Update

Newz: Q4 Fannie Appraiser Update, 2025 Mortgage Rates Forecasts Are Now Wrong

December 27, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: Disclosing Identity of Complaining Party
  • Q4 2024 Fannie Mae Appraiser Update
  • Dramatic Concrete-and-Glass Santa Monica CA Masterpiece Designed by Famed Architect Ray Kappe Lists for $4 Million
  • Is Ethics a Spiritual Principle By George Dell, SRA, MAI, ASA, CRE
  • All those 2025 mortgage rates forecasts are now wrong
  • The New Con: Hybrids, Waivers & AMCs Threaten Public Trust
  • MBA: No data released until January 2, 2025

CHANGE THE YEAR ON YOUR TEMPLATES NOW TO 2025!
DON’T WAIT UNTIL AFTER 1/1/25!

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Mortgage forecast – loans predicted to drop 30% in 2014

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