Finding Comps with Few Sales for Appraisers

Newz: Pulling Comps in 2025, Appraiser Union? AMCs Overcharging Consumers

March 7, 2025

  • What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)
  • LIA ad: Problem with An Affidavit
  • The struggle of pulling comps in 2025 By Ryan Lundquist
  • Op-Ed: Why An Appraiser Union Would Never Work By Dustin Harris
  • The Full Measure: February 2025 Housing Market Snapshot for Appraisers By Kevin Hecht
  • The Trump Administration’s Regulatory Overhaul: The Impact on CFPB, FHA, and the Housing Industry By Rob Chrisman
  • Homebuilders Warn of Rising Building Costs as Trump’s Tariffs on Canada and Mexico Take Effect By NAR
  • AMCs Overcharging Consumers? Morgan & Morgan Investigates
  • Mortgage applications decreased 1.2 percent from one week earlier

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The struggle of pulling comps in 2025

By Ryan Lundquist

Excerpts:

1) SALES TELL US ABOUT THE PAST

Comps aren’t easy today. The problem is there aren’t that many sales, so it’s not so simple to figure out value. Lately, I’ve been getting a ton of questions about this, so I wanted to share some things I’m doing on my end….

2) TWO OPTIONS TODAY

We have two choices for comps. Go back further in time in the immediate neighborhood, or go out further to competitive areas. Why not do both?…

3) HOW FAR AWAY CAN YOU GO FOR COMPS?

It’s not how far you can go, but where you should go. Read that again. This is true in any market. And where would buyers go for comps? That’s also a viable question. No matter where you’re getting comps, be sure they are a good substitution…

To read lots more plus see graphs and read appraiser comments, Click Here

My comments: Read This Article! Few sales are common in many areas. I prefer going back in time. I have been doing time adjustments since 1975, when prices were going up 5% per month in a semi-rural Northern California county. The GSEs seem to be making it way more complicated. I do them on every appraisal. If not needed, I always comment that the market is stable. It is the only adjustment I make on my non-lender appraisals, except for features that are unusual.

I have no idea why the GSEs complain that many appraisers are not doing them when needed. Maybe the appraisers never learned how? Many dollar adjustments are needed on the grid and can be much more difficult than time adjustments.

Read more!!

Appraisers: Advice On Staying Current

Newz: AMCs Fee Skimming Lawsuit, Appraising a Hobbit Hole

February 28, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: Disclosing Identity of Complaining Party
  • On Staying Current By Timothy Andersen, MAI
  • Futuristic $177 Million Bel-Air Megamansion With Its Own Private Jazz Club Hits All the Right Notes
  • Appraising a Hobbit Hole: The Property Value of Bag End
  • AMCs Deceptive Fee Skimming Exposed in Lawsuit
  • The 10 Most Expensive Home Listings and Home Sales in the U.S.
  • February 21, 2025
  • Mortgage applications decreased 1.2 percent from one week earlier

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On Staying Current

By Timothy Andersen, MAI

Excerpts: In this monograph, we discuss the absolute necessity of developing more than one skill set as part of becoming a competent and professional real estate appraiser.

Real estate appraising is a complex practice that requires a diverse range of skills and knowledge, from understanding current market conditions to understanding and interpreting complex legal and financial documents. If you want to be your own boss, it also requires business acumen.

At its core, real estate appraising involves the due diligence necessary to form a credible opinion of the market value of a particular property. This requires a deep understanding of the appraiser’s local real estate market, as well as of the physical, legal, and economic factors that influence property values in it. However, becoming a successful real estate appraiser requires more than mere market knowledge.

It also requires a range of other skills, including the ability to conduct thorough research, analyze mountains of data, communicate persuasively and effectively with and to other professionals, and manage complex projects. These are all aspects of being an appraiser they do not teach us in appraisal school.

Most importantly, successful appraisers must adapt to changing market conditions and trends. Currently there are so many of these ongoing, especially as the GSEs are about to inaugurate UAD-2 to replace their archaic appraisal reporting forms. This means continually learning and developing new skills to stay ahead of the curve.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Good analysis of appraising. I have been appraising for 50 years and I still love it. I am easily bored, but every property is different and market conditions change regularly where I work. I am always learning something new.

If this seems overwhelming to you or other post-licensing appraisers, it is not your fault. Unfortunately, after licensing started many trainees hired other trainees. Almost all had poor training and classes. I was unable to refer wannabes to professional associations as they only wanted classes for members, not for new appraiser. Changing what you learned when you started is very difficult to do. I was very fortunate as I started before licensing and had very active local chapters of AIREA and SREA predecessors of the Appraisal Institute. The appraisers I met had lots of experience. They helped me whenever I had any questions. I learned how to lender appraisals plus many types of non-lender appraisals correctly from them.

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Appraisals and the Cost Approach

Newz: DEI and Appraisers, New GSE Market Analysis Deadline Feb. 4

January 31, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA AD: Weather Impact
  • What is the Cost Approach to Real Estate Appraisal?
  • ‘Unparalleled’ 3-Mansion Compound on Miami’s Exclusive Palm Island Splashes Onto the Market for $150 Million
  • DEI and Appraisers
  • Fannie and Freddie Forecasts

  • Fannie, Freddie: New Market Analysis Requirements February 4th

  • Mortgage applications decreased 2.0 percent from one week earlier

 

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What is the Cost Approach to Real Estate Appraisal?

By Kevin Hecht

Excerpts: When to Use the Cost Approach

There are circumstances when it’s necessary to use the cost approach, for example, unique properties and new construction. The cost approach can also be used to support the sales comparison approach.

Fannie Mae only accepts the sales comparison approach as its primary valuation tool. However, that does not preclude an appraiser from also using the cost approach to substantiate their findings. And there are other lenders who may accept the cost approach over other real estate appraisal methods for certain properties or situations…

Some Disadvantages of Using the Cost Approach

There are inherent benefits of using the cost approach, especially when you’re tasked with challenging properties that have little or no comps. But there are also some downsides.

One of the primary disadvantages is the assumption that land is available for purchase to build an identical property. Land is a scarce resource. When comparable land sales are not available, the value must be estimated.

The bigger issue here is undervaluing the land costs based on scarcity. In real estate, location is everything. A small ocean-front cottage has its value because of the land it sits on, not necessarily its four walls…

Other disadvantages include how to depreciate an older property or find costs for similar building materials. This can be particularly tricky when using the reproduction method of the cost approach or appraising a historic home.

Appraisers should consider whether the cost approach is the best tool to use. In many situations, it’s best used in tandem with the sales comparison approach.

Tips for Using the Cost Approach

As part of our monthly survey series, we asked our community of real estate appraisers, “What’s your best tip for using the cost approach to appraise?” They shared many helpful comments, including common pitfalls to avoid as well as general advice and recommendations. Here’s what they said:

“Use and research valuable comps and educate yourself on the surrounding market.”

“Call local developers for better support on cost estimates. Make friends with builders.”…

To read more, Click Here

My comments: When I saw the article topic I thought it would be boring. Not! When I read it I realized it was one of the best on the Cost Approach I have read! If you only do GSE appraisals, you probably don’t use the Cost Approach very often, except for new construction. This article explains when and why. It also includes “basic” info such as reproduction vs. replacement. Keep it as a reference for the future when you may need to use the Cost Approach.

When I first started appraising in a Northern CA assessor’s office in 1975, the Cost Approach was the only approached used for decades for all properties. My supervisor devised a table based on square footage for homes which we used.

In the Oakland CA firestorm in 2021, many of the homes had reproduction replacement in their insurance policies. Many were historic homes with features that were very difficult to reproduce, assuming you could find anyone who still knew how to build them. The home owners with reproduction costs got very large payments from their insurance companies. Many had larger homes built with sometimes very unusual designs. The insurance companies learned their mistake and never offered reproduction again.

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3-Mansion Compound on Miami’s Exclusive Palm Island Splashes Onto the Market for $150 Million

Excerpts: 3 homes, 92,00 sq.ft. 300 linear ft. of water frontage

The pricey property, which initially debuted in 2023, was relisted in 2024 at the same price. Now, with Florida’s luxury housing market experiencing a major boom, the compound is back on the market with the same sky-high price.

“Potential buyers might include high-profile individuals like celebrities or CEOs, investors, entertainers or hosts, or luxury lifestyle seekers,” he tells Realtor.com®.

“This offering appeals to those who prioritize exclusivity and are willing to invest significantly for a unique, turnkey luxury compound.”

The trio of homes was assembled by owner Jorge Luise Garcia and the Adria, Maria, Adrian Almeida Trust. They were purchased separately over a period of 17 years.

The first of the three mansions was purchased in 2004 for $3.45 million, the second in 2019 for $13.9 million, and the third in 2021 for $17 million, for a total of $34.35 million, according to property records.

To read more, Click Here

Read more!!

Market Condition (Time) Adjustments for Appraisals

Newz: Appraiser Loses License, Fannie Market Conditions Deadline

January 17, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA AD: Your Role as a Judge’s Appraiser
  • Market Condition Adjustments: A Comprehensive Guide for Appraisers By Jim Amorin
  • The Crocker Mansion, New Jersey 50,000 sq ft $ $33,000,000
  • LA: Both Ends Burning By Jonathan Miller, Appraiser
  • How a Chink in Your Armor Can Create an Ugly Outcome by Richard Hagar, SRA
  • Colorado Revokes Appraiser’s License, $97,500 fine
  • Mortgage applications increased 33.3 percent from one week earlier

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Market Condition Adjustments: A Comprehensive Guide for Appraisers

By Jim Amorin, MAI, SRA, AI-GRS

Excerpts: To effectively support market condition adjustments in line with recent Fannie Mae guidelines, appraisers can use a variety of market analysis techniques. These methods provide a solid foundation for demonstrating how changing market conditions affect property values over time. Below is a detailed explanation of each technique to ensure the adjustments are well-supported and align with market trends.

The goal is to make sure every adjustment is defensible, based on empirical evidence, and can withstand scrutiny from all stakeholders involved in the appraisal process. By applying these methods, appraisers can provide reliable, accurate valuations that reflect current market conditions and ensure the appraisal’s credibility and acceptance.

Author’s note: I may use time adjustments and market conditions adjustments interchangeably. This is shorthand that every experienced appraiser knows and understands – please don’t @ me

Market Condition Adjustments Illustration

Fannie Mae guidelines emphasize that adjustments made to comparable sales are based on market changes between the contract date of the comparable sales and the effective date of the appraisal. Depending on when the comparable sales occurred, adjustments can be positive, negative, or zero within the same appraisal report. Understanding these nuances is crucial for ensuring that time adjustments accurately reflect changing market conditions.

SEE GRAPH BELOW. FANNIE DOES NOT REQUIRE THiS TYPE OF GRAPH.

Additional Topics:

  • Paired Sales Analysis
  • Market Trends and Regression Analysis
  • Indexing Methods
  • CoreLogic’s Home Price Index (HPI)
  • S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index
  • Use of Listings and Pending Sales
  • Subdivision or Neighborhood Analysis
  • And More

To read more, Click Here

My comments: READ THIS ARTICLE! Understandable with excellent illustrations. Goes over many topics. The best article I have read on this topic that is not too complicated and/or long.

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From Fannie: Lenders are encouraged to implement these appraisal policy changes immediately but must do so for appraisals dated on or after March 1, 2025.

Source:

© 2024 Fannie Mae SEL-2024-08 Selling Guide Announcement (SEL-2024-08) Dec. 11, 2024

Fannie Announcement:

Time adjustments in appraisals

“We added clarifying language to remind lenders and appraisers the use of home price indices (HPIs), statistical analysis, modeling, paired sales, or other commonly accepted methods are acceptable for supporting appraisal time adjustments. Fannie Mae encourages the use of these tools to provide supporting evidence for market trends and conditions.“

“Failure to make market-derived time adjustments when indicated by market data is an example of an unacceptable appraisal practice. Appraisal reports must summarize all supporting evidence and should include a description of the data sources, tools, and techniques used to determine the overall valuation. “

To read the Fannie notice: Click Here

Read more!!

Appraising Unique Homes

Newz: GSE Privatization, 2025 Forecasts, Unique Homes

January 10, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

My comments on topics: This newsletter is long. Almost all the news items I have received are 2025 Forecasts, so I have included some of them in this newsletter.

    • LIA: Disclosing Identity of Complaining Party
    • Why Selling a Unique Home Is Challenging — and Can Leave Some Owners Feeling ‘Stiffed
    • 2025 Housing Market Predictions: Key Insights for Real Estate Appraisers The National View
    • Real estate trends to watch in 2025 – The Local View
    • Appraisal Industry Outlook Under Trump Administration
    • Will Homeowners Finally Sell in 2025? Here’s What the Experts Say, Amid a Glimmer of Hope
    • GSE Privatization A ‘Herculean Task’
    • Mortgage applications decreased 3.7 percent from one week earlier

Click here to subscribe to our FREE weekly appraiser email newsletter and get the latest appraisal news!

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Why Selling a Unique Home Is Challenging — and Can Leave Some Owners Feeling ‘Stiffed’

Excerpts: When Ann Levengood decided to let go of her beloved double-dome home two hours outside of Seattle, she thought she did everything a seller needed to do to get a good price.

“We built a new garage and completely did the heavy work with a $50,000 new roof, new drainage, new retaining walls, landscaping (including removal of alder trees), interior was completely redone, new lighting, new skylights, you name it. We had zero tasks upon inspection,” she tells Realtor.com®

“The inspector had never seen such a clean house.” But when it came time to price the Poulsbo property, Levengood and her agent didn’t see eye to eye. While the proud owner wanted to price the house at $425,000, the cautious agent listed it at $339,000.

The problem? The house, with its double domes, was unusual.

Even so, the home took only two months to close a sale at full price, leaving Levengood with the lingering feeling that she had been stiffed. “I couldn’t even get agents to come out and see it,” she says.

Not only can it be more difficult to find the proper buyer for such a home, but it is also challenging to find comps.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Worth reading the article. All appraisers appraise unique homes, which are often very challenging, especially for comps and market analysis. This article helps appraisers understand the difficulties in selling unique homes. I have never read about this important topic.

Read more!!

Construction Code Violations and Expertise Appraisals

Newz: Appraiser Humor, Mortgage Rate Changes, New GSE Time Analysis

January 3, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA – Code Violations and Expertise
  • Mortgage Rate History Since 1971 What about 2025?
  • Hurricane-Proof $600K Dome Home on Florida’s Space Coast
  • Lyle Radke of Fannie Mae with George Dell, SRA, MAI, ASA, CRE to discuss upcoming changes by the GSEs on Time Analysis
  • Backers of most U.S. mortgages (GSEs) have done little about climate risks
  • Top Ten Reasons Why It Is Great to be an Appraiser – Humor
  • Mortgage applications decreased 21.9 percent from two weeks earlier

Click here to subscribe to our FREE weekly appraiser email newsletter and get the latest appraisal news!

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Mortgage Rate History Since 1971 What about 2025?

Excerpts: For many homebuyers, the last few years have felt like a perfect storm of challenges—soaring home prices and climbing mortgage rates colliding to limit affordability. It’s left many wondering if 2025 will finally calm the waters. Will rates dip low enough to bring some relief, or is another wave of increases on the horizon? While there’s no magic compass to navigate these market shifts, a look back at mortgage rate history can offer clues—and maybe even some hope for those waiting to make their move.

Despite the Federal Reserve’s 25-basis-point rate cut in November, mortgage rates have remained in the high 6% range, offering limited relief to borrowers. However, optimism persists in the market as many believe rates could continue to ease in the months ahead, potentially sparking renewed interest among buyers and homeowners.

While the history of mortgage rates provides valuable context, it’s important to recognize that average mortgage rates are just a benchmark. Borrowers with healthy credit profiles and strong finances often get mortgage rates well below the industry norm.

Current rates are more than double their all-time low of 2.65% (reached in January 2021). But if we take a step back and look at the history of mortgage rates, they’re still close to the historic average since 1971 of 7.73%

To read more and see the graphs and many links to more info, Click Here

Read more!!

Q4 2024 Fannie Appraiser Update

Newz: Q4 Fannie Appraiser Update, 2025 Mortgage Rates Forecasts Are Now Wrong

December 27, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: Disclosing Identity of Complaining Party
  • Q4 2024 Fannie Mae Appraiser Update
  • Dramatic Concrete-and-Glass Santa Monica CA Masterpiece Designed by Famed Architect Ray Kappe Lists for $4 Million
  • Is Ethics a Spiritual Principle By George Dell, SRA, MAI, ASA, CRE
  • All those 2025 mortgage rates forecasts are now wrong
  • The New Con: Hybrids, Waivers & AMCs Threaten Public Trust
  • MBA: No data released until January 2, 2025

CHANGE THE YEAR ON YOUR TEMPLATES NOW TO 2025!
DON’T WAIT UNTIL AFTER 1/1/25!

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Mortgage forecast – loans predicted to drop 30% in 2014

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10 Appraisal Myths

Newz: 10 Appraisal Myths, AMCs – Appraiser Ripoffs –  AMC Junk Fees

November 29, 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA – Intended Use and User
  • Don’t Fall for These 10 Real Estate Appraisal Myths
  • Extraordinary 4-Story Megamansion With Rooftop Putting Green and 2 Pools Lists for $78 Million
  • Now What? On a New Trump Administration
  • Outrage Over Connect by ValueLink’s New Monthly “Junk Fee”
  • Mortgage applications increased 6.3 percent from one week earlier

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10 Real Estate Appraisal Myths

By Tom Horne

Excerpts: In this week’s post, I dispel some common appraisal myths that have been around for years.

10 Appraisal Myths

Myth #1: All real estate appraisers are the same

Myth #2: Appraisals are the same as the Zillow Zestimate

Myth #3: The appraisal always comes in at the contract price

Myth #4: The appraiser is working for the buyer

Myth #5: Cost always equals value

Myth #6: Comps must be within one mile of the subject property

Myth #7: Agents and appraisers cannot talk

Myth #8: Appraisals and home inspections are the same

Myth #9: Assessed value will equal market value

Myth #10: The “new” appraisal methods are better than the old

To read more, Click Here

My comments: I’m sure you have heard some, or all, of these questions. I have heard them. Read the full post to see the answers you can use.

This blog post is written for newer real estate agents, but a good reminder of what many other people think. For example, when I say I am a real estate appraiser, many people ask if I have any listings. They think I am an agent and don’t know what appraisers do. Unfortunately, that is the main reason appraisers have difficulty when trying to communicate appraisal issues. Few listened to appraisers speaking out about fraud before the 2008 crash. What did we residential lender appraisers get to “fix” the problem? AMCs.

I don’t know why the appraisal associations have never done much to let people know about what appraisers do.

Read more!!

AI and Appraisers

Newz: AI Limits, VA News, New UAD,
Hurricane Risks

October, 11 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • Intended Use and User (LIA Ad)
  • The Limits of AI: When the intelligence is artificial, common sense is a superpower
  • Vila Siena In Bel-Air CA Is The Most Insane Mega-Mansion EVER at $177,000,000
  • The New UAD: Opportunity, Confusion or Threat?
  • What’s New at the VA? A Q&A With Its Chief Appraiser
  • Effects of Hurricane Helene
  • Is Anywhere Safe From Hurricanes? The 10 States With the Lowest Risk of Damage
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  • Appraisal Business Tips 

 


The Limits of AI: When the intelligence is artificial, common sense is a superpower

By John Russell

Excerpts: At some point, all of us will integrate AI tools into our business practices. Whether it automates mundane and repetitive tasks, generates narrative text, or assists with analyses, the power of AI to save time is real.

The good news for valuation professionals is they have lots of experience spotting data points that don’t jibe with what they know. Another way to say this is that they have common sense. It’s a basic requirement for doing the work. Of course this 3-story overbuilt McMansion is probably not a comparable for a Cape Cod two miles away. That sale was under atypical conditions and, at minimum, needs adjustments to even be considered. You get the idea.

Do I trust what the AI is telling me?

Accepting AI outputs without any skepticism is a recipe for disaster. Approach AI like a detective interviewing witnesses: trust, but verify. Basic internet searches can quickly fact-check results — or raise enough red flags that you reject what is being offered. No state board will accept the argument, “But ChatGPT said,” and neither should you….

Should I be using AI for this task?

Just because you can doesn’t mean you should — commit this phrase to memory. You will have to own everything in your report, and if too much of the product is driven by AI tools, you may be asked: “Well, what exactly did you do here?”…

Common sense is a superpower that can protect you from dire consequences as you experiment with AI. It’s tempting to be spellbound by new AI tools that seem miraculous — and to let down your guard of common sense. Instead, I recommend a heightened sense of caution: The tools are only as good as the people who craft them and the inputs provided by the users. AI hallucinations are still unpredictable, inevitable failure points, which means any “facts” and analyses it supplies should always be verified — it’s just common sense

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Good, practical analysis of AI for appraisers.


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Appraisal Value Vs. Sale Price

AI and Appraisal Success, Cindy Chance Terminated (Appraisal Institute CEO)

September 20, 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • Using Trainees, the Safe Way
  • Appraised Value Vs. Sale Price
  • Converted $500K Minnesota Bank With Historic Vaults and Bulletproof Glass
  • How AI Tech is Reshaping Appraisal Success
  • From Panic to Profit: One Appraiser’s Story of Survival and Growth
  • Cindy Chance Terminated (Appraisal Institute CEO)
  • Mortgage applications increased 14.2 percent from one week earlier

Appraised Value Vs. Sale Price

Excerpts: Property sellers often ask professionals who are performing appraisals for mortgage lending, “Why is an appraisal even needed? The buyer and I have already agreed on a sale price.” However, when it comes to appraised value vs. sale price, they are not the same thing.

What is Value?

Value is defined in the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP) as:

“The monetary relationship between properties and those who buy, sell, or use those properties, expressed as an opinion of the worth of a property at a given time.

Comment: In appraisal practice, value will always be qualified—for example, market value, liquidation value, or investment value.”

What is Sale Price?

Unlike value, price is not an opinion. It is a fact. Price is defined in USPAP as:

“The amount asked, offered, or paid for a property.

Comment: Once stated, price is a fact, whether it is publicly disclosed or retained in private. Because of the financial capabilities, motivations, or special interests of a given buyer or seller, the price paid for a property may or may not have any relation to the value that might be ascribed to the property by others.”

What’s the Difference Between Sale Price and Appraised Value?…

If a property is under contract for purchase at $450,000 and an appraiser provides a market value appraisal of $425,000 for the property, the $450,000 sale price is a fact, while the $425,000 appraised value is the appraiser’s opinion. The $450,000 price is what the property is actually selling for. The $425,000 market value opinion is what the property should sell for, under the specific conditions of the definition of market value.

The Appraiser’s Role

Properties don’t always sell for what they should. Depending on many factors, including the motivations and negotiating skills of the parties involved, a property might sell for more than its value, less than its value, or right at its value.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Short and worth reading. Good analysis – for newer and more experienced appraisers.

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Appraisal Business Tips 

Humor for Appraisers

Click here to subscribe to our FREE weekly appraiser email newsletter and get the latest appraisal news!!

Read more!!