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AI Appraisals: Embracing the Future Appraisal

By Jim Amorin

Excerpts:

Image Recognition

AI can analyze property images to identify features and property conditions, and even estimate dimensions with remarkable accuracy. This technology accelerates the inspection process, allowing appraisers to focus their expertise on more nuanced aspects of the valuation where their experience and judgement are most critical.

While some may worry about image recognition taking away from the appraisers’ skills, it is more useful to see it as a supplement to your own eyes. The visioning capabilities (image recognition) of AI can reinforce your own observations. Using the generative capabilities of a large language model such as ChatGPT coupled with the visioning tools, some of the narrative description of the property can be streamlined for the appraiser.

Enhanced Reports

Another appraiser leveraged AI tools to generate detailed market analysis reports. These reports included data visualizations and trend analysis that provided clients with a deeper understanding of the market, ultimately enhancing the appraiser’s service quality and client satisfaction.

Summary

AI is not a threat to appraisers but a powerful ally. By leveraging AI’s capabilities, appraisers can enhance their efficiency, accuracy, and overall service quality. The unique judgment, expertise, and contextual understanding that appraisers bring to their work are irreplaceable. Embracing AI as a tool will ensure that appraisers continue to play a vital role in the real estate industry, delivering unparalleled value to clients and shaping the future of real estate appraising.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Amorin’s new book is very well written and understandable. Craig Gilbert wrote an extensive review of the book “The Generative Shift: A Thorough Examination of AI” and interviewed Amorin, in the July, 2024 issue of Appraisal Today.

I have not used AI for my appraisals but follow its use in other applications, such as medical. For example, I have had many mammograms over the years. A recent study found that an artificial intelligence system has an accuracy rate of about 90 percent, compared to an overall average of 80 percent by radiologists. “Notably, when radiologists used this tool as a second reader, their performance improved,” says Dr. Moy. “So we want to reach that sweet spot where we use both.”

A friend had dense breasts. Her mammograms never detected the small tumors scattered through both breasts before her breast removal surgery, where they found them. Bad News

What to Do When Your Appraisal Is Under Review(Opens in a new browser tab)

Appraisal Reviews – Who and What

By Ann O'Rourke on August 23, 2024 / appraisal, appraisal reviews, real estate market / Leave a comment

Tags: bias, real estate market

August 23, 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (in Order, Scroll Down)

Construction Progress Reports: ADUs & Remodels
What Is an Appraisal Review and Who Can Be a Reviewer?
Billionaire Getty Heir Puts Extraordinary Greek Temple (Temple of Wings) on the Market for $5 Million
Redfin Reports Investor Home Purchases Post Biggest Increase in Two Years
The Biggest Home in Each State
Objectionable Valuations Become Hate Speech, Inflating Home Prices
Mortgage applications decreased 10.1 percent from one week earlier

Appraisal Reviews – The Good and The Bad(Opens in a new browser tab)

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What Is an Appraisal Review and Who Can Be a Reviewer?

Excerpts:

Topics:

What is an appraisal review?
Fact-checking vs appraisal review
Types of appraisal review reports
Why are appraisal reviews needed?
Who requests a property appraisal review?
Who can review a property appraisal?

The client base for appraisal reviews is vast and diverse, encompassing a wide range of sectors and needs.

Lenders rely on reviews to ensure the accuracy and reliability of appraisals before making lending decisions.
Investors use them to evaluate the value and risk of potential investments.
Attorneys order reviews to support legal matters involving property valuation, including disputes and condemnation cases.
Insurance companies use them for verifying property values in underwriting and claims.
Government agencies may request reviews for regulatory purposes, tax purposes, or right-of-way acquisitions.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Comprehensive info on reviews. Short and well written. The best I have read, whether you are a reviewer or an appraiser being reviewed. Reviewing is an excellent option for fee appraisers and staff appraisers.

Personally, I quit doing lender reviews many years ago. I preferred to do the appraisal rather than reviewing an appraisal where I have to also appraise the property. Back in the “old days” I reviewed competent local appraisers I knew.

The final blow later for me was a 4 unit property where the appraiser appraised it as a home. There were 4 electrical meters and lots of cars. When I called my client, they just wanted to know if the value was the same as a house or 4 units. I did not reply. It was my last review for lending purposes. I verified with the city that it was a 4 unit property. There was no information that it had been converted to a single family home. Mortgage rates and requirements are lower for SFRs.

On the other side, many appraisers who do lender reviews say they learned a lot about how appraisers appraise.

How to Identify a Single-Family with ADU vs. Two-Family Property 9-29-23-

SFR or 2 units with an ADU?

By Ann O'Rourke on August 2, 2024 / ADUs, appraisal, AVMS, liability / Leave a comment

Tags: appraisal, AVM, liability

What’s in This Newsletter (in Order, Scroll Down) August 2, 2024

Avoiding Court: A Common Sentiment Among Appraisers
When Is Single-Family a Multi-Family Appraisal?
What Is a Superhome? 10 Must-See Mansions That Define the High-End Trend
Accurate Appraisal Underreporting
How Confidential is Your Appraisal?
Agencies Issue Final Rule to Help Ensure Credibility and Integrity of Automated Valuation Models
Mortgage applications decreased 3.9 percent from one week earlier

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When Is Single-Family a Multi-Family Appraisal?
SFR or 2 units with an ADU?

by Richard Hagar, SRA

Excerpts: Once upon a time, it was easy to classify single-family homes, duplexes, triplexes and multi-family buildings. Though there have always been exceptions, if a property was zoned single-family residential (SFR) and there was a single home on the site, you’d use a 1004 form for bank appraisals.

If a property was zoned multi-family and there were two to four units on the site, an appraiser would use the 1025 form. And, if there were five or more units on the site, it would be something a commercial appraiser would handle via a narrative format.

Ah, the good old days. Then, along came accessory dwelling units (ADU), which in some states and cities are messing with established appraisal and lending systems.

Things Get Twisted – ADUs

Many counties and cities that allow ADUs do not “change” the official zoning; SFR 5000 still means one single-family home per 5,000-square-foot lot (and allow an ADU). What a few politically and emotionally driven cities have done is bypass the normal requirements for changing zoning (public hearings, notifications, etc.) and passed laws that overlay additional uses and requirements on to existing zoning codes. It’s their “clever” way of changing things without following the historic path to … well, changing things without informed consent by the citizens.

So, here we are: appraisers looking at zoning codes trying to determine the highest and best use for the subject’s site (as if vacant) and the structure as improved. We see SF7500 and say, “great, single family.” But did you look to see if there are overlay additions to the code? If so, did you read them? Did you look at regulations related to accessory dwelling units? If you didn’t, you’d better start looking because these things are popping up in numerous counties and cities across the United States, and they have a massive impact on unit density, the highest and best use, land values and depreciation rates.

Conflict With Lending

The Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) will buy a loan where the single-family home has a single ADU. Look at the below form (Figure 1) and note the two options: Units “One” and “One with Accessory Unit.” There is no space on the 1004 form to identify a second ADU.

Now we have a conflict between cities allowing two or more ADUs and the lending world of FNMA, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp. (FHLMC), the VA and FHA. These entities will not buy loans with two or more ADUs. And when FNMA won’t buy (or VA and FHA insure) a loan from a lender it results in fewer lenders offering loans, higher interest rates and possibly larger down payments. In a city’s zeal to lower the cost of housing, they’ve increased the cost of housing.

Required Information

When you run across properties with ADUs, all sorts of additional information is required in the appraisal. ANSI requires the square footage to be separately indicated. Fannie Mae needs additional information specific to the ADU, and just wait until you see FNMA’s new appraisal “form,” along with its 20-plus new information fields in the special ADU section. If you want an example of how we provide square-footage information, email me (See author bio) and I’ll provide you with a copy of the form we use.

The appraisal will also require fully supported adjustments, explanations on how you determined the adjustments, and the ADUs impact on value measured by the cost, income and sales comparison approaches.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Read this detailed article if you appraise any properties with ADUs. It is a comprehensive analysis of all the new issues. Richard Hagar is one of my favorite appraisal instructors.

Value of a Pool

By Ann O'Rourke on July 5, 2024 / adjustments, appraisal, appraisal business, appraisal how to, forecast, real estate market, zillow / Leave a comment

Tags: adjustments, appraisal business, appraisal how to, forecast, real estate market

What is a pool worth? It depends.

By Ryan Lundquist June 26, 2024

Excerpts: With and Without Pools (Big Difference)

There’s a huge difference in the stats when we compare homes with and without pools. The properties with pools are larger in square footage and lot size, higher in price, and they’ve taken slightly less time to sell too.

In short, the higher the price, the greater chance there is a pool. This likely has to do with the cost of building a pool, cost of maintaining a pool, and even larger parcels at higher ranges – not to mention buyers at higher price points expecting a pool more often.

The rhythm of pool sales basically follows the pattern we see in the entire market. More sales as the year unfolds, and they typically peak around June. Some smaller areas could be slightly different.

Seriously though, What is a pool worth?

It depends. Different price points and locations come with different expectations. There isn’t a one-size-fits-all answer for the value of a pool. In other words, we can’t just apply one figure to a property because that number isn’t going to make sense everywhere. This is where we have to study the comps. With that said, my observation is pool adjustments have generally gone up since the pandemic as buyers are more in tune with the importance of a backyard. Have you seen that also?

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Check out Ryan’s tables to see his data analysis, which is not difficult to set up.

When I first started appraising in suburban Bay Area cities in the mid-1980s, homes with pools sold for more in some neighborhoods with higher-priced homes. MLS always said a pool was there, which is a good way to check it out. At that time, MLS data analysis was much more limited than it is today. I saw this in a particular neighborhood with very hot summers. This is still the same now.

In contrast, where I live, about 15 miles west, on an island on San Francisco Bay, pools have never been a plus or a minus. Weather is “Mediterranean” weather without hot summers. Often sellers said they would remove the pool, but the buyers never requested it.

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Appraisers Riding the Waves of Up and Down Mortgage Rates

What is a Complex Residential Property?

By Ann O'Rourke on June 21, 2024 / AMCs, appraisal, Appraisal fees, liability / Leave a comment

Tags: AMC, appraisal, real estate market

How to Identify a Complex Residential Property

By Dan Bradley

Excerpts: A complex one-to-four family residential property is defined as a property that meets at least one of the following criteria:

The property to be appraised is atypical
The form of ownership is atypical
The market conditions are atypical

Some of the key physical features that can make an appraisal assignment complex include:

Size (significantly larger or smaller than typical for market)
Floor plan (there may be functional obsolescence)
Unique custom features
Quality of workmanship or construction (higher or lower than the norm)
Architectural design
Adequacy of HVAC, electrical systems, well and/or septic
Additional living unit(s)
Non-conforming zoning
Mixed-use property (for example, it is used as both a business and residence)
Waterfront properties

Keep in mind that what is considered a complex residential property in one market might not be considered complex in another market. For example:

A mansion in Beverly Hills is not atypical; a mansion located somewhere in rural America might be
A log cabin in the mountains of Virginia is common; a beach-front log cabin in VA, not so much
Manufactured or mobile homes with additions are common in rural areas, but generally not in cities

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Read this short article and keep it available. Very good lists of the factors.

Why do you want to know about this topic? Business is slow now, which is a good time to try appraising unusual homes. But, a fast turn time is not a good idea unless you are very familiar with the subject’s complexities. Do you have another appraiser who can help you? Don’t risk your appraisal license by getting in “over your head”. I get regular calls from appraisers who said “yes” but did not have anyone to advise them.

Very few appraisers, if any, would have experience on all these types of properties. For example, I have appraised many life estates, but no homes with a leasehold (ground lease) in a market area where such interests are uncommon. I have only appraised homes where the subject and all the nearby homes are leaseholds. I get advice for appraising it.

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CubiCasa – Home Measurement From Inside A House

Appraising Luxury Homes

By Ann O'Rourke on March 1, 2024 / appraisal, appraisal business, bias, real estate market / Leave a comment

Tags: appraisal business, bias, real estate market

What Are the Top Luxury Markets in North America Right Now?

Excerpts: Where are the hottest high-end real estate markets? Whether you’re looking to specialize in luxury home appraisals or you’re simply reading up on the latest market trends, you may want to pay attention to areas where luxury homes are in high demand.

According to the Institute for Luxury Home Marketing’s February 2024 report¹, the single-family luxury home segment is showing promising signs of growth. Both inventory levels and new listings increased significantly in recent months, leading to an 18 percent increase in sales and a 1.6 percent increase in the median sold price. Even more telling, contract signings for homes priced at $1 million or more have increased by 11 percent over last year, and demand remains high among affluent buyers.

Top list of luxury home markets in 2024. You may be surprised!

To read more, Click Here

My comments: In this newsletter, I always know what are hot topics. Constant Contact gives me the number of clicks. Most popular is usually Claudia’s advice at the top of every email. Also popular are large luxury homes with a photo.

I have been thinking for a while about including appraising luxury homes, since my subscribers like to read about them. Maybe a possible specialization? There were not many where I worked, so I did not specialized in them But, I see my area, East Bay California is listed now! The median home price in the Bay Area is around $1,300,000.

Check out the list of areas in the article to see if any are close to you.

Lenders have always had special, very small lists of appraisers who can appraise these homes. I assume the AMCs have these types of lists. Some may not have them. You definitely must get a higher fee for them.

I know several appraisers who have been doing them in my area for a long time. To do them, it is best to work in an area with many luxury homes. You need to network with the brokers that sell them.

The post above is also a promo for McKissock’s Certified Luxury Home Appraiser Program. 14 hours of CE for $650. I have not taken it, but I don’t know of many other types of diversification with a certificate. Might be interesting even if you don’t know if you want to do them.

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How to Find Comps With Few Sales

By Ann O'Rourke on February 23, 2024 / appraisal, bias, Fannie / Leave a comment

Tags: appraisal, bias, Fannie

The challenge of pulling comps in 2024

By Ryan Lundquist

February 14, 2024

Excerpts: Pulling comps in 2024 is tough. Think about it this way. If we have 40% fewer sales happening, that means there are 40% fewer comps. Yikes. Let’s talk about this. I also have some market recap visuals to unpack what’s been happening in 2024 so far.

GO BACK FURTHER IN TIME:

One of the things I’m doing more often today is looking at older comps in the immediate neighborhood. I find myself scouring 2021 onward especially. The truth is there are portions of 2021 and 2022 where prices are exactly the same as today too, so if I use an older comp, I don’t always need to adjust for the way the market has changed. But backing up, I can look at older stuff for the sake of research, but this doesn’t mean I’ll use a super old comp in a report. In short, it’s not enough today to go back 90-180 days because there just aren’t enough data points in so many cases…

WATCH THE MEDIAN TREND

The median price for the region doesn’t translate rigidly to neighborhoods, so be careful about saying stuff like, “The median is up 3% this year, so neighborhood prices are up 3%.” Maybe. Maybe not. Look to the comps most of all. In my experience, some people get really upset when I share median trends because the sentiment is the median isn’t a perfect metric (true)…

EXPAND TO OTHER NEIGHBORHOODS:

Looking up other nearby neighborhoods is something I’ve done much more of lately since sales volume has plummeted. The ideal is to compare areas with similar prices, but even if the price point is a bit different, it can be valuable to see what is happening in a different nearby neighborhood. I may or may not use comps from a different neighborhood. I’m just trying to understand what the market is doing…

To read more and see the graphs with excellent illustrations, Click Here

My comments: Very good tips from Ryan. Market conditions is the easiest adjustment to make. This is my first choice for any unusual homes without current data in any market. I quit making dollar adjustments on form appraisals many years ago, but I always do market conditions adjustments when needed. I appraise a lot of 2-4 units and regularly go to other neighborhoods for comps.

I have been doing this for many years. I do a lot of estate appraisals, which are not current value.

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The UAD and Appraisers – Past, Present, and Future

2024 Updated UAD and URAR – What does It Mean for You?

By Ann O'Rourke on February 2, 2024 / appraisal, Economic analysis, forecast, real estate market / Leave a comment

Tags: appraisal, forecast, real estate market

2024 Updated UAD and URAR – What does It Mean for You?
The Appraisal World Is Changing

January 25, 2024

Excerpts: There has been a lot of talk about the Uniform Appraisal Dataset (UAD) and Uniform Residential Appraisal Report (URAR) redesign initiative, and how it will make life easier for appraisers. What exactly does this mean? In this post, we’re providing an overview of the UAD and URAR, what’s changing, and what benefits these changes will bring.

How will these UAD and URAR changes be beneficial?

A redesigned, dynamic URAR will replace the numerous and separate appraisal forms and can be used for different property types, such as two-to-four units, condominiums, and manufactured homes, and for different scopes of work, such as interior and exterior inspections, updates, and completion assignments.

The new URAR will be better organized and populated based on the property type and characteristics.

The standardized data in the new UAD will allow appraisers to better define the property (outbuildings, additional units, site influences, energy efficient and green features, etc.).

Concerns that require attention will be easily identified in each section of the report instead of being buried in an addendum.

Photographs will be included in relevant sections to make descriptions easier for appraisers and enhance reader understanding.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: A brief summary of the coming changes. See below for more timeline information.

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Freddie – Updated UAD and Forms Redesign Timeline

The Uniform Appraisal Dataset (UAD) and Forms Redesign team has released an updated timeline. The overall timeline has not changed; however, we wanted to provide the industry with more milestone details to help in development, testing and training to prepare for the new UAD and Uniform Residential Appraisal Report (URAR).

To see the timeline (from 2018 to 2026) PDF, Click Here

Too large to include in this newsletter.

To go to the Freddie UAD page (mostly technical) Click Here

To go to the Fannie UAD page, Click Here

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A few comments from Dave Towne:

My concern at this point is ‘training’ materials will be available in Q4 2024, but actual implementation of the ‘new reporting process’ won’t begin until Q3 2025 with limited production, into 2026.

As someone who’s potentially interested in ‘training’ appraisers on the new process, it seems to me that providing training in Q2 2025 would be more appropriate than 6 months before. But we’ll have to see how things progress as this time-line gets more firmed up.

To read the recent appraisersblogs.com post with new comments from Dave plus other appraiser comments, Click Here

My comments: No date changes, but more information on the timeline. Maybe there will be some appraisers left to do full appraisals…

5-24-18 Newz//UAD and Fannie Form Changes. Floating Island. Refis dropping

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New 2024 USPAP Q&As

By Ann O'Rourke on January 26, 2024 / appraisal, forecast, future, Mortgage applications, mortgage loan volume / Leave a comment

Tags: appraisal, forecast, future, mortgage loan volume

New USPAP Q&As

January 16, 2024, the Appraisal Standards Board released new Questions and Answers covering important topics in the profession today including:

Demographics

Does demographic information relating to race (such as Census data) constitute “information relating to” a protected characteristic?

Artificial Intelligence

Question:

What is an appraiser’s USPAP obligations when using artificial intelligence (AI) in an appraisal assignment?

Personal Inspection

I recently completed an appraisal on a residential dwelling for Lender A that sells loans to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the report was completed on a GSE form. Lender A decided not to grant the loan and the borrower then engaged Lender B to obtain financing. Lender B engaged me to perform a new appraisal assignment on the same property. Lender B indicated there wasno need for me to re-inspect the home, since my previous inspection date was only a few days earlier.

To read these new Q&As Click Here.

My comments: AI and demographics are “hot topics” now. I am glad the ASB is explaining them.

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2024 USPAP For Appraisers

USPAP Myths for Appraisers

By Ann O'Rourke on January 5, 2024 / appraisal, appraisal business, bias, humor / Leave a comment

Tags: appraisal business, bias, humor

Five USPAP Myths Dispelled in 2024 USPAP

By Daniel A. Bradley, SRA, CDEI, McKissock Learning

On May 5, 2023, the Appraisal Standards Board (ASB) voted to adopt changes to the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP), which will become effective January 1, 2024. These represent the first changes to USPAP in four years. Many of the changes will not have a significant impact on the way appraisers practice but are nevertheless important for public trust.

Appraisers and the public have traditionally held several misconceptions about USPAP, and these changes should help to dispel some of those myths. There are five myths and misconceptions that are addressed in the changes to the 2024 USPAP.

Myth 1: USPAP Allows Discrimination as Long as the Appraiser’s Conclusions are Supported

Myth 2: The Removal of the Definition of Misleading from USPAP Reduces Liability for Appraisers

Myth 3: An Inspection of the Subject Property by a Third Party is the Equivalent of a Personal Inspection by an Appraiser

Myth 4: Appraisers are not Required to Analyze Prior Non-Sale Transfers of the Subject Property

Myth 5: The USPAP Update Course Cycle is the Same as the USPAP Publication Cycle

To read more, Click Here

My comments: It’s worth reading, especially if you do residential lender appraisals. Lender issues are a significant factor in USPAP and Myths 1 to 4. I suppose it is because most appraisals are done (now) for residential lending purposes. Many thanks to Dan Bradley for writing about the 2024 USPAP changes.

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