Appraisal Time Adjustments

Newz: Time Adjustments, Fannie Condo “Blacklist”, Future of GSEs?

March 28, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: Navigating Value Revisions
  • On Time Adjustments By Timothy Andersen, MAI
  • 19.5 Million Arizona Airpark Mansion Boasts Private Jet Hangar, Indoor Shooting Range, and 11 Bathrooms — but Only 3 Bedrooms
  • Pulte has no plans to lower conforming loan limits for Fannie and Freddie
  • Fannie Mae’s Condo “Blacklist”
  • FHA rescinds mortgage appraisal policies aimed at countering bias (update on last week’s newsletter topic)
  • Fannie, Freddie face uncertain futures, potential jobs cuts
  • Mortgage applications decreased 2.0 percent from one week earlier

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On Time Adjustments

Timothy Andersen, MAI, MSc., CDEI, MNAA

Excerpts: Typically, this time starts when the comparable goes under contract, then ends on the effective date of the appraisal. If the market has measurably changed over that period, that change means the appraiser should market-adjust the comps up- or downward, as the market demands¹.

This analysis reveals yet another dilemma. For example, to conclude prices went up twelve per cent (12%) per year is a simple average increase of one percent per month, or a daily factor of (0.12 ÷ 365 =) 0.000329. This simplistic analysis means that for a sale that went under contract at $400,000 42-days ago, the increase factor would be $400,000 X 0.000329, or an increase of $131.51 times 42-days or $5,523. This rationale is mathematically correct.

But our training must govern here and force us to ask the question, “Does this adjustment protocol reflect current market verities?” If not, then following this protocol is, in effect, to guess at a time adjustment. To guess at the time adjustment is to fail to reflect market trends truly and correctly. To fail to reflect them truly and correctly in the final value opinion is to mislead the client. See the dilemma?

Does USPAP² offer any advice on this issue? No. USPAP does not even use the word adjustment (or any of its derivatives) until AO-13.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Good analysis of the current time adjustment issues. Using only an annual increase (Like most of us were trained to do) is not very accurate. Tim writes, teaches USPAP and advises appraisers on how to do better reports. He is a USPAP Expert. Tim is a regular contributor to the monthly Appraisal Today.

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Appraisal WaIvers Can Be Risky

Newz: Waiver Risks, Appraisal Alleged Bias, FHA Rescinds Multiple Appraisal Related Policies

March 21, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad: Appraisal Used in Divorce Case — Now What?
  • The Hidden Risks of Appraisal Waivers: What Homebuyers and Homeowners Need to Know
  • Palm Desert California Home With Its Own Shark Tank Hits the Market for $59 Million
  • Relocation Appraisals: The Power of Market Analysis
  • NFHA (National Fair Housing Alliance) Rescinds Multiple Appraisal Related Policies Funding Dries Up. Appraiser lawsuit.
  • Fannie, Freddie board shakeups bring conservatorship exit closer to reality
  • FHA Rescinds Multiple Appraisal Related Policies
  • Federal Reserve leaves rates unchanged. Two rate cuts may be coming this year.
  • MBA – Mortgage applications decreased 6.2 percent from one week earlier

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The Hidden Risks of Appraisal Waivers: What Homebuyers and Homeowners Need to Know

March 4, 2025 By Tom Horn

Excerpts: Imagine this: You’re buying a home, and your lender offers you an appraisal waiver. You’re told this will save time, reduce hassle, and even cut costs. It sounds like a great deal, right? But what if I told you that skipping the appraisal could lead to overpaying for your home, financial headaches down the road, and even market distortions that could affect entire neighborhoods?

6 Reason You May Not Want an Appraisal Waiver

1. You Might Overpay for the Property

2. Refinancing or Selling Could Become a Problem. Even if overpaying doesn’t seem like a big deal at the time of purchase, it can come back to haunt you when it’s time to refinance or sell.

3. Hidden Property Condition Issues Could Go Undetected

4. Appraisal Waivers Contribute to “Data Cancer” in the Housing Market. What is Data Cancer? “Data cancer” is a term used to describe the gradual corruption of real estate valuation data due to repeated reliance on flawed or incomplete information.

5. You Lose a Key Protection Against Market Volatility. A professional appraisal acts as a check and balance in the homebuying process. Without it, buyers are left vulnerable to shifting market conditions.

6. 6. Lenders Benefit More Than You Do. Appraisal waivers aren’t offered to help buyers—they’re offered to help lenders.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Worth reading. The first article I have seen showing why appraisal waivers can be bad for borrowers. Appraisal waivers are increasing. Per the GSEs they save borrowers money on appraisal fees.

When the new URAR is required starting in late 2026, waivers will have much more data from appraisals to allow waiver use increase by the GSEs

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Highest and Best Use and Appraisals

Newz: HUD Layoffs – Including FHA, GSE Selling Guide Updates

February 21, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA Ad: Should I Complete this Assignment?

  • Highest and Best Use: A Superpower You Already Possess By Byron Miller, SRA

  • High Octane’ Desert Ranch That Boasts Airplane Hangars, Racetracks, and Custom Dune Buggies Hits the Market in California for $15 Million

  • Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s New Selling Guide Updates: What Appraisers Need to Know. What Data Sources Appraisers Are Using.

  • Massive FHA cuts would create dysfunction for mortgage industry, homeowners: ex-official

  • Builder Confidence Falls to the Lowest Levels Since May 2024

  • Mortgage applications decreased 6.6 percent from one week earlier

Zoning in the Appraisal Process

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Highest and Best Use: A Superpower You Already Possess

By Byron Miller, SRA

Excerpts: Like the Incredible Hulk, my superpower didn’t show itself until stressed. That stress came in January 2020, when Minneapolis became the first major U.S. city to eliminate single-family residential (SFR) zoning, allowing one-to-three units to be built on what were previously (SFR) parcels. Suddenly, there was a lot of confusion in the appraisal community about when and how to perform the highest & best use (H&BU) analysis for the new zoning classification.

As chapter president of the North Star Chapter of the Appraisal Institute, I fielded a flood of questions from residential appraisers to state regulators. One thing I quickly realized was that many of the residential appraisers I spoke with didn’t know the four tests of H&BU analysis.

Let’s revisit the basics: In an H&BU analysis, real estate appraisers determine the most probable use of a property by applying four tests: whether the use is legally permissible, physically possible, financially feasible, and maximally productive. Order doesn’t matter for the first two tests, but it’s essential for the last two. Moreover, appraisers must conduct each of the four tests on the real property as if vacant, and as improved.

Applying each of these tests properly is essential to the valuation process. In many litigation situations where appraiser’s values are far apart, it’s due to H&BU analysis differences.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Worth reading. The author is a residential appraiser. H&BU is one of my favorite topics! I have done many commercial properties for lenders and non-lenders where H&BU was not the current use. I appraised them at their H&BU.

If you only do residential properties H&BU issues is much less an issue, so you don’t do the H&BU analysis very often. Unfortunately, many of the res appraisers who call me did not think about the relevant H&BU. This article is an excellent reminder. You can get into Big Trouble with H&BU if you don’t know when it is important.

The article has a section titled: Practical H&BU Analysis of the 4 factors with an excellent case study. Interesting appraiser comment worth reading.

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Appraising Unique Homes

Newz: GSE Privatization, 2025 Forecasts, Unique Homes

January 10, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

My comments on topics: This newsletter is long. Almost all the news items I have received are 2025 Forecasts, so I have included some of them in this newsletter.

    • LIA: Disclosing Identity of Complaining Party
    • Why Selling a Unique Home Is Challenging — and Can Leave Some Owners Feeling ‘Stiffed
    • 2025 Housing Market Predictions: Key Insights for Real Estate Appraisers The National View
    • Real estate trends to watch in 2025 – The Local View
    • Appraisal Industry Outlook Under Trump Administration
    • Will Homeowners Finally Sell in 2025? Here’s What the Experts Say, Amid a Glimmer of Hope
    • GSE Privatization A ‘Herculean Task’
    • Mortgage applications decreased 3.7 percent from one week earlier

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Why Selling a Unique Home Is Challenging — and Can Leave Some Owners Feeling ‘Stiffed’

Excerpts: When Ann Levengood decided to let go of her beloved double-dome home two hours outside of Seattle, she thought she did everything a seller needed to do to get a good price.

“We built a new garage and completely did the heavy work with a $50,000 new roof, new drainage, new retaining walls, landscaping (including removal of alder trees), interior was completely redone, new lighting, new skylights, you name it. We had zero tasks upon inspection,” she tells Realtor.com®

“The inspector had never seen such a clean house.” But when it came time to price the Poulsbo property, Levengood and her agent didn’t see eye to eye. While the proud owner wanted to price the house at $425,000, the cautious agent listed it at $339,000.

The problem? The house, with its double domes, was unusual.

Even so, the home took only two months to close a sale at full price, leaving Levengood with the lingering feeling that she had been stiffed. “I couldn’t even get agents to come out and see it,” she says.

Not only can it be more difficult to find the proper buyer for such a home, but it is also challenging to find comps.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Worth reading the article. All appraisers appraise unique homes, which are often very challenging, especially for comps and market analysis. This article helps appraisers understand the difficulties in selling unique homes. I have never read about this important topic.

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Construction Code Violations and Expertise Appraisals

Newz: Appraiser Humor, Mortgage Rate Changes, New GSE Time Analysis

January 3, 2025

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA – Code Violations and Expertise
  • Mortgage Rate History Since 1971 What about 2025?
  • Hurricane-Proof $600K Dome Home on Florida’s Space Coast
  • Lyle Radke of Fannie Mae with George Dell, SRA, MAI, ASA, CRE to discuss upcoming changes by the GSEs on Time Analysis
  • Backers of most U.S. mortgages (GSEs) have done little about climate risks
  • Top Ten Reasons Why It Is Great to be an Appraiser – Humor
  • Mortgage applications decreased 21.9 percent from two weeks earlier

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Mortgage Rate History Since 1971 What about 2025?

Excerpts: For many homebuyers, the last few years have felt like a perfect storm of challenges—soaring home prices and climbing mortgage rates colliding to limit affordability. It’s left many wondering if 2025 will finally calm the waters. Will rates dip low enough to bring some relief, or is another wave of increases on the horizon? While there’s no magic compass to navigate these market shifts, a look back at mortgage rate history can offer clues—and maybe even some hope for those waiting to make their move.

Despite the Federal Reserve’s 25-basis-point rate cut in November, mortgage rates have remained in the high 6% range, offering limited relief to borrowers. However, optimism persists in the market as many believe rates could continue to ease in the months ahead, potentially sparking renewed interest among buyers and homeowners.

While the history of mortgage rates provides valuable context, it’s important to recognize that average mortgage rates are just a benchmark. Borrowers with healthy credit profiles and strong finances often get mortgage rates well below the industry norm.

Current rates are more than double their all-time low of 2.65% (reached in January 2021). But if we take a step back and look at the history of mortgage rates, they’re still close to the historic average since 1971 of 7.73%

To read more and see the graphs and many links to more info, Click Here

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Market Trends and Market Conditions Adjustments Appraisals

Newz: GSE New Market Conditions Policy, State Board Complaints, Waivers

December 6, 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA ad – Navigating Value Revisions in Appraisals
  • Market Trends and Market Conditions Adjustments.
  • A Ferrari Inspired Masterpiece With 20K square Feet of Luxury Resort Amenities Listed at 55 Million in Delray Beach FL
  • November 2024 Real Estate Market Update By Kevin Hecht
  • 5 Tips to Handle Appraisal Board Complaints
  • Correcting the Record: Accurate Group’s Commitment to Compliance and Industry Excellence
  • FHFA’s Massive Expansion of Appraisal Waivers: What It Really Means
  • Mortgage applications increased 2.8 percent from one week earlier

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Market Trends and Market Conditions Adjustments

Working through the new Market Conditions policy and advisory from Fannie Mae

By Ken Dicks

Excerpts: Did Fannie Mae just throw a wrench into how residential appraisal reports for mortgage transactions are completed with their recent announcement on Market Conditions?

As an appraiser, it is highly likely at some point you will see the following or a similar request soon after your appraisal is submitted to your client, or even months after your appraisal is accepted by your client: Please provide support for your market conditions adjustment conclusions.

Appraisal Quality Control and Appraisal Quality Assurance create a revision request minefield filled with Lender and Investor tailored appraisal reporting requirements and preferences. Review of the appraisal reports is required by the lender or whoever the lender chooses to delegate this requirement to (i.e. Appraisal Desk, AMC, etc.).

As a practicing appraiser, the announcement and accompanying exhibit prompted a series of questions in my mind.

  • Does Fannie Mae want to see this specific graph in all appraisals?
  • What does USPAP say?
  • What level of data and analysis does an appraiser need to present when providing support for market conditions adjustments?

The following is where I have arrived at developing answers:…

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Worth reading the full article, plus the appraiser comments.

I am so glad I have not done any GSE appraisals since 2008! I don’t care what the GSEs say. I comply with USPAP. Of course, I always make market adjustments on my residential appraisals or explain why no adjustments was needed. It is the only dollar adjustment I make on non-lender forms unless the subject has an unusual feature requiring research and analysis.

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AI and Appraisers

Newz: AI Limits, VA News, New UAD,
Hurricane Risks

October, 11 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • Intended Use and User (LIA Ad)
  • The Limits of AI: When the intelligence is artificial, common sense is a superpower
  • Vila Siena In Bel-Air CA Is The Most Insane Mega-Mansion EVER at $177,000,000
  • The New UAD: Opportunity, Confusion or Threat?
  • What’s New at the VA? A Q&A With Its Chief Appraiser
  • Effects of Hurricane Helene
  • Is Anywhere Safe From Hurricanes? The 10 States With the Lowest Risk of Damage
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  • Appraisal Business Tips 

 


The Limits of AI: When the intelligence is artificial, common sense is a superpower

By John Russell

Excerpts: At some point, all of us will integrate AI tools into our business practices. Whether it automates mundane and repetitive tasks, generates narrative text, or assists with analyses, the power of AI to save time is real.

The good news for valuation professionals is they have lots of experience spotting data points that don’t jibe with what they know. Another way to say this is that they have common sense. It’s a basic requirement for doing the work. Of course this 3-story overbuilt McMansion is probably not a comparable for a Cape Cod two miles away. That sale was under atypical conditions and, at minimum, needs adjustments to even be considered. You get the idea.

Do I trust what the AI is telling me?

Accepting AI outputs without any skepticism is a recipe for disaster. Approach AI like a detective interviewing witnesses: trust, but verify. Basic internet searches can quickly fact-check results — or raise enough red flags that you reject what is being offered. No state board will accept the argument, “But ChatGPT said,” and neither should you….

Should I be using AI for this task?

Just because you can doesn’t mean you should — commit this phrase to memory. You will have to own everything in your report, and if too much of the product is driven by AI tools, you may be asked: “Well, what exactly did you do here?”…

Common sense is a superpower that can protect you from dire consequences as you experiment with AI. It’s tempting to be spellbound by new AI tools that seem miraculous — and to let down your guard of common sense. Instead, I recommend a heightened sense of caution: The tools are only as good as the people who craft them and the inputs provided by the users. AI hallucinations are still unpredictable, inevitable failure points, which means any “facts” and analyses it supplies should always be verified — it’s just common sense

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Good, practical analysis of AI for appraisers.


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Q3 Fannie Update – Concessions, Rural, Environmental Hazards

Newz: Fannie Update, Concessions Are a Mess, State Board Complaints

October 4, 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • State Board Complaints and Renewal

  • Q3 2024 Fannie Mae Appraiser Update – Concessions, Rural, Environmental Hazards

  • $47 Million Ski Chalet With Private Tesla-Style Gondola, Bowling Alley, and Basketball Court

  • September 2024 Real Estate Market Update: What Appraisers Need to Know By Kevin Hecht

  • The hot mess of concessions in real estate By Ryan Lundquist

  • That A-Frame Life: What It’s Really Like To Live in These Triangular Houses

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    Appraisal Business Tips 

    Humor for Appraisers

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Q3 2024 Fannie Mae Appraiser Update – Concessions, Rural, Environmental Hazards

Excerpts:

Rural

Worth reading with links to Fannie info, including a link to: Free Fannie online Rural Appraisal Challenges eLearning course. Plus other tips.

Environmental Hazards

While Fannie Mae does not expect the appraiser to be an expert in the field of environmental hazards, we do expect appraisers to analyze and report any information about environmental hazards that is available in the normal course of business…

If an appraiser has knowledge of or identifies an environmental hazard in or on the subject property or on any site within the vicinity of the property, we require the appraiser to…

Seller Concessions

The article about seller concessions in our December 2023 Appraiser Update generated a lot of questions and buzz.

First, we heard that some appraisers, in reaction to our article, adopted a practice of always adjusting dollar for dollar for seller concessions. While this may seem sensible from a theoretical perspective, it could have adverse unintended consequences (such as undervaluation) if the concession did not actually have a dollar-for-dollar impact on the price. Making either assumption (that there is no impact or that the impact is dollar-for-dollar) is not the correct approach…

PSAs – UAD, Bias with useful links to Fannie info

To read more, Click Here

My Comments: Read the concessions section to see what Fannie Mae says on this hot topic! Plus the useful info and links on other topics above.

See Ryan Lundquist’s post below on Concessions – A Mess

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Appraising New Construction

September 13, 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • Family Feud and Intended Use
  • 6 Tips for Appraising New Construction Homes
  • Vast $100 Million Equestrian Estate With a Bowling Alley in Rancho Santa Fe, CA
  • Mortgage Volume Forecasts
  • New UAD GSE online appraisal report samples
  • Inside the Tiny Arkansas Town Where Homes Sell for $400—With a Huge Catch
  • Mortgage applications increased 1.4 percent from one week earlier

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2024 Updated UAD and URAR – What does It Mean for You?

Real Estate Agents and Comparable Sales – Tips for Appraisers

Appraisal Business Tips 

Humor for Appraisers

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6 Tips for Appraising New Construction Homes

Excerpts: Lenders, FHA, and the GSEs (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) treat new construction a little differently. When appraising new construction homes, certain factors that don’t always apply to existing dwellings must be considered.

New construction appraisals require more work, so you want to charge a fee that is commensurate with the work involved. Perhaps more than that, you need to follow the proper protocols. Stick to these best practices to ensure you cover all your bases when performing a new construction appraisal.

1. Don’t rely totally on blueprints during a new construction appraisal

2. Gather as much detail about plans and specs as you can

3. Keep a file of local building costs

4. Be careful when choosing comparables for a new construction appraisal

5. Use the sales comparison method for site value (if possible)

6. Know the applicable requirements for an appraisal on new construction.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Read this if you do new construction. I have done many new home appraisals from one-off custom homes to all sizes of projects. My advice: Always check what plan and updates were actually built when doing final inspection. Getting the actual costs and upgrades can be difficult to obtain on the subject and the comps from the project sales office. I always asked to see the final sales document data. Sometimes I got them.

I finally quit doing them – too much hassle. There is little new construction where I work, except for infill projects – townhomes and and condos. My area is almost fully developed, so I did not lose much work. On the plus side, I learned a lot about construction!

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GSE Appraisal Reports Online

What’s in This Newsletter (in Order)

  • Confirming Construction Progress
  • The New UAD: “Don’t Borrow Trouble.”
  • Nicolas Cage’s Former New Orleans Mansion Lost to Foreclosure listed for $10,250,000
  • When will interest rates drop?
  • Who will refi when rates are lower?
  • Uncovering Flaws in FHA Appraisal & Loan Review Process
  • Home Insurance: It’s Not The Hurricanes In High-Cost Areas, But The Tornados In Low-Cost Areas That’ll Get You By Jonathan Miller
  • Iconic ‘Constellation 167’ House in Los Angeles for $10.9M
  • Mortgage applications increased 3.9 percent from one week earlier
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UAD and Forms Redesign Update for Appraisers (from 12-15-23)

Appraisal Business Tips 

Humor for Appraisers

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The New UAD: “Don’t Borrow Trouble.”

By Ernie Durbin, July 15, 2024

Excerpts: Reflecting on one of my father’s favorites, “don’t borrow trouble,” I find his advice particularly relevant today. It reminds me to focus on the present and not jump to conclusions about future uncertainties. What he was trying to convey was to trust in my abilities to handle challenges if and when they arise, rather than assuming the worst.

Many in our industry are “borrowing trouble” when they prematurely conclude that the new UAD and GSE report writing requirements will be detrimental.

The problem is… it’s not a form. The new Uniform Residential Appraisal Report (URAR) is an appraisal report expressed as a form. This may seem like semantics, but it is a very important distinction. Although the UAD data set is all-inclusive of property types, only the data points necessary for a specific property need to be reported.

The dynamic nature of the new report will result in “form” outputs that are remarkably shorter than the early examples provided by the GSEs. As an example, if the income and cost approaches are not necessary for credible results, these elements will not be included in the appraiser’s workflow or the final URAR.

To read more, Click Here

My comments: Worth reading. Current forms date back to 2005. A lot has changed since then, but somehow, we have to put it into our appraisal reports. I much prefer the “Turbo Tax” model where you only see what is relevant for what you are appraising. Changes to the software can be made at any time.

I am looking forward to online software for appraisal reports. Since 2006, I have used Constant Contact for this newsletter, which is completely online. Changes, when needed, such as additional features, can be done easily. With Office 360, Word and Excel software is online. I can work on any computer, anywhere. Of course, I have other software on my computers, including Excel and Word, if my Internet goes out ;>

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