“Death Stairs” for Appraisers

By on November 22, 2024   /   appraisal, climate change, forecast, GSEs, liability, modernization, Mortgage interest rates, New URAR, retirement, ROVs, zillow   /   Leave a comment
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Newz: New URAR Training, “Death Stairs”, Catastrophe and Climate Risk

November 22, 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • LIA Buyer says value too high
  • The Rise of the ‘Death Stairs’! Inside ‘Perilous’ Home Trend Taking the Internet by Storm — and How To Conquer It Safely
  • Infinity Symbol-Shaped Circular House Hits the Market for the Unique Price of $3,399,888
  • ARCC (Appraisal Regulation Compliance Council) Podcast with Guest Mark Calabria – AVMs, GSEs, and more
  • NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun Forecasts 9% Increase in Home Sales for 2025 and 13% for 2026, with Mortgage Rates Stabilizing Near 6%
  • Catastrophe and Climate Risk Is Only Increasing – Lender and Servicer issues
  • New Uniform Residential Appraiser Report Training (for lenders but useful for appraisers)
  • Mortgage applications increased 1.7 percent from one week earlier

 

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The Rise of the ‘Death Stairs’! Inside ‘Perilous’ Home Trend Taking the Internet by Storm—and How To Conquer It Safely

Excerpts: Thrill-seekers who are in desperate need of an adrenaline boost need look no further than their own home for their next dose of action—that is, if they are (un)lucky enough to be in possession of a set of “death stairs.”

While walking down a flight of stairs has not historically been considered the most death-defying of acts, one group of social media users is on a mission to change that misconception by highlighting the most dangerous, baffling, and downright weird step designs across the world, starting in their own homes.

In a now-viral Facebook group, which is named “Death Stairs,” hundreds of users have been sharing images of the most mind-boggling steps they have come across, from those so steep that few would dare to descend them, to edgy designs that appear near-impossible to mount.

To read more, Click Here

My Comments: Appraisers see some strange stairs. I have seen many. Usually DYI. I really hate the very narrow spiral staircases – often the only access to a part of the home. And old exterior wood stairs with very shaky hand rails.

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Appraisal Cost Approach and Highest and Best Use

By on November 16, 2024   /   AI, appraisal, appraisal how to, cost approach, Economic analysis, forecast, future, Highest and Best Use, liability, USPAP, zillow   /   Leave a comment
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Newz: Now What For Appraisers After Election? Generative AI and adjustments?

November 15, 2024

What’s in This Newsletter (In Order, Scroll Down)

  • (LIA ad) Intended Use and User
  • 10 Questions on the Cost Approach and Highest and Best Use
  • A Real-Life ‘Yellowstone’: Historic 52,000-AcreArizona Ranch Hits the Market for $42 Million—Complete With a Private Airstrip and Off-Grid Cabin
  • Now What? On a New Trump Administration
  • Can Generative AI solve the adjustment support paradigm
  • How Deep Fakes Have Burrowed Into Home Finance
  • Murder in the flying saucer: inside The Chemosphere in Los Angeles, CA
  • Mortgage applications increased 0.5 percent from one week earlier
  • So Many Appraisal Cost Approach Questions
  • Appraisal Business Tips 
    Humor for Appraisers


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10 Questions on the Cost Approach and Highest and Best Use

By Timothy Andersen

Excerpts: It is clear most appraisers do not like to perform the analytics inherent in the Cost Approach. This may be because most appraisers simply do not appreciate its power. Consider these 10 Cost Approach questions.

10 QUESTIONS TO CONSIDER

Take a look at these 10 questions on the Cost approach (and various items related to it). After you are finished, you will still not like to do it. But you may appreciate its analytical and interpretative powers even more.

1. On the 1004 form is the indication that Fannie Mae does not require the Cost Approach to Value. However, where does the form instruct the appraiser not to complete the analytics of the Cost approach? (Spoiler Alert: It does not.)

2.   Instructions on the form state the appraiser is to “…[p]rovide adequate information to the lender/client to replicate the [herein] cost figures and calculations.” However, where does the typical appraiser provide such replicable information?

3. In addition, the reporting form requires the appraiser to “…[s]upport the opinion of site value [with a] summary of comparable land sales or other methods for estimating site value.” Nevertheless, where does the typical appraiser provide such summary information?…

So, it is clear from these Fannie Mae instructions that the appraisal of a SFR includes an analysis and valuation of the subject site separate from the valuation of the site as improved. Does this mean to conclude a site value as if the subject site were vacant and available to be put to its highest and best use? (Spoiler Alert: Yes, it does.)

To read all 10 Q&As, Click Here

My comments: Of course, for custom home construction the Cost Approach is required to determine the feasibility of construction before building the home. I got some good ideas on using the Cost Approach from this article.

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What level appraiser are you?

By on October 13, 2023   /   appraisal business, Highest and Best Use, USPAP, zillow   /   Leave a comment
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How to Level Up as an Appraiser

By Conrad Meertins Jr.

Excerpts: The key is not the letters but the competency or skill. For example, are you competent to prepare an entire appraisal from start to finish? You might answer, “Absolutely!” But what if the appraisal form was completely blank with no boilerplate text? Do you still feel the same level of assuredness? What if you could not use the URAR form at all, but still had to produce an appraisal report that could stand up in court? Are your legs shaking? These questions help us to start to gauge our current level.

The three levels that we are going to discuss are “Beginner,” “Intermediate,” and “Pro.” Now, we could go deep and say that there are levels within the levels, but for now we will keep it simple and explore these three main levels. Some view each level as a stepping stone, and some view each level as a permanent parking space. It’s your choice which level you choose to pursue. The goal here is for us to evaluate which level we are at and determine which level we want to achieve.

Level 1 – Beginner

This is where we all start. There is no shame in this level. Depending on how you were trained, at the beginner level you typically view appraisals as forms — forms with checkboxes to be checked or left blank. If all the right boxes are checked and your report is signed with a value, mission accomplished!

Level 2 – Intermediate

At the intermediate level, you realize there is more to appraising real estate than checking boxes. Here is where you provide more explanations. If you say the market is stable, perhaps you add a sentence or two to expound on that. If you say that comp #1 was the best comp, you add a sentence explaining why. If you don’t adjust for the subject being on a busy road, you add a sentence about the neutral impact of the busy road and a comparable to support that conclusion—before being prompted to do so by the underwriter.

Level 3 – Pro

There is a subtle difference between Level 2 and Level 3. But one indicator that you have crossed the line from intermediate to pro is understanding how all the pieces fit together. For example, you understand that you do not need a form to produce an appraisal.

To read more, click here

My comments: Hybrid Appraisals are coming fast for lender appraisals, when any “human” appraisals are done. Full appraisals that Level 1 and most Level 2 appraisers cannot do will be done by Level 3 appraisers. I am writing two long articles for the November issue about Hybrid Desktops and Property Data Collectors. Both positive and negative sides for appraisers. If you want to continue to do AMC appraisals, this is an option.

What if you don’t want to do either one? If you have done AMC lender appraising only, you only appraise homes that conform to GSE requirements. You have a low skill level.

If I did lender work now, I would be in the “top tier” to be called when other appraisers said no. For as long as I have been appraising, lenders had special lists for the tough ones, or for a valuable bank client that borrows money from the bank and has large deposits.

Appraisal Business Tips 

Humor for Appraisers

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NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post on  retirement, USPAP 2024 Changes, school district app, unusual homes, mortgage origination and more!

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Appraisal Profession Dying?

By on February 3, 2023   /   appraisal business, future, humor, non-lender appraisals, zillow   /   Leave a comment
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Bringing More People Into a Dying Profession?

By Dave Towne, Jan. 23, 2023

My comment: This only applies to residential lending appraisals, of course. My non-lender appraisals have changed very little with few, if any new “requirements”. I determine the Scope of Work.

Excerpts: Some people want to bring more people (primarily of color, which is great) into a dying profession. But the profession is being killed off by (mostly white!) people who think technology is the golden spoon to accurate valuations.

PAREA is being touted as the savior and the best appropriate way to get new people into this profession, especially people of color. Really? Let’s see. The education providers currently writing the PAREA courses have been indicating that the course cost will be up to 5 figures, roughly $10,000 or possibly more. That’s an outlay of significant cash BEFORE actually connecting with an appraiser who will put the PAREA-educated appraiser to work.

To read more, plus over 60 appraiser comments, click here

My comments: This only applies to residential lending appraisals, of course. My non-lender appraisals have changed very little with few, if any new “requirements”. I determine the Scope of Work.

I definitely prefer “profession” to “business”. I have always been a professional appraiser. I quit doing residential lender appraisals in 2005. I had good clients but did not like the dramatic volume changes. It has gotten very bad since AMCs took over.

Appraisal Business Tips 

Humor for Appraisers

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To read more of this long blog post with many topics, click Read More Below!!

NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post on Costar and residential, non-lender appraisals., Humor, Zillow, unusual homes, mortgage origination stats, etc.

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Fannie requiring ANSI for appraisals starting 4/1/22

By on December 24, 2021   /   Fannie, FUN, humor, square footage   /   Leave a comment
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ANSI Update

I have been getting questions from appraisers but did not have time to research this Very Hot Topic. Below is a link to purchase the new 2021 Standards.
There are lots of comments online. The first link below by Appraisersblogs allows comments which you can read and make your own comments. The second link is a short blog post by McKissock.
Purchasing the Standards document for $25 is a good idea—link at the end of this section. I purchased a copy, so I knew what it said. Hopefully, most appraisers who do GSE appraisals will get a copy. Disclaimers coming soon regarding ANSI, assessor’s offices, etc. Disclosure of what you use is an excellent idea.
For many years, I did relocation appraisals, where 2-3 appraisers appraised the same house before the sale. Sq.ft. by the appraisers was very seldom the same. We did future values, typically 90-120 days in the future. My most favorite appraisals. Every appraisal was a test of how close I came to the sales price.
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ANSI Measuring Standard Required on April 1, 2022 – Comments allowed
By Appraisersblogs
Excerpts: includes Fannie’s 1-page “Standardized Property Measuring Guidelines” with good information.
Does following ANSI even reflect the market? Perhaps, adopting the ANSI standard will make the description of the subject property more precise. However, how is this going to help if Realtors, assessors, builders, and architects are not measuring by the same standard? Will this create a false sense of accuracy? Will there be a lot more discrepancies once the ANSI measuring standard is used by appraisers for the subject property while different measuring standards measure the comparable sales. And how do we apply the ANSI measuring standard on exterior-only appraisals, desktops, hybrids, and 2055s?
This blog post is a good place to read comments and leave your own. Over 35 comments. Click here to read.
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Fannie Mae to Adopt ANSI Measurement Standard in 2022
Short blog post with good info
By: Dan Bradley (McKissock)
Excerpt: ANSI Z765 is a copyrighted document. A downloadable PDF is available for purchase from Home Innovation Research Labs for $25.00. The website can be accessed here: https://www.homeinnovation.com/z765.
To read more, click here
Measuring Bi-level homes square footage

Why Don’t Real Estate Agents Measure Houses? Appraiser Humor

Appraisal Business Tips 

Humor for Appraisers

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Appraisals Obsolete Now or Later?

By on December 3, 2021   /   appraisal business, Fannie, FHA, liability, zillow   /   Leave a comment
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Is Appraisal Obsolete?

By George Dell SRA, MAI, ASA, CRE
Excerpt: Obsolete! Such a harsh word. Can it be?
Is the problem convolution?
Does it mean I will soon be obsolete? Not needed? Not loved? Terrible. What can be done?
Yet all the little signs are pointing that way. “Automated” valuation models have much of the market, and continue to gain. Other valuation methods and appraisal exempted transactions continue to grow. Evaluations, desktops, hybrids, auto-measurements, non-appraiser inspections, broker opinions.
To read more, click here
My comment: Another different perspective from George Dell! Check out “Appraisal startup Aloft closes $20M Series A” above! Not the first, and not the last, appraisal-related company to get millions in funding. Who needs experienced field appraisers when we have AVMs, hybrids, etc.?

Appraisal Business Tips 

Humor for Appraisers

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Zillow Quits Buying Homes – Their AVM Did Not Work Well!

By on November 12, 2021   /   appraisal business, AVMS, bias, zillow   /   Leave a comment
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A ‘Fail’ Stamp vector over a white background.

Zillow Quits Buying Homes – AVM Did Not Work Well!!!

Two appraisers comment – Jonathan Miller and Ryan Lundquist

Goodbye Zillow
By Ryan Lundquist
Some of the topics:
  • Failure despite massive price increases
  • Zillow losing isn’t about the market
  • The school of hard knocks
  • Public perception
  • Cannot smell the cats: I gave a quote to Money.com last week, and I was especially excited they used my “Zillow cannot smell if 20 cats live there…” line.
To read more, click here
My comment: I love the “20 cats” comment. I appraised a house with at least that many cats. They were on all the tops of dressers, cabinets, etc., Very Creepy! I still have nightmares about it sometimes. A volunteer owned it for a local animal shelter. She had a large outdoor enclosure. Did not smell, but…
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By Jonathan Miller

Zillow Offers As A Proxy For ‘Big Data’ Shows The Lack Of Qualitative Analysis

Yes, big data usually infers ‘quantitative’ analysis, as in “relying on numbers.” The Zestimate legacy of profound inaccuracy finally reached a devastating conclusion with the collapse of Zillow Offers this week and the loss of hundreds of millions in shareholder…
Yes, big data usually infers ‘quantitative’ analysis, as in “relying on numbers.” The Zestimate legacy of profound inaccuracy finally reached a devastating conclusion with the collapse of Zillow Offers this week and the loss of hundreds of millions in shareholder equity. Zillow never figured out the qualitative part that enables the actual precision in the pricing of a home sale.
To read more, click here
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This Just In: The ‘A’ in ‘Zillow’ Stands for ‘Accuracy’
Excerpt: Yet it would seem unlikely that Zillow Offers used something completely separate and conceptually very different from their ‘Zestimate’ because it would be quite expensive and extremely difficult to keep a radical new valuation concept a complete secret. All we know at this point is whatever valuation methodology they used was a complete fail. And to go a step further their Zestimate valuation methodology has long been a complete failure in the accuracy department. But it hasn’t been a complete failure in the consumer credibility department at all.
To read more and see fun videos, click here

Zillow (in) accuracy(Opens in a new browser tab)

Appraisal Business Tips 

Humor for Appraisers

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Dr. Seuss House aka The Goose Creek Tower

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Homes with Major Structural Problems for Appraisers

By on March 5, 2021   /   adjustments, AMCs, appraisal management company, bias, george dell, weird homes, zillow   /   Leave a comment
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Homes with structural problems for appraisers

Take a break and see some very strange things that can happen!!

Excerpt: For nearly 30 years, Alpha Structural, Inc. has developed a powerful reputation as the number one foundation engineering and repair, landslide repair, earthquake, and structural rehabilitation contractor in the Los Angeles area.

In this post, they share photos from its engineers’ day-to-day work, including all the funniest, most bizarre, and downright dangerous things they discover.

To check out the text, photos, very humorous comments, and leave your own comments, Click Here !!

My comments: I have appraised a lot of hillside homes and seen a lot of foundation damage, including strange ways people try to keep the damage from getting worse. One house was slowly moving down the hill. I appraised it as land value plus interim use as a rental (a very slow market at that time). Many thanks to long-time appraiser and friend (30+ years), John Regan, for this Most Excellent Link,!!Getting too many ad-only emails?

Appraisal Business Tips 

Humor for Appraisers

Covid-19 Residential Appraisers Tips on Staying Safe

 

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Appraisal Original Comp Photos

By on February 19, 2021   /   comp photos, Coronavirus, COVID, mortgage loan volume, real estate market, unusual homes, zillow   /   Leave a comment
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Original Comp Photos: Dangerous, Unnecessary

by Damian Downie

Excerpts: As I do many times a day, I was taking comparable (comp) photos for an appraisal. This one in particular is a condominium, so I was taking photos of two condos in a competing complex. There was a gate into the property, so I stopped across the street and snapped a photo of the gate.

Three minutes later, about a mile from the site, I looked over to my right out the passenger window, and I saw a man holding his phone up and pointing it at me. I asked him what he was doing and he angrily asked me why I was taking pictures of his car.

To read more plus the 59+ appraiser comments and add your own comment, click here

My comments: Always a hot, hot topic!! We’ve all got appraiser stories about comp photos (dogs, police, crazy people chasing you down the street, locked gates, etc., etc.)!! After 45 years of appraising I am never bored. There is always something new or weird that I see ;> My scariest experience (for the subject) was when two large Dobermans broke through the screen door of a mobile home and came after me. I got back into my car and told my client to get another appraiser!!

Appraisal Business Tips 

Humor for Appraisers

Covid-19 Residential Appraisers Tips on Staying Safe

For Covid Updates, go to my Covid Science blog at covidscienceblog.com

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Zillow Gets Pillowed Appraisers Laugh!

By on February 12, 2021   /   adjustments, appraisal business, Fannie, weird homes   /   Leave a comment
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Zillow Gets Pillowed – Very Funny Video!

by Jonathan Miller

Excerpt: I met Rich Barton, Zillow CEO, at an Inman/Curbed party held during an Inman conference in Manhattan a long time ago, the evening before Zillow’s launch. I asked Rich, a very nice and fascinating person, what he did for a living, not realizing he was the co-founder of Expedia. Ugh. He also said they were launching their latest effort the following morning – a web site called “Zillow,” and he added “as in rhymes with pillow” to the description. Little did I know real estate would never be the same after that.

So this weekend’s SNL skit on Zillow was particularly delicious with all the “pillow talk.” Even Rich got a kick out of it.

To watch the video and read more comments, click here

Direct link to video on youtube click here

My comment: Warning. It contains some sexy parts, including two guys. It is a Saturday Night Live skit. Not for children and maybe some appraisers…

Zillow uses home photos for “appraisals”(Opens in a new browser tab)

 

Appraisal Business Tips 

Humor for Appraisers

Covid-19 Residential Appraisers Tips on Staying Safe

For Covid Updates, go to my Covid Science blog at covidscienceblog.com

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NOTE: Please scroll down to read the other topics in this long blog post on adjustments, Fannie Photos, strange house, mortgage origination stats, Covid tips for appraisers, etc.

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